John Deere Classic Sleeper Picks and Predictions: Fits Like a Glover

Our John Deere Classic sleeper picks are high on Michael Thorbjornsen, Lucas Glover, and Nico Echavarria at TPC Deere Run.

Neil Parker - Analyst at Covers.com
Neil Parker • Betting Analyst
Jun 30, 2025 • 15:08 ET • 4 min read
Lucas Glover John Deere Classic PGA Tour
Photo By - Imagn Images. Lucas Glover during U.S. Open action at Oakmont Country Club.

There isn’t a lot of PGA Tour star power heading to the John Deere Classic this week at TPC Deere Run. It’s a tricky schedule spot with the Scottish Open and The Open Championship across the pond the next two weeks.

The John Deere Classic odds have a large secondary tier of players below betting favorite Ben Griffin, and my top golf picks for the annual stop in the Quad Cities are highlighted by Michael Thorbjornsen.

John Deere Classic sleeper picks

Picks were made on 6-30 at 2:00 p.m. ET.

John Deere Classic sleeper predictions

Sleeper pick to win: Michael Thorbjornsen
+3500 at FanDuel

While maybe not a true long shot, Michael Thorbjornsen is certainly a player I want on my betting card this week. He’s coming off a tidy T4 at the Rocket Classic while gaining true strokes across the board, and the 23-year-old star in the making will be heading to TPC Deere Run for the third consecutive year. 

Of course, Thorbjornsen finished T2 in the 2024 edition while ranking second in true strokes gained tee-to-green and also carded a T17 in his 2023 debut at the track. Ranking ninth on the PGA Tour in birdie-or-better percentage also has my attention.

Sleeper pick to win: Lucas Glover
+4000 at DraftKings

The 2021 John Deere Classic champion carded a T23 in last year’s event and a T6 in 2022, so Lucas Glover’s game fits this track. He’s also coming off a solid T9 showing at the Travelers and ranked second in the field in true strokes gained approach and fourth in tee-to-green play to sit fourth in this field in both metrics for the season.

If Glover’s putter heats up, he’ll make a serious run at a second career win in the Quad Cities.

Sleeper pick to win: Nico Echavarria
+6000 at FanDuel

This is a nice number for a two-time PGA Tour winner who's coming off a T6 at the Rocket Classic and will be headed to the John Deere Classic for the third consecutive year. 

Nico Echavarria running hot and cold this season is nothing new, but the upside is there, and he can string together birdies. He’s 36th on the PGA Tour in birdie-or-better percentage, and the Colombian closed with a cool 66 on Sunday in Detroit while pacing the field in true strokes gained tee-to-green.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Neil Parker - Covers
Betting Analyst

Neil Parker is, first and foremost, a sports fan. A huge supporter of the Cowboys, Cubs, and Maple Leafs, he has managed to parlay his passion into writing gigs with Sportsbook Review, USA TODAY, theScore, DraftKings Playbook, and RotoWire, among many others. He also co-hosted the Daily Fantasy Edge podcast and can now be seen offering expert golf and hockey advice on Covers’ Before you Bet broadcast.

Neil takes a numbers-based approach to his handicapping and complements his in-depth statistical analysis with a keen eye on the markets to provide the best available odds. He loves to lean on his rolodex of idioms to offset his inner nerd. When it comes to wagering, he throws down on anything that catches his eye at bet365, Betway and BetVictor. He also keeps a close eye on CoolBet because the polar bear brand often has outlier NHL and NFL moneyline prices.

Neil graduated with honors from St. Thomas University in 2007 before completing his BEd at Acadia University in 2010. After teaching a myriad of courses and subjects, he found a groove delivering fun lessons to exceptional learners in non-traditional classroom environments. If his decade-plus teaching run taught him anything about sports betting, it’s to stay the course and use the summer – or offseason – to refresh and prepare to be better in the year to come.

Neil’s top pieces of advice for recreational bettors are to stay within your means and to remember sportsbooks aren’t bank accounts. Don’t be afraid to pull those winnings and treat yourself to a lifetime experience courtesy of a big win.

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