THE PLAYERS Championship Sleeper Picks and Predictions: Min Woo Lee comes through

Neil Parker - Analyst at Covers.com
Neil Parker • Betting Analyst 16+ years betting experience
Updated: Mar 10, 2026 , 02:03 PM ET • 4 min read

Parker's prediction: Min Woo Lee headlines the top longshots to target at TPC Sawgrass.

PGA Tour golfer Min Woo Lee during the second round of the 2025 PLAYERS.
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Min Woo Lee during the second round of the 2025 PLAYERS.

It’s time for THE PLAYERS Championship at The Stadium Course at TPC Sawgrass in Ponte Vedra Beach, Florida, and the best of the best on the PGA Tour will be competing for their share of the $25 million purse this week.

While World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler and defending champion Rory McIlroy are the betting favorites at the top of THE PLAYERS odds lists, I’m adding a trio of players from down the board to my latest golf picks.

THE PLAYERS Championship sleeper picks

Picks were made on Tuesday, March 10 at 10:00 a.m. ET.

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THE PLAYERS Championship sleeper predictions

Sleeper pick to win: Min Woo Lee
+4500 at BetMGM

One of Min Woo Lee’s first breakout performances on the PGA Tour was his T6 at the 2023 PLAYERS, and he arrives at TPC Sawgrass in excellent form for this year’s edition.

Lee is riding a T2-T12-T6 streak with strong strokes gained across the board, including seventh in the field in tee-to-green play.

I also like that he ranks fourth in Par-5 scoring and ninth in adjusted scoring average.

Sleeper pick to win: Sepp Straka
+4500 at BetMGM

The four-time PGA Tour winner has gained strokes on approaches in six consecutive events, including each of his past three trips to TPC Sawgrass.

Sepp Straka ranked 10th and 15th in strokes gained tee-to-green at THE PLAYERS over the past two years, finishing T14 and T16.

He’s also posted two Top 5s and two more Top 20s in his last six events, and Straka currently ranks eighth in strokes gained tee-to-green and ninth in approaches in this field to start the 2026 season.

Sleeper pick to win: Adam Scott
+6600 at BetMGM

While Adam Scott’s last win came all the way back in 2020, his game is clicking to start 2026. 

Scott ranks 14th in adjusted scoring average, fifth in Par-5 scoring, and sits 11th in the field in strokes gained tee-to-green and 14th in approaches.

One of the 45-year-old Aussie’s 14 PGA Tour wins also came right here in 2004, making Scott a flier worth targeting at this price.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Neil Parker - Covers
Betting Analyst

Neil Parker is, first and foremost, a sports fan. A huge supporter of the Cowboys, Cubs, and Maple Leafs, he has managed to parlay his passion into writing gigs at some of the top websites in the industry.

Neil takes a numbers-based approach to his handicapping and complements his in-depth statistical analysis with a keen eye on the markets to provide the best available odds. He loves to lean on his rolodex of idioms to offset his inner nerd. When it comes to wagering, he throws down on anything that catches his eye at bet365, Betway and BetVictor. He also keeps a close eye on CoolBet because the polar bear brand often has outlier NHL and NFL moneyline prices.

Neil graduated with honors from St. Thomas University in 2007 before completing his BEd at Acadia University in 2010. After teaching a myriad of courses and subjects, he found a groove delivering fun lessons to exceptional learners in non-traditional classroom environments. If his decade-plus teaching run taught him anything about sports betting, it’s to stay the course and use the summer – or offseason – to refresh and prepare to be better in the year to come.

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