The Minnesota Twins are looking to complete a four-game sweep of the Texas Rangers at Globe Life Field on Sunday afternoon.
These are two teams heading in opposite directions and my Twins vs. Rangers prediction believes Pablo Lopez will be in command from the opening pitch.
Find out why in my MLB picks for Sunday, August 18.
Twins vs Rangers prediction
My best bet
Pablo Lopez Under 1.6 walks (-120 at BetMGM)
Best odds available in your region
My analysis
Minnesota Twins starting pitcher Pablo Lopez has been fairly consistent in the second half of the season.
Since his ERA rose to 5.18 on July 5th, Lopez is 3-1 with a 3.25 ERA (13 ER in 36 IP) in his last six starts. He's gone at least six innings in four of those outings while allowing two earned runs or fewer in all but one. He's also issued a total of just seven walks: three in one game against the Mets and no more than one free pass in the other five starts.
Control hasn't been much of an issue for Lopez in 2024. In fact, Lopez has the 13th-lowest walk rate of 99 pitchers with at least 100 IP this year.
The 28-year-old Lopez is the veteran on this staff. The righthander has allowed Over 1.5 walks in just five of his 24 starts, and two of them came in April.
The Texas Rangers sit in the middle of the pack in terms of walks per game at 3.12 after Twins pitchers issued zero free passes on Saturday night.
I expect Lopez to stay in control just as he has all season long.
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Twins vs Rangers same-game parlay (SGP)
Pablo Lopez 6+ strikeouts
Twins moneyline
Under 7.5
Not all books offer Under 1.5 Walks Allowed as a same-game parlay leg, so let’s take Lopez’s strikeouts. He's gone Over 5.5 strikeouts in 15 of 24 starts, including his only start against Texas this season.
The Twins are rolling right now with three straight low-scoring wins. Let's take that trend to continue behind Lopez on the mound.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
Twins vs Rangers odds
Twins vs Rangers live odds
Twins vs Rangers opening odds
- Run line: Minnesota -1.5 (+145) | Texas +1.5 (-175)
- Moneyline: Minnesota -118 | Texas +109
- Over/Under: Over 7.5 | Under 7.5
Twins vs Rangers spread and Over/Under analysis
- The Minnesota Twins odds of -120 haven’t moved much despite taking most of the money as of early Sunday morning.
- The Texas Rangers odds are set as slight home underdogs at around +105.
- The total is set at a flat eight with the Over 8 (-115) and Under 8 (-105)
Twins vs Rangers trend
The Minnesota Twins have hit the moneyline in 63 of their last 103 games (+12.20 Units / 8% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Twins vs. Rangers.
Twins vs Rangers game info
| Location: | Globe Life Field, Arlington, TX |
| Date: | Sunday, 8-18-2024 |
| First pitch: | 2:35 p.m. ET |
| TV: | Bally North, Bally Southwest |
| Twins starting pitcher: | Pablo Lopez (11-8, 4.67 ERA) |
| Rangers starting pitcher: | Tyler Mahle (0-1, 2.79 ERA) |
Twins vs Rangers latest injuries
Twins vs Rangers weather
Not intended for use in MA.
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