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    All Forums | WNBA

    Thursday and Friday

    MrFreedo
    Verdict
    Digitalkarma
    Marino1984
    VeritasAlways
    ...
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 1736
    Posts: 18
     
    MrFreedo
    MrFreedo
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    Posted: Jul. 31, 2025 - 12:12 AM ET #1

    77-46 (+23.07u)

    WASH -2 (-105) to win half u

    Friday:   
    IND/DAL o167.5 1.65u

    Posting Friday plays here to try and gain some CLV

    to win 1u unless noted
    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    77-46 (+23.07u)

    WASH -2 (-105) to win half u

    Friday:   
    IND/DAL o167.5 1.65u

    Posting Friday plays here to try and gain some CLV

     
    MrFreedo
    MrFreedo
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    Posted: Jul. 31, 2025 - 2:08 AM ET #2

    Add:

    PHX -115

    ATL 4th game in 6 days. Canada will be rested as long as Griner but I like PHX off a tough loss and ATL off a big win. Phoenix lost 4/5 games, they’ll be hungry. Play on road favorites off a road favorite loss (system play). 

    IND/DAL o167 (Will Hill) cashed out of 167.5 found 167

    Wings L10 games are dead last in fast break points allowed, FT rate allowed, and PPG allowed. Fever L10 8-2 to their opponent TT over. Dallas offense is getting better with Paige, Arike, and DJ playing together.

    Playing every game Friday. With a breakdown. 

     

    to win 1u unless noted
    Reply

    Add:

    PHX -115

    ATL 4th game in 6 days. Canada will be rested as long as Griner but I like PHX off a tough loss and ATL off a big win. Phoenix lost 4/5 games, they’ll be hungry. Play on road favorites off a road favorite loss (system play). 

    IND/DAL o167 (Will Hill) cashed out of 167.5 found 167

    Wings L10 games are dead last in fast break points allowed, FT rate allowed, and PPG allowed. Fever L10 8-2 to their opponent TT over. Dallas offense is getting better with Paige, Arike, and DJ playing together.

    Playing every game Friday. With a breakdown. 

     

     
    MrFreedo
    MrFreedo
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    Posted: Jul. 31, 2025 - 6:13 PM ET #3

    LA +6 (DK)

    SEA defense is really good but LA offense has been lights out in recent form and plays better on the road. Last game was a huge let down spot for LA and they only hit 4 3’s. SEA offensive rating is dead last L10 games. SEA won’t keep up and you’re giving me 6 points? I’m calling bullshit on this line. 

     

    to win 1u unless noted
    Reply

    LA +6 (DK)

    SEA defense is really good but LA offense has been lights out in recent form and plays better on the road. Last game was a huge let down spot for LA and they only hit 4 3’s. SEA offensive rating is dead last L10 games. SEA won’t keep up and you’re giving me 6 points? I’m calling bullshit on this line. 

     

     
    MrFreedo
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    Posted: Jul. 31, 2025 - 11:38 PM ET #4

    Paige Bueckers o17.5 points (even money)
    Half unit play

    Paige hit this in five straight home games, and 7 of 9 at the crib. Cleared in both games against Fever and I think she puts extra effort in when facing Indiana. We have a high total and should see points in this game.

    to win 1u unless noted
    Reply

    Paige Bueckers o17.5 points (even money)
    Half unit play

    Paige hit this in five straight home games, and 7 of 9 at the crib. Cleared in both games against Fever and I think she puts extra effort in when facing Indiana. We have a high total and should see points in this game.

     
    Verdict
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    Posted: Aug. 1, 2025 - 10:45 AM ET #5

    @MrFreedo

     Ind vs Dallas over 174 at Bet Rivers

    Reply

    @MrFreedo

     Ind vs Dallas over 174 at Bet Rivers

     
    Digitalkarma
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    Posted: Aug. 1, 2025 - 11:01 AM ET #6

    Good breakdowns Freedo GL! clover

     

    Seattle has been up and down lately so the Sparks may surprise today. I think Wings will grind this one out despite their defensive shortcomings they seem to be flowing offensively and as much as I love the Valks I don't know how they will do after playing 2 tough games and on a b2b even though Sky have been hot doo doo of late I can't convince myself to take the Sky without Ariel Atkins in the lineup.

    Sip on that plus money honey!
    Reply

    Good breakdowns Freedo GL! clover

     

    Seattle has been up and down lately so the Sparks may surprise today. I think Wings will grind this one out despite their defensive shortcomings they seem to be flowing offensively and as much as I love the Valks I don't know how they will do after playing 2 tough games and on a b2b even though Sky have been hot doo doo of late I can't convince myself to take the Sky without Ariel Atkins in the lineup.

     
    MrFreedo
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    Posted: Aug. 1, 2025 - 11:33 AM ET #7

    Quote Originally Posted by Verdict:

    @MrFreedo  Ind vs Dallas over 174 at Bet Rivers

    Told my buddy to take this game at open 167.5. He got back to me and said he grabbed 166.5 at FD. Lol

     

     

    to win 1u unless noted
    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by Verdict:

    @MrFreedo  Ind vs Dallas over 174 at Bet Rivers

    Told my buddy to take this game at open 167.5. He got back to me and said he grabbed 166.5 at FD. Lol

     

     

     
    MrFreedo
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    Posted: Aug. 1, 2025 - 11:36 AM ET #8

    Quote Originally Posted by Digitalkarma:

    Good breakdowns Freedo GL!    Seattle has been up and down lately so the Sparks may surprise today. I think Wings will grind this one out despite their defensive shortcomings they seem to be flowing offensively and as much as I love the Valks I don't know how they will do after playing 2 tough games and on a b2b even though Sky have been hot doo doo of late I can't convince myself to take the Sky without Ariel Atkins in the lineup.

    @Digitalkarma

    Had this game circled but then Reese was out.  I’m at the point betting against GS isn’t worth the stress. 

    to win 1u unless noted
    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by Digitalkarma:

    Good breakdowns Freedo GL!    Seattle has been up and down lately so the Sparks may surprise today. I think Wings will grind this one out despite their defensive shortcomings they seem to be flowing offensively and as much as I love the Valks I don't know how they will do after playing 2 tough games and on a b2b even though Sky have been hot doo doo of late I can't convince myself to take the Sky without Ariel Atkins in the lineup.

    @Digitalkarma

    Had this game circled but then Reese was out.  I’m at the point betting against GS isn’t worth the stress. 

     
    Digitalkarma
    Digitalkarma
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    Posted: Aug. 1, 2025 - 11:44 AM ET #9

    Quote Originally Posted by MrFreedo:

    Quote Originally Posted by Digitalkarma: Good breakdowns Freedo GL!    Seattle has been up and down lately so the Sparks may surprise today. I think Wings will grind this one out despite their defensive shortcomings they seem to be flowing offensively and as much as I love the Valks I don't know how they will do after playing 2 tough games and on a b2b even though Sky have been hot doo doo of late I can't convince myself to take the Sky without Ariel Atkins in the lineup. @Digitalkarma Had this game circled but then Reese was out.  I’m at the point betting against GS isn’t worth the stress.

     

    She is out again? No way that back is giving her a lot of problems unless she been laying on her back alot lolnew_heavy_cry

    I'm surprised this line is just -5.5. Valk should make it 3 in a row they earned it

    Sip on that plus money honey!
    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by MrFreedo:

    Quote Originally Posted by Digitalkarma: Good breakdowns Freedo GL!    Seattle has been up and down lately so the Sparks may surprise today. I think Wings will grind this one out despite their defensive shortcomings they seem to be flowing offensively and as much as I love the Valks I don't know how they will do after playing 2 tough games and on a b2b even though Sky have been hot doo doo of late I can't convince myself to take the Sky without Ariel Atkins in the lineup. @Digitalkarma Had this game circled but then Reese was out.  I’m at the point betting against GS isn’t worth the stress.

     

    She is out again? No way that back is giving her a lot of problems unless she been laying on her back alot lolnew_heavy_cry

    I'm surprised this line is just -5.5. Valk should make it 3 in a row they earned it

     
    MrFreedo
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    Posted: Aug. 1, 2025 - 11:50 AM ET #10

    So far if you bet every total at open you’ve gained 25 points, and with sides 33. Will go up still before tip lol. 

    Could literally have no clue about WNBA totals and middle every bet. 

    Meanwhile since legalized gambling MLB lines are so bad there’s no value anymore. 

    WNBA forum and market has no popularity. Best kept secret in wagering. Wish it wasn’t getting more popular. 

    to win 1u unless noted
    Reply

    So far if you bet every total at open you’ve gained 25 points, and with sides 33. Will go up still before tip lol. 

    Could literally have no clue about WNBA totals and middle every bet. 

    Meanwhile since legalized gambling MLB lines are so bad there’s no value anymore. 

    WNBA forum and market has no popularity. Best kept secret in wagering. Wish it wasn’t getting more popular. 

     
    Marino1984
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    Posted: Aug. 1, 2025 - 11:50 AM ET #11

    Great stuff Mr. Freedo and thank you for posting these and early!! Was able to lock in some great numbers yesterday, as compared to the current lines. Best of luck!

    Reply

    Great stuff Mr. Freedo and thank you for posting these and early!! Was able to lock in some great numbers yesterday, as compared to the current lines. Best of luck!

     
    MrFreedo
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    Posted: Aug. 1, 2025 - 12:01 PM ET #12

    Quote Originally Posted by Digitalkarma:

    Quote Originally Posted by MrFreedo: Quote Originally Posted by Digitalkarma: Good breakdowns Freedo GL!    Seattle has been up and down lately so the Sparks may surprise today. I think Wings will grind this one out despite their defensive shortcomings they seem to be flowing offensively and as much as I love the Valks I don't know how they will do after playing 2 tough games and on a b2b even though Sky have been hot doo doo of late I can't convince myself to take the Sky without Ariel Atkins in the lineup. @Digitalkarma Had this game circled but then Reese was out.  I’m at the point betting against GS isn’t worth the stress.   She is out again? No way that back is giving her a lot of problems unless she been laying on her back alot lol I'm surprised this line is just -5.5. Valk should make it 3 in a row they earned it

    @Digitalkarma

    I’m not sure how the draft lottery works in the W. Might as well tank if no playoffs. 

    I’ve been trying to figure out this Conn/NY game. This total is inflated to shit and the NY schedule and with rest has been brutal. The’ve lost 3 straight though. Taking Connecticut may be too grimy. 

    to win 1u unless noted
    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by Digitalkarma:

    Quote Originally Posted by MrFreedo: Quote Originally Posted by Digitalkarma: Good breakdowns Freedo GL!    Seattle has been up and down lately so the Sparks may surprise today. I think Wings will grind this one out despite their defensive shortcomings they seem to be flowing offensively and as much as I love the Valks I don't know how they will do after playing 2 tough games and on a b2b even though Sky have been hot doo doo of late I can't convince myself to take the Sky without Ariel Atkins in the lineup. @Digitalkarma Had this game circled but then Reese was out.  I’m at the point betting against GS isn’t worth the stress.   She is out again? No way that back is giving her a lot of problems unless she been laying on her back alot lol I'm surprised this line is just -5.5. Valk should make it 3 in a row they earned it

    @Digitalkarma

    I’m not sure how the draft lottery works in the W. Might as well tank if no playoffs. 

    I’ve been trying to figure out this Conn/NY game. This total is inflated to shit and the NY schedule and with rest has been brutal. The’ve lost 3 straight though. Taking Connecticut may be too grimy. 

     
    VeritasAlways
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    Posted: Aug. 1, 2025 - 1:48 PM ET #13

    To add to the stats you're considering for the New York game, the Liberty are Double Digit Favs.

    I have these at 28-28-1 all games, 10-12 ATS Rd teams. No real variance/edge to exploit there. 

    For totals I have 28-29 all games, no edge there either. But broken down into Hm/Rd, the Over is 15-20 when it's a Double Digit Hm Fav (a profitable Fade at 57%) and 13-9 when it's a Double Digit Rd Fav, a nice edge at 59%.)

    I haven't pulled the trigger on a side or total in this one yet, not sure if I will, but good luck on your plays today.

     

     

    I always wave back at the little Amazon guy. I feel like it's the courteous thing to do.
    Reply

    To add to the stats you're considering for the New York game, the Liberty are Double Digit Favs.

    I have these at 28-28-1 all games, 10-12 ATS Rd teams. No real variance/edge to exploit there. 

    For totals I have 28-29 all games, no edge there either. But broken down into Hm/Rd, the Over is 15-20 when it's a Double Digit Hm Fav (a profitable Fade at 57%) and 13-9 when it's a Double Digit Rd Fav, a nice edge at 59%.)

    I haven't pulled the trigger on a side or total in this one yet, not sure if I will, but good luck on your plays today.

     

     

     
    westlake888
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    Posted: Aug. 1, 2025 - 1:58 PM ET #14

    @MrFreedo

     cloverpeace_5

    Reply

    @MrFreedo

     cloverpeace_5

     
    MrFreedo
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    Posted: Aug. 1, 2025 - 3:19 PM ET #15

    Quote Originally Posted by VeritasAlways:

    To add to the stats you're considering for the New York game, the Liberty are Double Digit Favs. I have these at 28-28-1 all games, 10-12 ATS Rd teams. No real variance/edge to exploit there.  For totals I have 28-29 all games, no edge there either. But broken down into Hm/Rd, the Over is 15-20 when it's a Double Digit Hm Fav (a profitable Fade at 57%) and 13-9 when it's a Double Digit Rd Fav, a nice edge at 59%.) I haven't pulled the trigger on a side or total in this one yet, not sure if I will, but good luck on your plays today.

    @VeritasAlways

    Saw a stat that teams giving up 90+ 3 straight games and are now favored on the road 0-4 to the under. Small sample. I think this number is too high now. Might play under before tip if it goes up more. 

    bol today

    to win 1u unless noted
    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by VeritasAlways:

    To add to the stats you're considering for the New York game, the Liberty are Double Digit Favs. I have these at 28-28-1 all games, 10-12 ATS Rd teams. No real variance/edge to exploit there.  For totals I have 28-29 all games, no edge there either. But broken down into Hm/Rd, the Over is 15-20 when it's a Double Digit Hm Fav (a profitable Fade at 57%) and 13-9 when it's a Double Digit Rd Fav, a nice edge at 59%.) I haven't pulled the trigger on a side or total in this one yet, not sure if I will, but good luck on your plays today.

    @VeritasAlways

    Saw a stat that teams giving up 90+ 3 straight games and are now favored on the road 0-4 to the under. Small sample. I think this number is too high now. Might play under before tip if it goes up more. 

    bol today

     
    MrFreedo
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    Posted: Aug. 1, 2025 - 7:26 PM ET #16

    Sun TT u80.5

    to win 1u unless noted
    Reply

    Sun TT u80.5

     
    MrFreedo
    MrFreedo
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: May, 2017
    Posts: 9284
    Posted: Aug. 2, 2025 - 12:39 AM ET #17

    3-3 (-.83u)

    Epic LA cover wow 2OT great game

    Fever/Dallas over screwed me

    onto tomorrow 

    to win 1u unless noted
    Reply

    3-3 (-.83u)

    Epic LA cover wow 2OT great game

    Fever/Dallas over screwed me

    onto tomorrow 

     
     
    westlake888
    westlake888
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jul, 2019
    Posts: 9897
    Posted: Aug. 2, 2025 - 12:45 AM ET #18

    @MrFreedo

     Nice call on Sparks bro an_clappeace_5

    Reply

    @MrFreedo

     Nice call on Sparks bro an_clappeace_5

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