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Has anyone made any money betting on sports steadily throughout the past year? 'cause I did! See how

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Posted: #3351

PHILADELPHIA 76ers - HOUSTON Rockets  107 - 100   (58 - 50)

OL Away -1    CL Home -1.5  (!!!!!)

OL 203.5     CL   204

PS ATS  Away 60%   PS Totals  Over 60%

PPL High

TG 7:35

The original Underdog won and covered

Public won on totals

 

 
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Posted: #3352

CHICAGO Bulls - PHOENIX Suns      81 - 97   (42 - 49)  

OL Home -7   CL Home -8.5

OL  189         CL  189.5

PS ATS  Home 80%  PS Totals Under 60%

PPL High

TOG 8:05 pm

Onslaught by the Underdog. SU and ATS

Totals - public's way

 
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Posted: #3353

DALLAS Mavericks - MEMPHIS Grizzlies      104 - 83   (54 - 39)

OL Away -3  CL Away -1

OL 187        CL  187.5

PS ATS 60% Away   PS Totals  60% Over

PPL Medium

TOG 9:05 pm

Onslaught by the Underdog. SU and ATS

The teams perfectly played pushing the OL and winning the Under against the public. SOBs

 

 
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Posted: #3354
Quote Originally Posted by washhead:



I might be misreading your post, but if anything I see this as the books' invitation to take the Knicks, not NOLA.  In any case, I'm playing NO+6.5 (2-1 yesterday, 4-3 on the thread) -- I don't think it's ever Vegas' intention of giving bettors a freebie win for an ego boost. 

Oh well, bear with me for a moment as I explain my reasoning:

Yes, by bringing the line down despite the massive public support, the books were inviting even more bets to be placed in Knicks' favor, which according to Mavin's Reverse Line Movements theory meant something was afoot and, just maybe, betting on the Fruitflies to cover the spread was the right way to go (as it happened to Philly yesterday).

I, on the other hand, thought that such an upset, on the first game of the card, and knowing that the books didn't know I knew what they were cooking, I went and did exactly what they told me I should do and backed the favorite.

Makes sense, no?

 
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Posted: #3355

SACRAMENTO Kings  - MIAMI Heat  99 - 128 (44 - 66)

OL Away -8  CL Away -7

OL 203        CL 203.5

PS ATS Away 90% (!!!)   PS Totals Over 65%

PPL High

TOG 10:05 pm

The last game after all underdogs winning was given to public so they will remember to come back and bring the money beautifully the next day.

Public won in all the parameters (Only my dumbness succeeded to lose this one I think  - But I'll be back)

 
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Posted: #3356
I will play the half to hedge-
 
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Posted: #3357
The red lettered results mean Underdog Covering
 
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Posted: #3358
i decided to go with the money line because I already have the -7 on a another open parlay choose the moneyline at -425 sf -3 okc -2.5 with 2 open spots $50
 
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Posted: #3359
Quote Originally Posted by melosjumper7:

nobody is happier then tony gonzalez......wow congrats man....something tells me you earned it....

Melo have you noticed how this year in the NFL teams play tight like if they need exlax and then all of the sudden in the second half quarterbacks become superman?

Why not play lose the whole game and enjoy it- shows you which can't handle the pressure I guess.
 
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Posted: #3360
Saturday

LA Clippers - ORLANDO Magic  101 - 104  (57 - 49)
OL  Home -13  CL  Home -13.5   
OL  199.5        CL  198.5
Public Support ATS  Even
Public Support Totals   Even
Popularity of the Game   Medium
Time of the game  3:35 pm 
Side notes:  Home won the first half by 8 points  57-49 (Home -7, 99.5) and clearly laid down at the end. 
One hour before the lines were closed - it was Home -12.5 and the public support was on Visitors 3 out of 5 bets. Books have artificially raised the line to lure in bettors for the Home team.
The Underdog covered and won SU as well

INDIANA Pacers - CHARLOTTE Bobcats  96 - 88  (43 - 45)
OL Home -11.5  CL   Home -11.5  
OL 185.5           CL   185
PS ATS  60% Away   PS  Totals  60% Over
PPL  Medium
TOG 7:05 pm
Side notes: the lines traveled up at first both on Home ATS and Totals for 1.5 points due to key defensive player and came down due to absence of another key player on offense - both Home 
The Underdog Covered

WASHINGTON Wizards - ATLANTA Hawks   93 - 83  (51 - 50)
OL  Away -3.5   CL Away -2.5
OL  190.5          CL  189
PS ATS  80% Away  PS Totals 60% Under
PPL  Low
TOG 7:05 pm
Side notes: The line ATS went against the public
ATS line movement against the public worked perfectly in both halves and the Wizards wound up winning SU.
The totals went public's way.

DETROIT Pistons - UTAH Jazz  87 - 90  (50 - 39)
OL Home -1   CL  Home -2.5
OL 192.5    CL 192.5
PS ATS  Home 70%  PS Totals  75% Over
PPL  Low
TOG 7:35 pm
Another case of Underdog covering and winning SU
The line (non) movement on totals also worked as oublic lost the totals as well

PHILADELPHIA 76ers - HOUSTON Rockets  107 - 100   (58 - 50)
OL Away -1    CL Home -1.5  (!!!!!)
OL 203.5     CL   204
PS ATS  Away 60%   PS Totals  Over 60%
PPL High
TG 7:35
The original Underdog won and covered
Public won on totals

CHICAGO Bulls - PHOENIX Suns      81 - 97   (42 - 49)  
OL Home -7   CL Home -8.5
OL  189         CL  189.5
PS ATS  Home 80%  PS Totals Under 60%
PPL High
TOG 8:05 pm
Onslaught by the Underdog. SU and ATS
Totals - public's way

DALLAS Mavericks - MEMPHIS Grizzlies      104 - 83   (54 - 39)
OL Away -3  CL Away -1
OL 187        CL  187.5
PS ATS 60% Away   PS Totals  60% Over
PPL Medium
TOG 9:05 pm
Onslaught by the Underdog. SU and ATS
The teams perfectly played pushing the OL and winning the Under against the public. SOBs

SACRAMENTO Kings  - MIAMI Heat  99 - 128 (44 - 66)
OL Away -8  CL Away -7
OL 203        CL 203.5
PS ATS Away 90% (!!!)   PS Totals Over 65%
PPL High
TOG 10:05 pm
The last game after all underdogs winning was given to public so they will remember to come back and bring the money beautifully the next day.
Public won in all the parameters 



I don't only take the trend from here but also the teams that gained or suffered from that trend.
This is to prove that the games are premedicated and we better treat them as such
 
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Posted: #3361
Quote Originally Posted by dexterjau3:


Oh well, bear with me for a moment as I explain my reasoning:

Yes, by bringing the line down despite the massive public support, the books were inviting even more bets to be placed in Knicks' favor, which according to Mavin's Reverse Line Movements theory meant something was afoot and, just maybe, betting on the Fruitflies to cover the spread was the right way to go (as it happened to Philly yesterday).

I, on the other hand, thought that such an upset, on the first game of the card, and knowing that the books didn't know I knew what they were cooking, I went and did exactly what they told me I should do and backed the favorite.

Makes sense, no?



It worked out for you, so I certainly can't argue.  Nice read on the line. 
 
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Posted: #3362
Possible early conclusions 

On Saturdays pays off to bet all the Underdog teams. One way or another you will gain

Testing the theory: Next week and the week after that
 
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Posted: #3363
Quote Originally Posted by washhead:



It worked out for you, so I certainly can't argue.  Nice read on the line. 
The case of Miami yesterday and Knicks game today is the classic way of the books initiated RLM without any money backing it. They saved some money if not much. That usually happens after the books are a way ahead (yesterday) and only trying to limit their damages. Don't expect anymore presents today thou
 
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Posted: #3364
So Mavin, what are your picks for today?

share with us?
 
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Posted: #3365
January 13, Bet 02
OVER Nets +179.5 - $115 to win $101

The low scored is due to the Pacers college basketball offense of late, but they still are scoring over 90pts per game on average and, as if that wasn't enough, their usually solid defense showed signs of being tired in the closing moments of yesterdays game, so I expect them to allow Brooklyn to run up the court more often. The Nets themselves are quite inconsistent against winning sides as well. I predict a close game with both teams scoring more than 90 pts.

Other leans: Pacers +4 /  2H +90.5
 
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Posted: #3366

dexter would IOwa be a play now? line was at -1.5 NW, now -1 Iowa. Is iowa the pick now or NW? Same example as Knicks game?

 

 
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Posted: #3367
Quote Originally Posted by TheGameCPT:

So Mavin, what are your picks for today?

share with us?

Final:
BROOKLYN Nets vs INDIANA Pacers Over 91.5 First Half  (-110)  110$

Posted beforehand:
BROOKLYN Nets vs INDIANA Pacers  Under 179.5 (now 181) (-110) 110$

 
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Posted: #3368
If you don't swallow your pride and bet what you're supposed to, you can throw this thread out the window.  Can't bet below $50?  Can't or won't?  Money management rules all.  Divide your roll by 100 and play as many games as you want (no limit).  If you can't break 50%, you need to find another hobby.
 
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Posted: #3369

Mavin – post # 3364  

BOL today 

I’m still with you!

 
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Posted: #3370
Quote Originally Posted by vision23x:

If you don't swallow your pride and bet what you're supposed to, you can throw this thread out the window.  Can't bet below $50?  Can't or won't?  Money management rules all.  Divide your roll by 100 and play as many games as you want (no limit).  If you can't break 50%, you need to find another hobby.
I appreciate what you're saying - but you're wrong. My Bankroll is divided by 20 per unit. That is the way I play. And my pride does not depend if I win any given day. My pride is how I see myself as a decent and hard working person. My picks might go wrong from time to time. But I did not have a losing month for pretty long time and not going to have one now either. You don't have to follow my plays - but use the trends and data I'm gathering for you for your own handicapping. This is what this thread is about buddy. If you still don't understand it by now - then reread the thread and understand. GL
 
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Posted: #3371
Quote Originally Posted by prodigy808:

dexter would IOwa be a play now? line was at -1.5 NW, now -1 Iowa. Is iowa the pick now or NW? Same example as Knicks game?

 


I do not want to derail Mavin's thread nor feel responsible for any bad beats here. College hoops is a whole different universe from NBA and I only ever play small bets parlays in it, so I cannot really answer your question.

IF this was NBA I would say yes, go for it. But it's college basketball and there is very little method in that.

 
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Posted: #3372
Quote Originally Posted by Zireal:

Mavin – post # 3364  

BOL today 

I’m still with you!

And you're gonna do great buddy. I have no doubt whatsoever
 
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Posted: #3373
Quote Originally Posted by dexterjau3:


I do not want to derail Mavin's thread nor feel responsible for any bad beats here. College hoops is a whole different universe from NBA and I only ever play small bets parlays in it, so I cannot really answer your question.

IF this was NBA I would say yes, go for it. But it's college basketball and there is very little method in that.

 
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Posted: #3374
Mavin if you like Under for the game, why bet on Over 1st half? is it due to line movement and canceling Under bet for game?
 
 
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Posted: #3375
yesterday winners was  7 dogs and 1 fav

today winner will be reverse  6 favs and 1 dog 
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