The Chicago Cubs are -145 favorites to get revenge following a 5-2 loss in the series opener.
Given Taj Bradley's incredible recent form, my Twins vs. Cubs predictions and MLB picks see value in backing the road team at a healthy plus-money price on Saturday, July 18.
Who will win Twins vs Cubs today: Twins moneyline (+125)
Matthew Boyd posted a 2.86 ERA over the past month despite a 4.82 xFIP and 5.59 xERA – strong signals his numbers could soon take a turn for the worst.
He has had a more difficult time against right-handed bats and, including switch-hitters, the Minnesota Twins could throw as many as seven at him on Saturday afternoon.
Taj Bradley owns a 2.32 ERA the past month with much better indicators to boot (2.49 xERA, 3.25 xFIP).
He should keep the Chicago Cubs in check, positioning the Twins to pull off the upset.
Bet to +110.
COVERS INTEL: Taj Bradley ranks in the 93rd percentile in Fastball Run Value, and he throws that pitch more than double anything else.
Twins vs Cubs Over/Under pick: Under 9.0 (-110)
Boyd has his flaws but he limits homers effectively and the Twins rank 28th in OPS vs. lefties the past two months. They severely quick-strike offense against southpaws.
Bradley is a high strikeout pitcher who has held opponents to a 33% hard hit rate over his last five starts. That has helped him limit the longballs, allowing just 1.16 per nine innings.
We shouldn’t see much power in this game, which will make it difficult for both teams to score in bulk and push this game Over.
I like the Under and would play it to -120.
- ML/RL bets: 59-47, +1.60 units
- Over/Under bets: 57-44-5, +5.49 units
Twins vs Cubs weather
Temperatures are expected in the mid 80s with winds blowing east. Boost to the offenses.
Twins vs Cubs odds
- Moneyline: Minnesota +125 | Chicago -145
- Run line: Minnesota +1.5 (-160) | Chicago -1.5 (+140)
- Over/Under: Over 9.0 (-110) | Under 9.0 (-110)
Twins vs Cubs trend
Minnesota has hit the moneyline in 11 of the last 15 away games (+9.10 units, 59% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Twins vs. Cubs.
How to watch Twins vs Cubs and game info
| Location | Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL |
| Date | Saturday, July 18, 2026 |
| First pitch | 2:20 p.m. ET |
| TV | Twins.TV, MARQ |
| Twins starting pitcher | Taj Bradley (9-3, 3.59 ERA) |
| Cubs starting pitcher | Matthew Boyd (5-1, 4.50 ERA) |
Twins vs Cubs latest injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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