Posted:
#1
Alright so before we start. I am not a tout, I don't have a website like some have suggested (I know there is a Sports Investors Group site out there but I am in no way associated with them) and I just picked this username for the hell of it since I have homes in a few places, Vegas being one of them.
Tournament System Explanation
On a scale of 0-7 I have rated teams in terms of their betting value this tournament based on several factors that are attributed with the last 10 NCAA Tournament Champions. Among the factors that gives each team a rating (which I won't revel the ratings just yet because then everyone will have the same bracket as me using these rating) are FG % on both sides, ability to produce NBA talent players, win streaks, losing streaks and overall performance.
So based on the rating I have given every team for this tournament (obviously the only 7 is the winner), I will use these ratings for betting purposes and put them up against betting lines.
Scale
0: This is a team that got into the NCAA Tournament by virtue of default (conference tournament winner) or because of the Conference they play in. No value.
1: These are smaller conference teams who dominated their conferences all year and typically they don't carry much value.
2: Some of these teams will win first round matchups because of a weak opponent but none of these teams will make it past Round 2. It's mathematically proven
3: None of these teams are going to win Regions but there are some TOP 25 ranked teams in this group and some from this group will no doubt reach the Sweet 16 at least.
4: The pack is getting smaller now and some of these teams have a shot at the Elite Eight and maybe even the Final Four because I can tell you right that one of the number 1 seeds is 4 rating.
5: Not too many of these, some of the 1 seeds fall into this category and some of the middle of pack teams fall into this category carrying a ton of value in every single one of their games this tournament.
6: Only team is in this category and they are one of my picks for the Championship Game. This is a team that is very close to Championship form and had it not been for a 7 team, they would be the ones.
7: This is my picks for NCAA Tournament Champion because they have every single element needed to win Championships and carry all the traits of the last 10 winners. Duke did as well last year.
So after all that, I still have to be the judge of rating versus line but I'll do the best I can and we will go from there. GOOD LUCK TO EVERYONE AND HAPPY MADNESS.
-------------------------------------------------------------
System Plays
3/15: Arkansas-Little Rock +4
3/15: UAB +4
0-0 ATS this NCAA Tournament with pending and more to come.
Team System Ratings
Clemson (3)
UAB (2)
NC Asheville (1)
Arkansas Little Rock (0)
Tournament System Explanation
On a scale of 0-7 I have rated teams in terms of their betting value this tournament based on several factors that are attributed with the last 10 NCAA Tournament Champions. Among the factors that gives each team a rating (which I won't revel the ratings just yet because then everyone will have the same bracket as me using these rating) are FG % on both sides, ability to produce NBA talent players, win streaks, losing streaks and overall performance.
So based on the rating I have given every team for this tournament (obviously the only 7 is the winner), I will use these ratings for betting purposes and put them up against betting lines.
Scale
0: This is a team that got into the NCAA Tournament by virtue of default (conference tournament winner) or because of the Conference they play in. No value.
1: These are smaller conference teams who dominated their conferences all year and typically they don't carry much value.
2: Some of these teams will win first round matchups because of a weak opponent but none of these teams will make it past Round 2. It's mathematically proven
3: None of these teams are going to win Regions but there are some TOP 25 ranked teams in this group and some from this group will no doubt reach the Sweet 16 at least.
4: The pack is getting smaller now and some of these teams have a shot at the Elite Eight and maybe even the Final Four because I can tell you right that one of the number 1 seeds is 4 rating.
5: Not too many of these, some of the 1 seeds fall into this category and some of the middle of pack teams fall into this category carrying a ton of value in every single one of their games this tournament.
6: Only team is in this category and they are one of my picks for the Championship Game. This is a team that is very close to Championship form and had it not been for a 7 team, they would be the ones.
7: This is my picks for NCAA Tournament Champion because they have every single element needed to win Championships and carry all the traits of the last 10 winners. Duke did as well last year.
So after all that, I still have to be the judge of rating versus line but I'll do the best I can and we will go from there. GOOD LUCK TO EVERYONE AND HAPPY MADNESS.
-------------------------------------------------------------
System Plays
3/15: Arkansas-Little Rock +4
3/15: UAB +4
0-0 ATS this NCAA Tournament with pending and more to come.
Team System Ratings
Clemson (3)
UAB (2)
NC Asheville (1)
Arkansas Little Rock (0)
Much appreciation and GL!
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