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    All Forums | Website Promotions

    NHL Home Chase

    «First Previous 121314 ... 212223 Next Last»
    smitler
    stevenc333
    longtermmoney
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    «First Previous 121314 ... 212223 Next Last»
     
    smitler
    smitler
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    Posted: Mar. 24, 2010 - 2:34 PM ET #276

    B STL pl
    A BUF
    A MON pl
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    B STL pl
    A BUF
    A MON pl
     
    stevenc333
    stevenc333
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    Posted: Mar. 24, 2010 - 3:07 PM ET #277

    can someone please explain why STL is a B bet? I see this as a one game road game. I thought these plays were for series at home or on the road for 3 or more games. Thanks.
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    can someone please explain why STL is a B bet? I see this as a one game road game. I thought these plays were for series at home or on the road for 3 or more games. Thanks.
     
    stevenc333
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    Posted: Mar. 24, 2010 - 3:08 PM ET #278

    sorry meant one game road trip lol
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    sorry meant one game road trip lol
     
    smitler
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    Posted: Mar. 24, 2010 - 6:21 PM ET #279

    Quote Originally Posted by stevenc333:

    sorry meant one game road trip lol


    Did you figure it out or do I need to explain it.
    DET has home stand. Last game DET won by 2 so new road team gets PL play and that be STL.
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    Quote Originally Posted by stevenc333:

    sorry meant one game road trip lol


    Did you figure it out or do I need to explain it.
    DET has home stand. Last game DET won by 2 so new road team gets PL play and that be STL.
     
    stevenc333
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    Posted: Mar. 24, 2010 - 7:03 PM ET #280

    so you're chasing a detroit home loss?
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    so you're chasing a detroit home loss?
     
    stevenc333
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    Posted: Mar. 24, 2010 - 7:07 PM ET #281

    I looked at all 3 systems and the .1 modifications and don't see where this would fall under...please help!!!!
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    I looked at all 3 systems and the .1 modifications and don't see where this would fall under...please help!!!!
     
    smitler
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    Posted: Mar. 25, 2010 - 7:57 AM ET #282

    System requirement is a 3 or more game HOME stand.
    You decide your own money management style.

    Option 1.0: Chase home team ML or PL if dog
    Option 1.1: New chase after Option 1.0 win if 3 or more home games remain
    I have just been calling it HML/PL.

    Option 2.0:  Chase Option 1.0 road team ML
    Option 2.1: New chase after Option 2.0 win if 3 or more games remain
    OPTION 2 DOES NOT WORK.  I DON'T PLAY IT.

    Option 3.0: Chase Option 1.0 road team PL (No play if favored)
    Option 3.1: New chase after Option 3.0 win if 3 or more home games remain
    I call it RPL.

    There are multiple tabs/sheets in the spreadsheet.  The "March Plays" tab is all you need to look at. It has HML/PL and RPL plays.

    spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=tU1bm-tnxs54EnGibSt7yrQ&output=html

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    System requirement is a 3 or more game HOME stand.
    You decide your own money management style.

    Option 1.0: Chase home team ML or PL if dog
    Option 1.1: New chase after Option 1.0 win if 3 or more home games remain
    I have just been calling it HML/PL.

    Option 2.0:  Chase Option 1.0 road team ML
    Option 2.1: New chase after Option 2.0 win if 3 or more games remain
    OPTION 2 DOES NOT WORK.  I DON'T PLAY IT.

    Option 3.0: Chase Option 1.0 road team PL (No play if favored)
    Option 3.1: New chase after Option 3.0 win if 3 or more home games remain
    I call it RPL.

    There are multiple tabs/sheets in the spreadsheet.  The "March Plays" tab is all you need to look at. It has HML/PL and RPL plays.

    spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=tU1bm-tnxs54EnGibSt7yrQ&output=html

     
    smitler
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    Posted: Mar. 25, 2010 - 8:07 AM ET #283

    S333 I hope you are not playing the DET series. That last minute screw job hurt.
    3/22
    A DET (Won HML/PL chase complete)
    A PIT pl at DET (lost by 2)
    3/24
    B STL pl at DET (lost by 2)
    3/26
    C MIN pl at DET

    Understand?

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    S333 I hope you are not playing the DET series. That last minute screw job hurt.
    3/22
    A DET (Won HML/PL chase complete)
    A PIT pl at DET (lost by 2)
    3/24
    B STL pl at DET (lost by 2)
    3/26
    C MIN pl at DET

    Understand?

     
    smitler
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    Posted: Mar. 25, 2010 - 8:20 AM ET #284

    3/25 HML/PL
    B NSH
    A BOS
    A MON
    A STL
    A SJ
    3/25 RPL
    A TB pl
    A FLA pl
    A LA pl (if available)
    A DAL pl

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    3/25 HML/PL
    B NSH
    A BOS
    A MON
    A STL
    A SJ
    3/25 RPL
    A TB pl
    A FLA pl
    A LA pl (if available)
    A DAL pl

     
    longtermmoney
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    Posted: Mar. 25, 2010 - 9:49 AM ET #285

    Quote Originally Posted by smitler:

    S333 I hope you are not playing the DET series. That last minute screw job hurt.



    No kidding. I'm not looking forward to the money I'll be betting opposite Detroit - they've been pretty hot lately. The bet will be on the Wild, who are playing in Philly tonight and will then have to turn around and play in Detroit tomorrow. In other words, I really wish STL would have covered that PL. 
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    Quote Originally Posted by smitler:

    S333 I hope you are not playing the DET series. That last minute screw job hurt.



    No kidding. I'm not looking forward to the money I'll be betting opposite Detroit - they've been pretty hot lately. The bet will be on the Wild, who are playing in Philly tonight and will then have to turn around and play in Detroit tomorrow. In other words, I really wish STL would have covered that PL. 
     
    stevenc333
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    Posted: Mar. 25, 2010 - 11:45 AM ET #286

    yeah I get it...hows that 2.0 and 2.1 doin on the year? I wouold guess not so good.
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    yeah I get it...hows that 2.0 and 2.1 doin on the year? I wouold guess not so good.
     
    smitler
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    Posted: Mar. 25, 2010 - 2:18 PM ET #287

    DET has one road game then returns home on the 30th for another home stand.  I will limit my risk one way or another.  I may risk the same amount on DET ml as MIN pl and then continue the series on the 30th for the loser.
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    DET has one road game then returns home on the 30th for another home stand.  I will limit my risk one way or another.  I may risk the same amount on DET ml as MIN pl and then continue the series on the 30th for the loser.
     
    longtermmoney
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    Posted: Mar. 25, 2010 - 4:51 PM ET #288

    I like it. It definitely didn't go unnoticed to me that after Detroit's one away game, their home stand kicks off with back to back games against Edmonton and Columbus, the two worst in the Western Conference. If I have to chase a 3 game PL on Detroit at home against those 2 teams, I feel OK about it.
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    I like it. It definitely didn't go unnoticed to me that after Detroit's one away game, their home stand kicks off with back to back games against Edmonton and Columbus, the two worst in the Western Conference. If I have to chase a 3 game PL on Detroit at home against those 2 teams, I feel OK about it.
     
    smitler
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    Posted: Mar. 26, 2010 - 2:44 PM ET #289

    My eyes hurt but I only see one ominous play for 3/26.

    C MIN pl @ DET

    I save my deposit bonuses and free play money for picks like this.
    Pros: 1 PL is only -115
               2 DET starts another home stand on the 30th

    Con: 1 MIN sucks
              2 ML is -320

    I will split this PL play and start chasing DET now with the other half.

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    My eyes hurt but I only see one ominous play for 3/26.

    C MIN pl @ DET

    I save my deposit bonuses and free play money for picks like this.
    Pros: 1 PL is only -115
               2 DET starts another home stand on the 30th

    Con: 1 MIN sucks
              2 ML is -320

    I will split this PL play and start chasing DET now with the other half.

     
    smitler
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    Posted: Mar. 26, 2010 - 10:37 PM ET #290

    That was the second RPL chase loss this season.
    The other Loss was at the very beginning of the season.
    Hope you all took steps to limit your risk to fight another day.
    Worse case scenario will be a 20.85 unit loss on that chase if you martingaled it.
    March RPL record up to this point was 26-0 so still showing a small profit for march so far.
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    That was the second RPL chase loss this season.
    The other Loss was at the very beginning of the season.
    Hope you all took steps to limit your risk to fight another day.
    Worse case scenario will be a 20.85 unit loss on that chase if you martingaled it.
    March RPL record up to this point was 26-0 so still showing a small profit for march so far.
     
    smitler
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    Posted: Mar. 26, 2010 - 10:40 PM ET #291

    The positive side, up 43 units in march for the HML/PL side of the system (43-0).
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    The positive side, up 43 units in march for the HML/PL side of the system (43-0).
     
    smitler
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    Posted: Mar. 27, 2010 - 10:08 AM ET #292

    B BOS ml
    A PIT ml

    A PHI pl
    B NJ pl
    B VAN pl
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    B BOS ml
    A PIT ml

    A PHI pl
    B NJ pl
    B VAN pl
     
    longtermmoney
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    Posted: Mar. 28, 2010 - 12:51 AM ET #293

    Damn, nice day up until that shitty van pl beat.
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    Damn, nice day up until that shitty van pl beat.
     
    smitler
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    Posted: Mar. 28, 2010 - 1:33 AM ET #294

    That hurts.  I don't know whether this happens alot and I just haven't been watching the scores or just lately I have been watching and we been gettin moosed alot in the last 30 seconds.
    Another pl C tomorrow and the juice is gonna be high.

    Gonna cut my wager unit in half for the rest of the season.
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    That hurts.  I don't know whether this happens alot and I just haven't been watching the scores or just lately I have been watching and we been gettin moosed alot in the last 30 seconds.
    Another pl C tomorrow and the juice is gonna be high.

    Gonna cut my wager unit in half for the rest of the season.
     
    longtermmoney
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    Posted: Mar. 28, 2010 - 1:48 AM ET #295

    I don't know, seems like the last minute empty netters are getting us a lot recently. C play on colorado PL tomorrow, line not out yet but like you said, juice will be high regardless. Think I'm gonna minimize the damage of the recent losses by adding to upcoming detroit and pitt home bets. Pitt is just gettin started on a 6 game home stand, should be some winners in that mix.

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    I don't know, seems like the last minute empty netters are getting us a lot recently. C play on colorado PL tomorrow, line not out yet but like you said, juice will be high regardless. Think I'm gonna minimize the damage of the recent losses by adding to upcoming detroit and pitt home bets. Pitt is just gettin started on a 6 game home stand, should be some winners in that mix.

     
    smitler
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    Posted: Mar. 28, 2010 - 1:49 AM ET #296

    March chase record HML/PL 46-0 (Season 236-9)
    March chase record Road PL 27-1 (Season 204-2)
    3/28 plays

    A WAS
    A2 PIT

    A CGY pl
    B TOR pl
    B EDM pl
    C DET pl
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    March chase record HML/PL 46-0 (Season 236-9)
    March chase record Road PL 27-1 (Season 204-2)
    3/28 plays

    A WAS
    A2 PIT

    A CGY pl
    B TOR pl
    B EDM pl
    C DET pl
     
    longtermmoney
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    Posted: Mar. 28, 2010 - 1:50 AM ET #297

    Caps home stand starts tomorrow too, I'm down with that.
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    Caps home stand starts tomorrow too, I'm down with that.
     
    longtermmoney
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    Posted: Mar. 28, 2010 - 1:57 AM ET #298

    Should be C play Colorado pl, not Detroit.
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    Should be C play Colorado pl, not Detroit.
     
    smitler
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    Posted: Mar. 28, 2010 - 11:18 AM ET #299

    You're right, my bad and at -175 for COL pl I'll take my chances.  I expected at least -250.
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    You're right, my bad and at -175 for COL pl I'll take my chances.  I expected at least -250.
     
     
    longtermmoney
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    Posted: Mar. 28, 2010 - 1:08 PM ET #300

    Agreed, thats a good line.
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    Agreed, thats a good line.
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