Posted:
#76
Although I am still kicking myself for allowing my heart to get in the way of an easy bet on Sunday night, I am more than ready for this game. Right from the start of this series, I had a strong feeling of how the games would end up. The Lakers won Game 3 just barely and looked like crap doing it. Any Lakers fan will agree with me on that one. Both teams came out struggling to shoot and it was a turnover filled game. That was when they flew from Boston to LA after a Sunday night game for a Tuesday night Game 3. We have the same situation here, flying from LA to Boston after Sunday for a Tuesday night game. There is no doubt that the fatigue for the Celtics is starting to show. 26 games in the playoffs is an absolutely crazy amount.
Perkins will more than likely miss this game as well, however Ray Allen is more than ready to go, as the illness with his son has improved. Rondo has gotten plenty of rest the past couple days for his ankle, only playing 14 and 17 minutes in the past couple games. He has continuously played much better at home, and allows the offense to run at its peak performance level. Pierce's knee is about at the same level of Tiger Woods' knee, you know it hurts like a son of a bitch but it's not going to affect his play one bit. KG sucked in Game 5, mainly because of the quick fouls he picked up. Those calls will not go against him in this one, and he should be able to assert his dominance early on. He has always been one to step it up amongst criticism, which is what he is getting right now.
The major reason for the Lakers being able to hold on in Game 5 was the extent of the lead they were able to get in that 1st quarter. KG had the fouls, and Boston was forced to go with a 4-guard lineup essentially...absolutely murdering their chances for rebounds. Gasol was able to move much more freely in the middle, and his stats reflected that. I wouldn't be surprised to see Big Baby play this game if Perkins sits again. He doesn't have the quickness of a Gasol, but he can certainly bang him around inside. Kobe has still been shut down for the most part, only shooting 14-40 in the past couple of games. Now that they are in Boston, the bench will need to step up, something they were not even close to doing in the first two games of the series.
As I said before, I have predicted almost exactly every game of this series, they only difference being I didn't see the Celtics being down by 24 and coming back to have the greatest comeback in Finals history. Before the series, I said they would take this one in 6. I have to stick with that argument. The crowd is jacked up, as they should be. KG will look to dominate inside early on, like he did in Games 1 and 2.
The spread for this game is incredibly off, as it has been for every game just about. The only game where the spread was pretty close was Game 3. The Celtics were getting 7 points in LA, and had a damn good chance to win all 3 games...the Lakers did not look solid at all except for the 1st quarter of Game 5 and 1st half of Game 4. You would expect the Celtics to be at least as high favorites as the Lakers in this situation would you not? Doesn't matter though. If you want to win money, put it on the Celtics and the Under...and just count up the profits after the game.
Celtics are 7-0 ATS vs. the Lakers this season.
Celtics dominate at home during the playoffs.
Lakers bench goes down considerably on the road.
Rondo plays 10x better at home.
Pierce, KG, and Allen will NOT let the Lakers take this game.
Line just recently moving up to -5 and total moving down to 191...I trust you all know what to do!!! Don't freakin overthink this one like I did in Game 5. Remember....
"THE NBA IS VERY HARD TO PREDICT" - Jeff Van Gundy
Perkins will more than likely miss this game as well, however Ray Allen is more than ready to go, as the illness with his son has improved. Rondo has gotten plenty of rest the past couple days for his ankle, only playing 14 and 17 minutes in the past couple games. He has continuously played much better at home, and allows the offense to run at its peak performance level. Pierce's knee is about at the same level of Tiger Woods' knee, you know it hurts like a son of a bitch but it's not going to affect his play one bit. KG sucked in Game 5, mainly because of the quick fouls he picked up. Those calls will not go against him in this one, and he should be able to assert his dominance early on. He has always been one to step it up amongst criticism, which is what he is getting right now.
The major reason for the Lakers being able to hold on in Game 5 was the extent of the lead they were able to get in that 1st quarter. KG had the fouls, and Boston was forced to go with a 4-guard lineup essentially...absolutely murdering their chances for rebounds. Gasol was able to move much more freely in the middle, and his stats reflected that. I wouldn't be surprised to see Big Baby play this game if Perkins sits again. He doesn't have the quickness of a Gasol, but he can certainly bang him around inside. Kobe has still been shut down for the most part, only shooting 14-40 in the past couple of games. Now that they are in Boston, the bench will need to step up, something they were not even close to doing in the first two games of the series.
As I said before, I have predicted almost exactly every game of this series, they only difference being I didn't see the Celtics being down by 24 and coming back to have the greatest comeback in Finals history. Before the series, I said they would take this one in 6. I have to stick with that argument. The crowd is jacked up, as they should be. KG will look to dominate inside early on, like he did in Games 1 and 2.
The spread for this game is incredibly off, as it has been for every game just about. The only game where the spread was pretty close was Game 3. The Celtics were getting 7 points in LA, and had a damn good chance to win all 3 games...the Lakers did not look solid at all except for the 1st quarter of Game 5 and 1st half of Game 4. You would expect the Celtics to be at least as high favorites as the Lakers in this situation would you not? Doesn't matter though. If you want to win money, put it on the Celtics and the Under...and just count up the profits after the game.
Celtics are 7-0 ATS vs. the Lakers this season.
Celtics dominate at home during the playoffs.
Lakers bench goes down considerably on the road.
Rondo plays 10x better at home.
Pierce, KG, and Allen will NOT let the Lakers take this game.
Line just recently moving up to -5 and total moving down to 191...I trust you all know what to do!!! Don't freakin overthink this one like I did in Game 5. Remember....
"THE NBA IS VERY HARD TO PREDICT" - Jeff Van Gundy
0
, 1Half small
. If not.... See you all in the NFL (& College) Football arena where I make a living. And a dam good one I might add.
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