Angels vs Yankees Picks and Predictions: Pinstripes Punish Detmers in the Bronx

Los Angeles starter Reid Detmers has been roughed up a bit since throwing a no-hitter, and his current form won't survive against this New York squad. We break down the MLB betting value with our Angels vs. Yankees picks.

Jun 1, 2022 • 11:10 ET • 4 min read
DJ LeMahieu New York Yankees MLB
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The New York Yankees were able to avoid a three-game losing streak by earning a 9-1 win over the Los Angeles Angels on Tuesday. The Bronx Bombers will now look to win two in a row and they’ll be sending Nestor Cortes to the hill to get the job done. The lefty has been the best pitcher on this Yankees team this year. 

Will New York make it back-to-back wins against Los Angeles? You’ll need to read our Angels vs. Yankees MLB picks and predictions to find out.

Angels vs Yankees odds

This odds widget represents the best odds available for each betting market from regulated sportsbooks.

The Yankees opened as -161 favorites against the Angels and the best line you’ll get on New York is now -167. The total, meanwhile, has made some big moves since first becoming available. Once 8.5, the number is now down as low as 7.5, with most sportsbooks offering it at 8.

Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right up until first pitch and be sure to check out the full MLB odds before placing your bets.

Angels vs Yankees predictions

Picks made on 6/1/2022 at 10:30 a.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

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Angels vs Yankees game info

Location: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
Date: Wednesday, June 1, 2022
First pitch: 7:05 p.m. ET
TV: Bally Sports West, YES

Angels vs Yankees betting preview

Starting pitchers

Reid Detmers (2-2, 4.65 ERA): Detmers has been roughed up a bit since throwing a no-hitter against the Tampa Bay Rays on May 10. The lefty faced the Rangers twice since that historic outing, and he has allowed eight earned runs in his last 9 2-3 innings of work. Detmers has also given up four homers over the last two games, and that’s not a great sign heading into this meeting with the Yankees. 

Nestor Cortes (4-1, 1.70 ERA): Cortes pitched eight innings of one-run ball in a 7-2 win over the Rays on May 26, and he has now allowed at most one run in three of his last four starts. The lefty is arguably the best pitcher in the Yankees rotation right now, which is a little ridiculous to even think about with Gerrit Cole and his $324 million deal on the payroll. At this point, the lefty has proven that this level is somewhat sustainable moving forward.

Weather

Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our MLB weather info.

Key injuries

Angels: Anthony Rendon 3B (Out), Kurt Suzuki C (Out), Griffin Canning P (Out), David Fletcher SS (Out), Austin Warren P (Out), Archie Bradley P (Out).
Yankees: Josh Donaldson 3B (Out), Giancarlo Stanton DH (Out), Jonathan Loaisiga P (Out), Aroldis Chapman P (Out), Chad Green P (Out), Luis Gil P (Out), Domingo German P (Out).
Find our latest MLB injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Angels are 0-6 in their last six games against teams with winning records. Find more MLB betting trends for Angels vs. Yankees

Angels vs Yankees picks and predictions

Our side and total predictions are based upon our analysis of the line and total in this game. Our best bet is our favorite pick across all markets.

Moneyline analysis

It’s hard to come up with many reasons to back the Angels in this game, even if the team is playing some great baseball in 2022. Los Angeles just doesn’t seem to have an advantage anywhere in this game, and the odds aren’t bad enough to keep bettors from taking New York in this one. 

Detmers did throw a no-hitter in 2022, and the young lefty is somebody that the Angels have high hopes for. But for now, Detmers is an up-and-down pitcher that doesn’t miss a lot of bats and pitching to contact isn’t exactly an effective skill set against the Yankees. 

New York has too many powerful hitters, and the team is likely going to do some damage if Detmers is just trying to pound the strike zone in this one. The Yankees are actually third in the league in weighted runs created against lefties in 2022, and they’re also fourth in slugging percentage and first in isolated power against southpaws. 

Not only do the Yankees have a matchup they should like offensively in this one, but they are also throwing their most reliable starter to the mound here. Cortes absolutely loves pitching at Yankee Stadium, too, as he had a 2.53 ERA in 46 1-3 innings in the Bronx last season. 

Now, Cortes is 1-0 with a 1.96 ERA in four starts in New York to start 2022, and he is starting to look like a real Cy Young candidate this year. The lefty has upped his strikeout-to-walk ratio this season, and he has a ridiculous sub-1.00 WHIP. 

Prediction: Yankees moneyline (-167 at WynnBet

Over/Under analysis

The Yankees have Cortes going in this meeting with the Angels, so it’s fair not to expect Los Angeles to score many runs in this one. However, the Angels have the fifth-best batting average in the league against lefties this year, and they are also sixth in weighted runs created against southpaws. 

With that in mind, it wouldn’t be too shocking if they find a way to score two or three against Cortes, and then they’d have a chance to add one or two against an injured New York bullpen. 

As for New York’s offense, it’d be really surprising if the team didn’t crush Detmers in this one. Only seven teams in the league have scored more runs than the Yankees this year — with the Angels actually being one of them — and it’s just hard to see Detmers being the one to slow this offense down. The lefty actually has an 8.49 ERA in 11 2-3 innings on the road this year, and he just seems like a high risk to give up a few homers in this game. 

Detmers doesn’t miss a lot of bats, and the Yankees will be looking to poke his fastballs over the short fences in the Bronx. 

The Over is also 7-3-1 in Los Angeles’ last 11 games as a road underdog, and it’s 9-4 in New York’s last 13 games against lefty starters.

Prediction: Over 7.5 (-115 at FanDuel)

Best bet

As previously mentioned, Detmers has allowed four homers over his last two starts, and the lefty just doesn’t have very impressive stuff. That means that he’s often giving hitters a good look at his pitches, and DJ LeMahieu is a guy that could make him pay for any mistakes he makes in this one. 

Whether it’s a home run or just an extra base hit — or multiple singles — LeMahieu is a guy that could have a huge game on Wednesday. 

The veteran is batting a ridiculous .383 in 47 at-bats against left-handed pitching this year, and he has crushed lefties his entire career. While LeMahieu’s .291 average with 67 homers and 386 RBIs in 3,615 at-bats against righties is phenomenal, his .319 batting average with 31 homers and 166 RBIs in only 1,376 at-bats against lefties is even better. 

Look for him to make a big impact on this game, and don’t be surprised if he goes yard in this one — making his home run prop of +700 worth a quarter-unit or so.

Pick: DJ LeMahieu Over 1.5 total bases (+115)

MLB parlays

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Use our MLB parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

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