WM Phoenix Open Sleeper Picks and Predictions: Brooks Brings A-Game to Scottsdale

Our WM Phoenix Open sleeper picks expect a big week from Brooks Koepka in his second start since returning to the PGA Tour.

Neil Parker - Analyst at Covers.com
Neil Parker • Betting Analyst
Feb 3, 2026 • 13:11 ET • 4 min read
Brooks Koepka WM Phoenix Open PGA Tour
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Brooks Koepka during his final round at the Farmers Insurance Open at Torrey Pines.

The WM Phoenix Open hosted at TPC Scottsdale is a fan favorite on the PGA Tour, and this week’s event is sure to lead perfectly into Super Bowl 60.

World No. 1 and two-time champion Scottie Scheffler is the betting favorite in the WM Phoenix Open odds, but I’m looking further down the board with my top longshot and sleeper golf picks.

WM Phoenix Open sleeper picks

  • McNealy to win outright (+3500)
  • Koepka to win outright (+4000)
  • Spieth to win outright (+5000)

Picks were made on 2-3 at 12:30 p.m. ET.

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WM Phoenix Open sleeper predictions

Sleeper pick to win: Maverick McNealy
+3500 at Fanatics

Maverick McNealy finished solo 10th at the Farmers last week, and it was his second consecutive event gaining true strokes across the board to affirm his game is firing on all cylinders. 

He’s also carded consecutive Top 10s in the WM Phoenix Open, including shooting a Saturday-low 63 last year and finishing third in true strokes gained putting for the event. 

Sleeper pick to win: Brooks Koepka
+4000 at Fanatics

A two-time winner at TPC Scottsdale, Brooks Koepka was 11th in true strokes gained tee-to-green at Torrey Pines last week but gifted away strokes on the Poa greens while finishing last in true strokes gained putting.

Considering Koepka has gained in the metric in each of his five trips to this event, with the oversized green complexes relatively flat and lacking undulation at TPC Scottsdale, I’m expecting his solid tee-to-green game to pave the way to a late tee time Sunday afternoon.

Sleeper pick to win: 
+5000 at Fanatics

Jordan Spieth gained true strokes across the board during his solid T24 start to the season at the Sony Open, and his track record at TPC Scottsdale pops.

In addition to his T4-T6-T6 run across his past three trips to the Waste Management, he’s added three more Top 10s across his nine total appearances in this event. Simply put, Spieth shouldn’t be trading this high.

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Neil Parker - Covers
Betting Analyst

Neil Parker is, first and foremost, a sports fan. A huge supporter of the Cowboys, Cubs, and Maple Leafs, he has managed to parlay his passion into writing gigs at some of the top websites in the industry.

Neil takes a numbers-based approach to his handicapping and complements his in-depth statistical analysis with a keen eye on the markets to provide the best available odds. He loves to lean on his rolodex of idioms to offset his inner nerd. When it comes to wagering, he throws down on anything that catches his eye at bet365, Betway and BetVictor. He also keeps a close eye on CoolBet because the polar bear brand often has outlier NHL and NFL moneyline prices.

Neil graduated with honors from St. Thomas University in 2007 before completing his BEd at Acadia University in 2010. After teaching a myriad of courses and subjects, he found a groove delivering fun lessons to exceptional learners in non-traditional classroom environments. If his decade-plus teaching run taught him anything about sports betting, it’s to stay the course and use the summer – or offseason – to refresh and prepare to be better in the year to come.

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