Fever vs Mercury Thursday

Thoughts? 

Line opening at +6.5 was confusing as hell. Huh? 

I've went back and forth..

You do data?  

well if that’s the case the home favorite Merc were lined over -10 points last 2 games and covered both.  That makes the look better and could make the line look appealing and appetizing.  

My first thought here is the fog but I have not looked at the fog team yet 

p:AL and AD and line<6 and op:ats margin>0 and opp:ats margin>0 and season>2017

The way I see this game is dog and under 

the previous matchup was totaled at 167. Both teams scored over 100 points in that game. 

the previous Fever game went over a total line of 178 

I would have liked to see the mercury go over their last games but they are on a 3 game under run.  That is holding this total down some. 

none the less I’m going dog and under here 

@spottie2935 

I need to learn SDQL. Badly. I use moneyballer. 

Original thoughts were over/PHX as a revenge game. Then I looked at everything. PHX is the #1 under team L10 games and Indy 8-4 ATS as a dog winning SU 7-5, and your query now 74% ats. 

Lately Indy playing well and phx not so good. Beating up on two cupcakes last game. I do expect phx to turn it around at some point soon. 

I just don’t get the line. I think this should be -2.5. Opened at +6.5 is nuts. Do they want Fever money? It spooked me. Maybe just a bad opener. 

Sparks/Conn o175

LA at home 10-3 to the over and 7-1 as home favorites. LA opponent team total over L10 is 9-1. Both teams dead last in PPG allowed L10 at home and on the road. Couple weeks ago Sun scored 86 points vs them.

May play Ind/Pho UNDER before tip.

it’s a bad opener to get a feel and quickly adjusted and now balanced.  

I love playing against non elite favorites that covered against crap now playing a real team.  That’s why the high opener a adjusted quickly 

just my opinion though 

Play it in-game you can catch something better  or just pass 

I bet under in both those high totals not clear if I win or lose both lol 

I bet Indy too but not +6 

@MrFreedo

 Let's go!!! I Super agree with the over in LA Sparks game.

I took Phoenix -4. Feel like this is a good price at home with the xfactor on your side.  None of the teams stopped each other last time, but pho does plays better defense at home.  Slight rest advantage with no travel and indy could be tired. Their defense didn't look good vs LA. White will focus on defense likely so that bodes well for your under.  We will see if they can stop them in PHO. AT beasted them last time. Pho beat some top teams at home this season and I hope this could be another spot they flex.  GL on your under if u take 

@SpartanG

good info

Phx defense at home L5 games ranked 2nd and Fever on 4th road game. 2 things I noticed. I’m just going to watch.  bol

Sparks/Conn o175

@MrFreedo

@SpartanG

 Nice read on Pho game under  

@westlake888

 Thanks west! felt even more confident when I saw you on Phoenix.