2025

season > 2019 and D and game number < 7 and line < 8 and opS(playoffs) < 3  and total>163

and n:site = away

Terrible value but Indy at 4-1 to win the chip 

39>p:ou margin>=15 and p:total>162 and 6>ou streak>2 and game number>9 and p:total<=170 and total>159 and op:points>72 and o:ou streak>-3 and line>-9

F and game number<6 and 9>tpS(playoffs)>1

Good to you back Spottie.

may play one or 2 preseason games 

Think we'll see pre-season game markets? I was thinking yes since all the pre-season is televised. 

Hey Spottie, this season has crept up quickly on us and I saw some interesting player movements and I do like your thinking on Indy. Some of these rosters look horrible at the same time so I expect to see some large lines this season. All the best mate

@AussieDownUnder

 Thx Aussie. Nice to see you.  All the best 

@KivKash

 I’m not sure but I didn’t look hard. 

@Desertcapper

 Nice to see you Desert 

@AussieDownUnder

 Rosters have been unkind to some teams for a while now.  Remember The Stars  before they moved to Vegas? Indy was pretty trash before last season.  Washington was trash last year but a lot of big lines bailed them out.  I doubt they cover a lot this season,  we’ll see.  

I think the lynx are good but the aces Liberty and sun probably regress, at least a little.  

If you guys remember last years start the dogs took off hot.  Before the cup games started.  Usually early season regression 

I know it sounds silly but I played fantasy head to head now 3rd year.  It helps me understand talent distribution. 

Mark my words the new team will make a few big upsets and probably early.  Early season games are as close to preseason games as they are going to get. It happens a lot in sports. 

I can recall the Texans against Cowboys Vegas against Blackhawks in NFL.  

I see a Indy -34.5 against the Brazil National team today. Any thoughts? I'm thinking that seems like a USA Team type spread. Also, Indy of a preseason back to back for some reason, and not going to play starters huge minutes. So basically Indy's bench laying 34.5? Seem crazy to me.

@mattyp13

 I can’t bet on a team that I have no clue on.  Seems legit to take that many points though. 

Sun and Storm I’ll be tracking a little.  Even with the injuries and sit outs I need I for on the Sun and even to a slight lesser degree Storm as well. 

who are the Sun this season.  I don’t recognize many names.  

Storm -7 and 150.5 is the line I see. 

Indy is a bully.  

Haha, true. I was way off with how I thought the game would go. My buddy said it best, women are more ruthless when it comes to larger spreads.

2024 results that can have meaning.  now some of these will be stale because of off season changes but some will continue on

a teams result when the total was below 160.  the overall total lines have increased in past seasons so when a team has a lot of games when the total was below 160 is a tell.  They either dont score or they play good D and or work the ball on offense. 

season>2022 and t:team and total<160

team     #of results    overs

Sun          53                 28

Mystics     36                 15

Lynx         31                 14

Sky          30                 17

Sparks     24                  7

the rest of the teams are not lined as many time so historically higher scoring.  

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doing the opposite looking at totals >169

season>2022 and t:team and total>169

team   # of results     overs

Aces       64              30

Wings    36               23

Liberty 29                 12

Fever 24                   15

the rest of the squads are below 20 results 

Aces made quite a few offseason moves I believe this might have an effect on the number of times the total is above 169.  Early in the season if the lines still should be high based upon so many past high lines.  

If thats the case: 

The Aces should be an under team

In the other post the Sun were an a dominate under team and if this flip flops they should be an over team.

Maybe because of all the changes in the Suns roster and coaches they dont have the team they did in past seasons.  They could lack some defense, or some offensive ball control.  maybe turnover and rebounds are a problem now.  All this its very possible.  

-=======================

Aces unders 

Sun overs 

The last 2 season there are only 3 teams that have been dogs less than 40 times.  
Aces=6, Liberty=12, Sun=27.  

Wings are 4th @45 

Last 2 are:

Sky @ 59

Sparks @ 61

The worst dog is the Merc  @ 35 % ATS when a dog 20-35 ATS record 

the best is the Lynx @ 49 games 30-19 ATS.  They took off last season.  

DA and n:A and tpS(W)>2 and game number>15 and playoffs=0 and 5>ats streak>-2 and streak<3 and total>=160 and line>3 and total<169 and tppS(W)>5 and opS(W)<42 and season>2014 and n:line<10 and p:points>69

Half time bet :

Mystics+18.5 

Dream under 89.5 points