Red Sox vs Braves Picks and Predictions: Eovaldi Pitches Gem In Boston WIn

After dropping five straight, Boston finally found itself in the win column last night, exploding for nine runs. Will Atlanta fare better tonight against a confident BoSox rotation? Find out in our MLB betting picks and predictions for Red Sox vs Braves.

Last Updated: May 11, 2022 10:54 AM ET Read Time: 4 min
Nathan Eovaldi Boston Red Sox MLB
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The Boston Red Sox halted their losing streak at five games, as they earned a 9-4 win over the Atlanta Braves on Tuesday. Now, the two meet in the second and final game of this short series, with Atlanta hoping to even things up. 

Read our free MLB betting picks and predictions for the Red Sox vs. Braves to find out who we have taking Game 2 of this series, on May 11.

Red Sox vs Braves odds

This odds widget represents the best odds available for each betting market from regulated sportsbooks.

The Red Sox opened as +115 underdogs in this game and they can still be had at that number on one sportsbook, but most of the others have it a bit lower. In fact, one has Boston down at +105. 

As for the total, there’s one sportsbook offering the number at 8, but everywhere else has it at 7.5. You’ll mostly pay a price for taking the Over at 7.5 too.

Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right up until first pitch and be sure to check out the full MLB odds before placing your bets.

Red Sox vs Braves predictions

Picks made on 5/11/2022 at 10:00 a.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

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Red Sox vs Braves game info

Location: Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
Date: Wednesday, May 11, 2022
First pitch: 7:20 p.m. ET
TV: NESN, Bally Sports Southeast

Red Sox vs Braves betting preview

Starting pitchers

Nathan Eovaldi RHP (1-1, 2.94 ERA): Eovaldi gave up three earned runs over five innings in a loss to the Chicago White Sox in his last outing, and he has now given up three or fewer earned runs in all six of his starts this season. The righty also happens to be carrying an impressive 2.63 road ERA, and he just generally has impressive swing-and-miss stuff.  

Ian Anderson RHP (3-1, 4.01 ERA): Anderson gave up five earned in only 2 2-3 innings in his first start of the year, but he has dialed it in since then. The righty has given up only six earned runs over his last 22 innings, spanning across four starts. He now gets a Red Sox offense that had a big game on Tuesday but has underperformed for a majority of the season.

Weather

Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our MLB weather info.

Key injuries

Red Sox: Michael Wacha P (Out), Rich Hill P (Out), Jonathan Arauz SS (Out), Josh Taylor P (Out), Chris Sale P (Out).
Braves: Manny Pina C (Out), Eddie Rosario OF (Out), Luke Jackson P (Out).
Find our latest MLB injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Red Sox are 42-10 in their last 52 interleague road games. Find more MLB betting trends for Red Sox vs. Braves

Red Sox vs Braves picks and predictions

Our side and total predictions are based upon our analysis of the line and total in this game. Our best bet is our favorite pick across all markets.

Moneyline analysis

The Red Sox finally snapped out of their recent funk on Tuesday, as they ended up scoring nine runs and ending a five-game losing streak. Now, Boston gets a crack at another right-handed pitcher, so guys like Rafael Devers, J.D. Martinez, Xander Bogaerts, and Alex Verdugo should be ready to keep the hot bats rolling.

All four batters are excellent against righties, but you’ll want to pay close attention to Devers and Bogaerts. The two of them combined to go 5-for-9 at the plate yesterday, with Devers chippings in four RBI on his own. Ian Anderson will likely do much better than Kyle Wright did yesterday, but Boston’s confidence should be humming. 

Nathan Eovaldi also happens to be the most consistent pitcher that the Red Sox have right now. The righty gave up three earned runs in five innings of work last Friday, but that really seems to be the worst that Boston is getting from him in his current form.

Heading into that start, Eovaldi had allowed just two earned runs in his previous 14 innings on the mound and has the type of stuff to turn in a stellar outing here. The Braves have the eighth-highest strikeout rate in baseball against right-handed pitching at 25.1%, and Eovaldi knows how to make hitters miss. 

Look for the Red Sox to make it two wins in a row here, which would mean a plus-money winner on Boston for the second game in a row. 

Prediction: Red Sox moneyline (+115 at WynnBET)

Over/Under analysis

The Red Sox are seeing a righty for the second game in a row, and this is a lineup that is built to beat right-handed pitching. Boston might not be in for another nine-run performance at the plate, but the team is capable of scoring four or five tonight. That should be enough for the team to win a matchup that should end up going Under the total.

Eovaldi has what it takes to really shut this Braves lineup down, especially with Atlanta only averaging 3.2 runs per game against right-handed pitching this year. Look for him to give up two or fewer in this start, and for the bullpen to carry his efforts the rest of the way.

The Under is also 4-1 in the last five road games that Boston has played, and 13-5-1 in the last 14 road games it has played against opponents with losing records. Meanwhile, the Under is 5-2-1 in Atlanta’s last eight interleague games against righty starters, and 34-15-4 in the Braves' last 53 games in which their opponent scored five or more runs in their previous contest.  

Prediction: Under 8 (-115 at WynnBET)

Best bet

As previously mentioned, the Braves have the ninth-highest strikeout rate in the league against right-handed pitching, so this is an Atlanta lineup that can struggle to make contact at times. Meanwhile, Eovaldi has recorded at least six strikeouts in four of his last six starts, including three of his four road starts.

With that said, this total is certainly right in his wheelhouse, and it actually wouldn’t be surprising to see him push eight or more innings. 

Eovaldi also had two games in which he recorded 10 strikeouts last year, which just goes to show you how dangerous his stuff can be when he’s on. Perhaps he’ll feed off the energy of Boston getting back in the win column yesterday, paving the way for another one of those high-strikeout games. 

Pick: Nathan Eovaldi Over 5.5 strikeouts (-149 at Caesars)

MLB parlays

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