The unsexy money maker

I never post these wagers but they’ve always been good to me. Taking a short string of 1st Set O8.5 to get -125 to +110. Sometimes you pair it with a fav you like but the chalk’s a little heavy. I usually aim for guys that hold well (decent service game, not necessarily big serve) but don’t have big breaking weapons. On clay it’s a little different, I play with the expectation of breaks. You’ll get your own feel. Here’s two plays today:

Mannarino ML / Giron/Garon O8.5 @ -125

Kovacevic/Munar O8.5 / Paire/Watanuki O8.5 / Lehecka ML @ -109

Definitely like Mannarino here. Conditions suit his game, slower HC, decent track record in Miami but he’s also got this massive outside kick he’s using lately. For Juncheng, it’ll be something he probably hasn’t faced before. I do think this’ll be close though as Juncheng isn’t a wiry, frail 17 year old anymore.

GL all.

Looking good. Mannarino playing with an injured Shang. 

@handycat

 Oh man. Mannarino was behaving like a baby in the first set. Thought he was gonna implode and flake out. That roll on Shang’s ankle woke him up. He might pull this off.

Mannarino ML / Giron/Garon O8.5 @ -125 

Kovacevic/Munar O8.5 / Paire/Watanuki O8.5 / Lehecka ML @ -109 

Great work today. That system seems to be working

I like this. I did this a little bit at the AO. 

just curious what book offers o8.5 for the first set?   I mainly see only 9.5s posted    

MGM (Best Parlays for this imo)

Bet Rivers

Word of warning.

The double breaks happen. You can't spam this on every match. The payout is between -900 (Isner matches) to -250 at best with -450 being the median play. So you’re getting less than a 1/4 on something that happens 1/3 of the time. Be judicious. If you’re discerning, you’ll hone into the matches that will likely be divided by one break. Today for example I’m weary of every mens match. But usually theres 2-6 a day.

GL all.

Took botic n popyrin over 9.5 first set

like Garin, Gasquet and Khachnov over 8,5 first set today, all pay 1.30 each 

Manarino/Shelton O8.5 / Eubanks/Coric O8.5 / Garin ML @ -101

Shelton and Eubanks hold >85% of their service games on hard court but only break 15% of the time. Considering their opponents, there shouldn’t be too many breaks in either of their matches today.

Baez is vulnerable on hard and Garin has a respectable hc record for a clay guy. Not to mention he’s playing well at the moment.

Eubanks struggling with the wind. Might have screwed myself here.

@AverageAllstar

 Garin sucks 

@VEGASCALLEDME

 Sucks is a bit harsh. Besides… I’d wager you could break Baez’s serve at least once a match  on hard court.

Baez about to retire 

We made it. Just need Manny/Benny to hold for 3 each.

Fokina/Paul O8.5 / Sinner/Dimitrov O8.5 / Rune/Szchwartzman U20.5 @ +165

GL all.

4 for 4 +465

It’s picking likely outcomes so thats why its not sexy but she works real nice.