White Sox vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Home Run Pick for Tonight's MLB Game

Ethan Diamandas - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Ethan Diamandas • Betting Analyst 6+ years betting experience
Updated: Jul 17, 2026 , 09:32 AM ET • 4 min read

Vladdy continues raking tonight!

MLB

Match starts: 7 hrs
CHW
52 %
TOR
48 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o1.5  Total Bases (+120) Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
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Vladimir Guerrero Jr. of the Toronto Blue Jays MLB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. of the Toronto Blue Jays MLB

The Toronto Blue Jays open the second half as -135 favorites at home against the Chicago White Sox, handing the ball to rookie Spencer Miles opposite left-hander Anthony Kay. 

Toronto’s bats get a favorable draw against a lefty who has struggled away from home, and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. headlines my card as he rounds back into form.

Read on for my White Sox vs. Blue Jays predictions and MLB picks for this Friday, July 17 matchup.

White Sox vs Blue Jays predictions

White Sox vs Blue Jays best bet: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 total bases (+120)

The tide should turn for Vladimir Guerrero Jr. soon. He came out of the All-Star break with a rested back, and he was already swinging it well before the layoff.

Over his last three games before the break, Vladdy hit .273 with a homer and four RBI, and that three-run blast in San Diego was a big confidence boost.

Now he draws a mediocre lefty in Anthony Kay, who carries a 5.94 ERA on the road this season. Vladdy is 1-for-2 lifetime against Kay with a home run, offering a great opportunity to get back on track.

I’d play this bet to +110.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Guerrero is trading groundballs for line drives lately. His 41.7% line-drive rate in July is a 21.9% jump from his June mark, which should fuel some extra-base hits.

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White Sox vs Blue Jays same-game parlay (SGP)

For the same-game parlay, I’m backing the Toronto Blue Jays at home behind a pitcher I trust. Rookie Spencer Miles gets a real shot at a full-time rotation spot, and he’s earned it with a 2.85 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP that stack up with anyone.

I’ll pair the moneyline with two bats built to punish  Chicago White Sox starter Anthony Kay. George Springer Over 1.5 total bases and Vladdy Over 1.5 total bases double down on my read that this road-weary lefty is there for the taking.

White Sox vs Blue Jays SGP

  • Blue Jays moneyline
  • George Springer Over 1.5 total bases
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 total bases

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White Sox vs Blue Jays home run pick: George Springer (+510)

Keep an eye on George Springer in this one. Despite a subpar season overall, Springer has been Toronto’s sharpest hitter against southpaws, posting an .810 OPS in 81 at-bats.

He’s long been considered a lefty killer, and I have little faith in Kay’s stuff, especially with the left-hander pitching on the road.

I’d keep this one to a quarter unit.

2026 Transparency Record
  • Best bets: 7-3, +3.63 units
  • SGPs: 2-9, -0.56 units
  • HR picks: 2-9, -0.53 units

White Sox vs Blue Jays odds

  • Moneyline: Chicago +115 | Toronto -135
  • Run line: Chicago +1.5 (-170) | Toronto -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under: Over 8.5 | Under 8.5

White Sox vs Blue Jays trend

Anthony Kay carries a 5.94 ERA on the road this season versus 3.06 at home, and he’s pitching at Rogers Centre on Friday. Find more MLB betting trends for White Sox vs. Blue Jays.

How to watch White Sox vs Blue Jays and game info

Location Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
Date Friday, 7-17-2026
First pitch 7:15 p.m. ET
TV Sportsnet
White Sox starting pitcher Anthony Kay
(6-4, 4.23 ERA)
Blue Jays starting pitcher Spencer Miles
(4-1, 2.85 ERA)

White Sox vs Blue Jays latest injuries

White Sox vs weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Ethan Diamandas
Betting Analyst

Ethan Diamandas is a Toronto-based sports writer and betting analyst with six years in the sports and gaming industry. A Carleton University journalism grad, he pairs a traditional reporting background with an analytical read on MLB betting. He covered the Toronto Blue Jays as both a beat reporter and a feature writer, which gives him a close feel for roster construction, pitching matchups, bullpen usage, and the day-to-day factors that move baseball odds.

His bylines have run in Sports Illustrated, MLB.com, and Yahoo Sports. He also covers boxing and UFC, but baseball is the focus, especially player props, first-five markets, totals, and game-by-game matchup analysis.

On the book side, he leans on bet365 for its deep player-prop menu and FanDuel for consistently competitive odds, with DraftKings reserved for the occasional ambitious parlay. His approach is research-first and patient. He shops lines, waits for real value, and won't force action just because there's a game on the board.

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