[Quote: Originally Posted by Turbovtk]
Turbovtk - 2013 NBA Playoffs
Saturday 11-0
Sunday 10-2
Monday 8-3
Tuesday 6-2
Wednesday 1-2
----------------------------
Total Playoffs 36-9
Wednesday 1-2 (leans not played due in part lack of time and also lack of conviction Over 185 B2 Pacers Game and Under 191 B2 Lakers game)
2H Over 106.5 Thunder Game filling open spot $50 L
+6.5 Rockets 2H Spread $20 W
Over 95 2H Spurs Game
2H Over seemed good on this game as both teams can shoot if they get hot but they were cold to start the half. I picked +6.5 because if the score was going to be low it would probably mean OKC not pulling away.
My system indicated 2H Over 95 last Sunday it indicated 2H Under 94 and I won that lost this one by 7. Lots of missed layups which seem to be the norm now and one more thing am noticing with the big guys in teams playing with kids gloves and they all are missing dunks or going soft on layups even when in the bonus. Based on the last 4 games for the Lakers it appears that the games are under games and so should be the 2Hs. The Lakers are in serious trouble. We are about to test if home court advantage means squat in NBA playoffs in the 1st round. I think that home court/field means more in sports like NFL and MLB because there is turf to grass, wind patterns, distances from home plate to the outfilder's walls and even the foul space around the diamond, pitching mound is also a a factor among other things. In NFL you have the weather issues some teams just don't play well in the cold, teams heavy on the pass prefer to play in domes (no wind effect etc.)
So yes the crowd, we should probably have a discussion on how big or small a factor this is i the first round. I mean the Nuggets were the best home team in the reg season and they got smacked stepped on and set on fire after having their balls chopped off the other night.
The Spurs game really should have been under, those last second baskets anything under 30 sec really are more random chance than the true nature of the game. This game was sloppy all over and I think the halves should have been a little more even than they were.
Am sure there are teams that play better at home, but that can also be attributed to weak opponents coming to their home, and seasons are long and some games even to the big dogs (heat v. spurs) mean squat. In the playoff every game is important and thus I think the home court advantage may not be such a big factor as some claim.
Todays the pattern was dog cover and under, fav covered and over and fav covered and over, part of why I leaned on the over 95 2H (aside from my other calculations which set meet or over) after watching the first two games I thought this game would go over if there was to be a pattern, as the 1H was coming to an end if the Lakers were up it would have changed my mind and I might have done their spread because it would have probably been +8 or +9. Live bet showed 204 the over for 95 would have been 199 so it was close, I did not hedge because the spread was 5 pts- I usually like a number closer to 10 to allow for the magical moments of the NBA.
We should start looking at series bets. The Nets have dropped a lot since their last loss. There is value there at EV or + Money- One to watch closely is the Nuggets series maybe a small parlay on Nets + Warriors or Nuggets and Clips may be good. Before taking the Clips series in a parlay we should see tomorrow's outcome if they lose there will be more value, if they win it will not be worth a penny. Taking series and hedging with the games could have some value if done properly.
First crippled night argggh
Don't know what tomorrow brings but I will be trying to knock them the F
CK down 
go team go. As well as the recently discussed Denver altitude advantage, what else should we be looking for if we don't buy into the money side of the business? Some may say it is a business and that is all that matters... in other to what you say to happen everyone has to be in on it including the players, if that is the case then we are in more trouble than I thought, always weary of the refs but if all you bring into the post is true it would mean that the best team is not the one that is going to win it all.
Hot Forum Topics
