*AZARENKA* v SHARAPOVA (write up)

A$$-arenka, despite all of the talent in the world, is still prone to serious meltdowns.  She was double faulting at an alarming rate against Klijsters.   I think Klijsters physical and metal fatigue played a big of factor in A$$-arenka's victory as well.

Sharapova has been serving much better in this tournement compared to most of the latter part of last season.  She has also played in and won finals before, which is also a big mental edge for her.  I really like Sharapova to win tonight, but bol on your wager...

Aza has never been here before, Pova has and Won, have to take a Dog with the expeerience here for me

Quote Originally Posted by TheIsland7:

Vikky has been the best player of the tournament and is yet to lose a match this season.  There was much talk about Azarenka's lack of big match experience vs Clijsters 'been there done that'. As I predicted, Azarenka continued her solid play, but more impressively, she gathered herself after a second set meltdown and held her nerves in the final set.  IMO this was a HUGE step in her development as she conquered a high pressure grand slam semi and didn't buckle like many people thought she would.

Sharapova isn't exactly the model of consistancy and IMO is lucky to even be in the final. She dug herself a hole against Lisicki, a match I thought she'd lose, but the young German collapsed mentally and Sharapova was able to rally. In the semis, Kvitova had  many break opportunities in the the 3rd and the match was hers to lose, and she blew it.

This is a good match up for Azarenka because it will be a base line battle where she'll have the edge. Clijsters gave her trouble when she started coming to the net but she wont have to worry about Sharapova coming in too often. The deciding factor in the match will be Sharapova's poor service game. I will bet that Azarenka will start teeing off on her second serves and then the double faults will start to fly. Nobody at this level double faults like Maria does and that's why she can't be trusted.

Azarenka ML -130

Straight sets, she's the real deal.  

Everything you said does have merit. But how can anyone yake you serious with Shevchenko as you avatar and for AC none the less.

I don't see how there is any write-up of any length worth reading for this game. Aza is playing her first final. Some women, after taking so long to make their first final, grab the chance with both hands and come out guns blazing, playing to their best potential, and are unstoppable. Most women, in their first final, tread a fragile line between showing the kind of form that got them there, and the weak-at-the-knees, mental midgetary nerves shit that most women are prone to (and no-one at covers isn't lacking the awareness that Aza is so prone). Ultimately which side of that line they fall on for good is a lottery.

The question is, how does anyone know which theme (guns blazing or nreves ever present) is going to apply to Aza? Answer, they don't. So the next question is, why would anyone back minus odds for something that is a lottery? This question also obv. relates to the games U/O. Aza nerves equal Masha 2-0 all day lone, which = Under.

Live betting for me.

Well, your analysis of the match was spot on, however, you couldn't have been more wrong.

How was I wrong? I said 1 of 2 things would happen (for the 1st time finalist)... 1 did - Aza came out (barring her 1st service game jitters) guns blazing. You look 'like a genius' because the lottery went your way.

I repeat, 1st time finalists - when they're a female - are a lottery.