It was a statement Saturday from World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler, and the betting favorite in the PGA Championship odds is set for a third major championship on Sunday.
Setting aside the looming win for Scheffler, here are my other Round 4 picks for the PGA Championship at Quail Hollow Club.
Best PGA Championship Round 4 predictions
Pick: Keegan Bradley Under 71.5 Round 4 score
-105 at DraftKings
The American Ryder Cup captain bounced back in Round 3 with a solid 68 and hit 11 of 14 fairways for the third consecutive day. Keegan Bradley lost true strokes on approaches (-0.51) and fell off the map Friday, but I’m encouraged that he rebounded with a +1.58 mark in the metric Saturday.
He’s second in true strokes gained tee-to-green (+3.01) through three rounds, and Bradley has gained true strokes on the greens all three rounds to rank a respectable 47th in the field.
Pick: Jon Rahm Under 70.5 Round 4 score
-115 at DraftKings
I expect Jon Rahm to build on his strong Saturday with another solid showing in Round 4. His game has been incredibly tight, and he sits first in true strokes off-the-tee, 12th in true strokes tee-to-green, and 20th in putting.
Additionally, Rahm has gained true strokes putting in all three rounds and is coming off his best approach play Saturday to finish fourth in the field (+2.56). It propelled him to an impressive second-ranked +4.69 true strokes gained tee-to-green.
Pick: Rory McIlroy Under 4.5 birdies or better
+105 at DraftKings
This tourney hasn’t gone as planned for Rory McIlroy, and he carded exactly two birdies in both Rounds 1 and 3. Of course, he did charge Friday with six circles, but he did so losing -1.73 true strokes on approaches and finishing 129th in the metric.
McIlroy hasn’t gained true strokes across the board in a round yet, and I’m not convinced he can put it all together for a classic Rory Sunday. The weather forecast is calling for wind to pick up as the day unfolds, too, and McIlroy gained +1.76 true strokes putting in Round 3 and still didn’t break par.
It wasn’t his week, and I think the “driver controversy” had an impact. He only hit 10 of 24 fairways through the first two rounds and ranks an uncharacteristically low 44th in true strokes gained off-the-tee for the tournament.
Latest PGA Championship odds
- Scottie Scheffler: -450
- Alex Noren +1800
- Jon Rahm +2200
- J.T. Poston +3000
- Bryson DeChambeau +3000
Odds courtesy of DraftKings.
Not intended for use in MA.
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