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WNBA TUESDAY JULY 12

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Posted: #26
Quote Originally Posted by drifter44:



I respect your solid record and analysis, but whenever I try to bet based on the DUE theory it always bites me in the ass!!  BOL!! 


I don't put to much emphasis on ''THE DUE " either.
 
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Posted: #27
Quote Originally Posted by Pagort:

44, The winds of change have never been stronger. First Richardson, now Gillom. Who's next? I asked my book to handicap it, but they passed. I was delighted to see both go. Between Richardson's horrendous outfits (for those of you who missed it, envision snake skin boots and seventies blazers) and Gillom's grating personality, I can't imagine they'll be missed.  

On to your three bagger...Looking at the last boxscore, I see the teams managed 156 in regulation (25 of which was put up by CP). Initially, this makes me somewhat reluctant. That said, LA's defense has been horrendous the last couple games. They've allowed PHX and SEA to shoot over 50% from the floor. If there is an area on which Jellybean is going to focus prior to the next game, I think it will be shoring up the defense. Moreover, will he stick with the younger, speedier lineup? I can't imagine so. I don't think it's coincidental that Gillom was canned immediately after the game she benched Penicheiro and Thompson. So, I'm holding off (especially after the line movement). Perhaps a halftime bet.


If San Antonio can get to 88, and I'm not asking for too much. After all this is their game average and subtract that number from the projected spread of -7.

Does that mean we're looking at a 88-81 FINAL.

I WISH IT WAS THIS EASY. I LIKE MY BET

GOOD LUCK MR. P
 
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Posted: #28

44line down 159 now

i am waiting to pull the trigger

 
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Posted: #29
Je believe en toi my friend
 
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Posted: #30
2 more days till football
 
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Posted: #31
Quote Originally Posted by monterreymexico:

44line down 159 now

i am waiting to pull the trigger



I see this line is going against me now.
 
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Posted: #32
Am I missing something? The line's down to 159.
 
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Posted: #33
and most of books dont offer teasers on that game. One thing I can tell you guys for sure: that has happened before and in most cases, most? almost all the cases Socrates has been spot on. So, once you tail his logic - you gotta keep on trusting his initial pick. There is no point in double guessing him. In my opinion its a reverse line movement - created by books to reverse some money flow which probably was onopposite option and by RLM they are trying to balance the money by convincing the public money is on under
 
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Posted: #34
Quote Originally Posted by Pagort:

Am I missing something? The line's down to 159.


It's a misconception that the line always moves in my favor. It doesn't happen very often but here's the proof.

The new coach angle worked out well in Phoenix that I'm assuming the sports gambling syndicates think the correct play is under here.

We are lock and loaded Mr. P----------Never back done.
 
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Posted: #35
How much money do you think it takes to move these lines, 44?
 
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Posted: #36
i'm going to jump on this train with you if you don't mind...gl
 
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Posted: #37
There are also guys on here taking the under,in fact on this site your looking like the only over,which could be good or not,Bad has been hot and you and him are the 2 I look at,hes on the under and your over,lol.
 
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Posted: #38

Quote Originally Posted by Pagort:

How much money do you think it takes to move these lines, 44?

not much is why you see ridiculous line moves all the time in this sport.  i would associate a 2 point line move with a 1 point  or even a .5 line move in the nba.  if you look at the line historys for games they jump around constantly as money comes in...

let me give you an example, i was in vegas a few years back and 5 of us bet a game at a shit hole casino, hawaii in basteball...

anyway we all bet a 1k...by the time the 5th person bet he had a 1.5 point worse line lol.  poor guy, but we won

so the same is for this league, not a lot of many on these games so lines jump and 2 point moves really arent a big deal

 
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Posted: #39
the line is down because Right Angle Sports( RAS) released under 161 for the game at about 5:40 Pm EST.  It's artificial line movement.
 
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Posted: #40

Quote Originally Posted by Malamadre:

the line is down because Right Angle Sports( RAS) released under 161 for the game at about 5:40 Pm EST.  It's artificial line movement.

i ve been around a long time and ive never even heard of them. i promise you thats not why

 
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Posted: #41
Quote Originally Posted by Pagort:

How much money do you think it takes to move these lines, 44?


RAS has been consistently beating the WNBA for a few years now. They have a lot of followers and they are successful so it doesn't take much for the game to move. The Wnba is a mid size betting market Not sure what their record is this year. I don't follow them. I cap my own games.
 
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Posted: #42

dont worry 44

THEY HAVE A BAD RECORD

 
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Posted: #43

Quote Originally Posted by 44-dimes:



RAS has been consistently beating the WNBA for a few years now. They have a lot of followers and they are successful so it doesn't take much for the game to move. The Wnba is a mid size betting market Not sure what their record is this year. I don't follow them. I cap my own games.

guaranteed not better then yours

 
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Posted: #44
geezus, my local has it at 157.5.  i wanna dump more on this over, what do you think 44?
 
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Posted: #45
Ras is very much so around. Here is their posted play on another web page.


RAS
WNBA 

604 Los Angeles/San Antonio Under 161
 
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Posted: #46
oh i didnt realize when you said right angle sports.  i do know RAS... and they are not moving lines just like brandon lang etc... aint moving lines.  if you look at most of the touts plays in any sports they are at best 50% very rarely go with the line movement.  the only one ive seen move lines as soon as he releases picks is dr bob in college football/
 
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Posted: #47
they are 22-14 on the year so whoever said they have a bad record please dont say false information. personally I think 44 is better by a good margin since before this season RAS has 2 break even season after a great 2008.
 
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Posted: #48
My book is down to 158. I placed my first wager at 1:30 cst and it was at 160 1/2.  what to do, what to do, add more or just let it ride???
 
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Posted: #49
Quote Originally Posted by badlands:

oh i didnt realize when you said right angle sports.  i do know RAS... and they are not moving lines just like brandon lang etc... aint moving lines.  if you look at most of the touts plays in any sports they are at best 50% very rarely go with the line movement.  the only one ive seen move lines as soon as he releases picks is dr bob in college football/


RAS moves lines on every play they release, thats not debateable.  Whether the line movement means anything....I dont think so.
 
 
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Posted: #50
Quote Originally Posted by tonydan:

geezus, my local has it at 157.5.  i wanna dump more on this over, what do you think 44?


What can i tell you ? I wish i had this number. I'm stuck with 160.5

If this game lands on 158,159 or 160 I'm sticking my head in the TOILET
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