Padres vs Mariners Prediction, Picks & Odds — Monday, August 25

Cordell's prediction: Rodriguez racks up the bases.

Todd Cordell - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Todd Cordell • Betting Analyst
Aug 25, 2025 • 10:32 ET • 4 min read

MLB

Match starts: 8 hrs
SEA
42 %
SD
58 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Julio Rodriguez o1.5  Total Bases (-110) Julio Rodriguez o1.5 Total Bases (-110)
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Seattle Mariners outfielder Julio Rodriguez (44) celebrates after hitting a home run.
Photo By - Imagn Images. Seattle Mariners outfielder Julio Rodriguez (44) celebrates after hitting a home run.

Julio Rodriguez is one of the hottest hitters in baseball, ranking 9th in ISO and 12th in wRC+ over the last seven weeks.

My Padres vs. Mariners predictions expect Rodriguez to remain hot against the struggling J.P. Sears.

Let’s break things down further with my MLB picks for Monday, August 25. 

Padres vs Mariners prediction

Padres vs Mariners best bet: Julio Rodriguez Over 1.5 total bases (-110)

Julio Rodriguez has piled up the bases in recent weeks. He has averaged 2.5 per game over the last 20, clearing his line at a healthy 60% clip.

The good times should continue against JP Sears, who owns a 4.94 ERA on the season and enters this start in poor form. He has conceded 18 earned runs over his last six starts and lasted more than five innings only once. He’s allowed a lot of power in that span, giving up at least one homer in every single game.

Limiting power has been a struggle for Sears all year long. Righties have posted a .233 ISO, and he’s allowed 1.8 homers per nine innings. Perhaps most alarmingly, 48.5% of the hits he’s given up vs. right-handed bats have gone for extra bases.

Julio possesses real speed and contact skills. He also owns ISOs above .250 against two of the three most common pitches Sears throws.

Padres vs Mariners same-game parlay (SGP)

Ramon Laureano has been a force with the San Diego Padres. Since deadline day, he leads the team in hits, homers, runs batted in, OPS, and pretty much every other major offensive category. Bryce Miller has allowed a .304 average to righties this year and is likely to struggle slowing him down.

Josh Naylor has hit safely in 75% of his games this season and has made a lot of hard contact over the last handful of games.

Padres vs Mariners odds

  • Moneyline: San Diego +110 | Seattle -130
  • Run line: San Diego +1.5 (-204) | Seattle -1.5 (+170)
  • Over/Under: Over 8.0 (-105) | Under 8.0 (-115)

Padres vs Mariners trend

Julio Rodriguez has averaged 2.3 total bases over his last 10 games in Seattle. Find more MLB betting trends for Padres vs. Mariners.

How to watch Padres vs Mariners and game info

Location T-Mobile Park, Seattle, WA
Date Monday, August 25, 2025
First pitch 9:40 p.m. ET
TV SDPA, Root Sports
Padres starting pitcher JP Sears
(8-10, 4.94 ERA)
Mariners starting pitcher Bryce Miller
(2-5, 5.87 ERA)

Padres vs Mariners latest injuries

Padres vs Mariners weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Todd Cordell - Covers
Betting Analyst

Todd Cordell is a data-driven betting analyst. He uses numbers to help identify value across a wide variety of sports, with NHL being his specialty. Shot props, in particular, have proven to be a very fruitful market. Todd has served as a betting analyst in the public sphere for many years, most recently with theScore covering the NHL and MLB.

When not writing about sports betting, Todd stays busy analyzing the New Jersey Devils with a fine-tooth comb for InfernalAccess, his Devils-centric blog. Todd attended Sheridan College and graduated in 2014 with a diploma in print journalism.

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