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    All Forums | WNBA

    Fever vs Mercury Thursday

    MrFreedo
    spottie2935
    jdukes0004
    SpartanG
    westlake888
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    Views: 1231
    Posts: 16
     
    MrFreedo
    MrFreedo
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    Posted: Aug. 7, 2025 - 2:28 AM ET #1

    Thoughts? 

    Line opening at +6.5 was confusing as hell. Huh? 

    I've went back and forth..

    an_popcorn

    to win 1u unless noted
    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    Thoughts? 

    Line opening at +6.5 was confusing as hell. Huh? 

    I've went back and forth..

    an_popcorn

     
    spottie2935
    spottie2935
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    Posted: Aug. 7, 2025 - 9:31 AM ET #2

    You do data?  

    well if that’s the case the home favorite Merc were lined over -10 points last 2 games and covered both.  That makes the look better and could make the line look appealing and appetizing.  

    My first thought here is the fog but I have not looked at the fog team yet 

     

     

    Spottie2935 on socials
    Reply

    You do data?  

    well if that’s the case the home favorite Merc were lined over -10 points last 2 games and covered both.  That makes the look better and could make the line look appealing and appetizing.  

    My first thought here is the fog but I have not looked at the fog team yet 

     

     

     
    spottie2935
    spottie2935
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    Posted: Aug. 7, 2025 - 9:44 AM ET #3

    p:AL and AD and line<6 and op:ats margin>0 and opp:ats margin>0 and season>2017

    Spottie2935 on socials
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    p:AL and AD and line<6 and op:ats margin>0 and opp:ats margin>0 and season>2017

     
    spottie2935
    spottie2935
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    Posted: Aug. 7, 2025 - 9:56 AM ET #4

    The way I see this game is dog and under 

     

    the previous matchup was totaled at 167. Both teams scored over 100 points in that game. 

    the previous Fever game went over a total line of 178 

     

    I would have liked to see the mercury go over their last games but they are on a 3 game under run.  That is holding this total down some. 

    none the less I’m going dog and under here 

    Spottie2935 on socials
    Reply

    The way I see this game is dog and under 

     

    the previous matchup was totaled at 167. Both teams scored over 100 points in that game. 

    the previous Fever game went over a total line of 178 

     

    I would have liked to see the mercury go over their last games but they are on a 3 game under run.  That is holding this total down some. 

    none the less I’m going dog and under here 

     
    MrFreedo
    MrFreedo
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    Posted: Aug. 7, 2025 - 11:40 AM ET #5

    @spottie2935 

    I need to learn SDQL. Badly. I use moneyballer. 

    Original thoughts were over/PHX as a revenge game. Then I looked at everything. PHX is the #1 under team L10 games and Indy 8-4 ATS as a dog winning SU 7-5, and your query now 74% ats. 

    Lately Indy playing well and phx not so good. Beating up on two cupcakes last game. I do expect phx to turn it around at some point soon. 

    I just don’t get the line. I think this should be -2.5. Opened at +6.5 is nuts. Do they want Fever money? It spooked me. Maybe just a bad opener. 

    to win 1u unless noted
    Reply

    @spottie2935 

    I need to learn SDQL. Badly. I use moneyballer. 

    Original thoughts were over/PHX as a revenge game. Then I looked at everything. PHX is the #1 under team L10 games and Indy 8-4 ATS as a dog winning SU 7-5, and your query now 74% ats. 

    Lately Indy playing well and phx not so good. Beating up on two cupcakes last game. I do expect phx to turn it around at some point soon. 

    I just don’t get the line. I think this should be -2.5. Opened at +6.5 is nuts. Do they want Fever money? It spooked me. Maybe just a bad opener. 

     
    MrFreedo
    MrFreedo
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    Posted: Aug. 7, 2025 - 2:31 PM ET #6

    Sparks/Conn o175

    LA at home 10-3 to the over and 7-1 as home favorites. LA opponent team total over L10 is 9-1. Both teams dead last in PPG allowed L10 at home and on the road. Couple weeks ago Sun scored 86 points vs them.

    May play Ind/Pho UNDER before tip.

    to win 1u unless noted
    Reply

    Sparks/Conn o175

    LA at home 10-3 to the over and 7-1 as home favorites. LA opponent team total over L10 is 9-1. Both teams dead last in PPG allowed L10 at home and on the road. Couple weeks ago Sun scored 86 points vs them.

    May play Ind/Pho UNDER before tip.

     
    spottie2935
    spottie2935
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    Posted: Aug. 7, 2025 - 2:44 PM ET #7

    Quote Originally Posted by MrFreedo:

    @spottie2935  I need to learn SDQL. Badly. I use moneyballer.  Original thoughts were over/PHX as a revenge game. Then I looked at everything. PHX is the #1 under team L10 games and Indy 8-4 ATS as a dog winning SU 7-5, and your query now 74% ats.  Lately Indy playing well and phx not so good. Beating up on two cupcakes last game. I do expect phx to turn it around at some point soon.  I just don’t get the line. I think this should be -2.5. Opened at +6.5 is nuts. Do they want Fever money? It spooked me. Maybe just a bad opener.

     

    it’s a bad opener to get a feel and quickly adjusted and now balanced.  

    I love playing against non elite favorites that covered against crap now playing a real team.  That’s why the high opener a adjusted quickly 

     

    just my opinion though 

     

    Play it in-game you can catch something better  or just pass 

    Spottie2935 on socials
    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by MrFreedo:

    @spottie2935  I need to learn SDQL. Badly. I use moneyballer.  Original thoughts were over/PHX as a revenge game. Then I looked at everything. PHX is the #1 under team L10 games and Indy 8-4 ATS as a dog winning SU 7-5, and your query now 74% ats.  Lately Indy playing well and phx not so good. Beating up on two cupcakes last game. I do expect phx to turn it around at some point soon.  I just don’t get the line. I think this should be -2.5. Opened at +6.5 is nuts. Do they want Fever money? It spooked me. Maybe just a bad opener.

     

    it’s a bad opener to get a feel and quickly adjusted and now balanced.  

    I love playing against non elite favorites that covered against crap now playing a real team.  That’s why the high opener a adjusted quickly 

     

    just my opinion though 

     

    Play it in-game you can catch something better  or just pass 

     
    spottie2935
    spottie2935
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    Posted: Aug. 7, 2025 - 2:46 PM ET #8

    I bet under in both those high totals not clear if I win or lose both lol 

    Spottie2935 on socials
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    I bet under in both those high totals not clear if I win or lose both lol 

     
    spottie2935
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    Posted: Aug. 7, 2025 - 2:46 PM ET #9

    I bet Indy too but not +6 

    Spottie2935 on socials
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    I bet Indy too but not +6 

     
    jdukes0004
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    Posted: Aug. 7, 2025 - 7:37 PM ET #10

    @MrFreedo

     Let's go!!! I Super agree with the over in LA Sparks game.peace_5

    Money Management and discipline is the key to success in sports investing
    Reply

    @MrFreedo

     Let's go!!! I Super agree with the over in LA Sparks game.peace_5

     
    SpartanG
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    Posted: Aug. 7, 2025 - 9:15 PM ET #11

    I took Phoenix -4. Feel like this is a good price at home with the xfactor on your side.  None of the teams stopped each other last time, but pho does plays better defense at home.  Slight rest advantage with no travel and indy could be tired. Their defense didn't look good vs LA. White will focus on defense likely so that bodes well for your under.  We will see if they can stop them in PHO. AT beasted them last time. Pho beat some top teams at home this season and I hope this could be another spot they flex.  GL on your under if u take clover

    Reply

    I took Phoenix -4. Feel like this is a good price at home with the xfactor on your side.  None of the teams stopped each other last time, but pho does plays better defense at home.  Slight rest advantage with no travel and indy could be tired. Their defense didn't look good vs LA. White will focus on defense likely so that bodes well for your under.  We will see if they can stop them in PHO. AT beasted them last time. Pho beat some top teams at home this season and I hope this could be another spot they flex.  GL on your under if u take clover

     
    MrFreedo
    MrFreedo
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    Posted: Aug. 7, 2025 - 9:43 PM ET #12

    @SpartanG

    peace_5

    good info

    Phx defense at home L5 games ranked 2nd and Fever on 4th road game. 2 things I noticed. I’m just going to watch.  bol

     

     

    to win 1u unless noted
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    @SpartanG

    peace_5

    good info

    Phx defense at home L5 games ranked 2nd and Fever on 4th road game. 2 things I noticed. I’m just going to watch.  bol

     

     

     
    MrFreedo
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    Posted: Aug. 7, 2025 - 11:57 PM ET #13

    Sparks/Conn o175

    moneybag

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    Sparks/Conn o175

    moneybag

     
    westlake888
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    Posted: Aug. 8, 2025 - 12:05 AM ET #14

    @MrFreedo

     an_clapan_cheerspeace_5

    Reply

    @MrFreedo

     an_clapan_cheerspeace_5

     
    westlake888
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    Posted: Aug. 8, 2025 - 12:07 AM ET #15

    @SpartanG

     Nice read on Pho game under peace_5 

    Reply

    @SpartanG

     Nice read on Pho game under peace_5 

     
     
    SpartanG
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    Posted: Aug. 8, 2025 - 12:43 AM ET #16

    @westlake888

     Thanks west! felt even more confident when I saw you on Phoenix. peace_5

    Reply

    @westlake888

     Thanks west! felt even more confident when I saw you on Phoenix. peace_5

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