No challenger this week... Too many quality cappable matches to care... Will start posting more writeups if possible, this week... Got a very good feeling about this week
Futures:
2u
*Federer to win Montreal +550
**Sharapova to win Toronto +908
Only plays I have plugged in so far:
1u
*Karlovic +102
*Mannarino +133
*Nalby +122
**Gorges +154
***Stosur + Hauntucova + Dolgo + Tsonga + Lopez/Verdasco +135r
.5u
*Andujar +368
*Golubev +214
*Seppi +250
Mini Writeups:
I like Federer's draw to put him in better form when he gets to the Semis.... Has a rematch against Tsonga which after he wins will give him alot of confidence.. Potential quarter with Almalgro or Gasquet, both of which should be straight set affairs... Good form will give him a chance against djoker... Would have taken Joker as well, but there is no value...
Minus a hiccup against Serena, Masha has been playing well... I love her grit and she will want this win badly... Potential third round with Bartoi who she is 4-0 lifetime and dominate against... quarter against Azarena could be tough but I think there is a strong possiblity Azarenka gets bounced by Hauntucova before that...
GL ALL....
heavy play likely on Dolgo -5.5... alot of interest in how gulbis, delpo, and davy play in their first round matches... potential big play on Davy spread vs. Joker... Delpo in a very tough draw, needs to beat niemenan and likely Cilic just to get to Joker... yeesh, get that ranking up buddy or the Us Open draw is gonna fuck you up... Match of the Day will be Lu vs Tomic; Halep vs. Kuz
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
No challenger this week... Too many quality cappable matches to care... Will start posting more writeups if possible, this week... Got a very good feeling about this week
Futures:
2u
*Federer to win Montreal +550
**Sharapova to win Toronto +908
Only plays I have plugged in so far:
1u
*Karlovic +102
*Mannarino +133
*Nalby +122
**Gorges +154
***Stosur + Hauntucova + Dolgo + Tsonga + Lopez/Verdasco +135r
.5u
*Andujar +368
*Golubev +214
*Seppi +250
Mini Writeups:
I like Federer's draw to put him in better form when he gets to the Semis.... Has a rematch against Tsonga which after he wins will give him alot of confidence.. Potential quarter with Almalgro or Gasquet, both of which should be straight set affairs... Good form will give him a chance against djoker... Would have taken Joker as well, but there is no value...
Minus a hiccup against Serena, Masha has been playing well... I love her grit and she will want this win badly... Potential third round with Bartoi who she is 4-0 lifetime and dominate against... quarter against Azarena could be tough but I think there is a strong possiblity Azarenka gets bounced by Hauntucova before that...
GL ALL....
heavy play likely on Dolgo -5.5... alot of interest in how gulbis, delpo, and davy play in their first round matches... potential big play on Davy spread vs. Joker... Delpo in a very tough draw, needs to beat niemenan and likely Cilic just to get to Joker... yeesh, get that ranking up buddy or the Us Open draw is gonna fuck you up... Match of the Day will be Lu vs Tomic; Halep vs. Kuz
Like looking for your insight on matches, its always really useful. And packers I agree with you 100%, fuck Andy Murray and I hope he neverwins a major either. He does have a very hot girlfriend though
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Like looking for your insight on matches, its always really useful. And packers I agree with you 100%, fuck Andy Murray and I hope he neverwins a major either. He does have a very hot girlfriend though
GL ALL... will have a full card up by 11:30am... No plays in AM of Wta, other than Stosur in Parlay..
Packers I would be careful with throwing money on those futures... I learned earlier this year that hedging is almost impossible unless your player gets to at least the Semis...
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ADDED:
2u
*Dolgo -5.5 -118
.75u
*Karlovic +1.5 -130
will add to Dolgo and add more to my dogs...
GL ALL... will have a full card up by 11:30am... No plays in AM of Wta, other than Stosur in Parlay..
Packers I would be careful with throwing money on those futures... I learned earlier this year that hedging is almost impossible unless your player gets to at least the Semis...
IMO, you cant just watch tape to know how to beat Karlovic... I always tend to fade people who have never played against him before... Isner has proven that even the laziest player can on Decoturf with a big serve... Monaco has only won two matches of clay this season... Karlovic being a dawg sealed the deal, i took the game spread because it looks like Karlovic will be the betting fav before all is said and done... May add more but I am happy with just those two bets for now..
*Got 1u full in on Karlovic +1.5 -130
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IMO, you cant just watch tape to know how to beat Karlovic... I always tend to fade people who have never played against him before... Isner has proven that even the laziest player can on Decoturf with a big serve... Monaco has only won two matches of clay this season... Karlovic being a dawg sealed the deal, i took the game spread because it looks like Karlovic will be the betting fav before all is said and done... May add more but I am happy with just those two bets for now..
FUCK.... Lu just had to hold serve one more time and couldnt, then he had three break points and could get it done... Big loss... Really could have started to bet aggressively if that hit...
FUCK.... Lu just had to hold serve one more time and couldnt, then he had three break points and could get it done... Big loss... Really could have started to bet aggressively if that hit...
Capped Ladies... Not much I liked... Went with a parlay, never good.. Iwant to take Ivanovic so badly, nut her inconsistency stopped me dead in my tracks... to high of a price to pay for a 2-0 victory... If she continues to play well I will give a chance in the 2nd round... I cant see anyway Peng, radwanska, or hauntucova lose... none... i put my money on it but as with any favs you cant feel too confident... I see Boichard as a possible upset... Huge crowd support, and she is a solid player for 17... Just thinking back to the last time a good 17 year old took the ladies game by storm... Petkovic is beatable right now, she showed signs against sloane stephens, and all Rawanska beat her by changing her game plan and hitting balls into the middle of the baseline with no pace... Petkovic has the power but not the angles right now... Big dog, but I think there is a chance... You can always hope for the 2nd set retirement.... On Benesova purely because Cibulkova injured her abdomen, a tough one to get through, she probably should have stayed home, but there are too many points to be had in this event... I think there is a 10% chance of a 2nd Set retirement in that match... Otherwise, Cibulkova wins cleans if she is 100%...
I think its a joke to see Chela as a -200 favorite off clay to a decent player, not to mention the Canadian #2... The line definately scares me a little, i would have set chela as at -120... but I will invest at least a little on Pospisil... Spread as well... I like Bags just because I will fade isner till he loses... Stakhovsky is my big dog, Kohls on a downward turn, Stakhovsky will win easily if he has his A game... I also like Stapenek... I mean the guy just won, and took out some decent players in the process... I want to see him as a +110 dog in the morning... The fact that he was ready to play doubles Sat night before the rain delays started shows me that fatigue will def not be a factor for him...Surprised to see Montanes as a sizable dawg... Russel has nothing in his arsenal that doesnt play into Montanes' hands... Maybe its a fade the clay line... but I will stab, hopefulyl montanes arrived in Montreal at least by Monday morning... Gasquet 2-0 will likely be a big bet for me, once again dont really see him losing, but too juicy to take the -225...
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Capped Ladies... Not much I liked... Went with a parlay, never good.. Iwant to take Ivanovic so badly, nut her inconsistency stopped me dead in my tracks... to high of a price to pay for a 2-0 victory... If she continues to play well I will give a chance in the 2nd round... I cant see anyway Peng, radwanska, or hauntucova lose... none... i put my money on it but as with any favs you cant feel too confident... I see Boichard as a possible upset... Huge crowd support, and she is a solid player for 17... Just thinking back to the last time a good 17 year old took the ladies game by storm... Petkovic is beatable right now, she showed signs against sloane stephens, and all Rawanska beat her by changing her game plan and hitting balls into the middle of the baseline with no pace... Petkovic has the power but not the angles right now... Big dog, but I think there is a chance... You can always hope for the 2nd set retirement.... On Benesova purely because Cibulkova injured her abdomen, a tough one to get through, she probably should have stayed home, but there are too many points to be had in this event... I think there is a 10% chance of a 2nd Set retirement in that match... Otherwise, Cibulkova wins cleans if she is 100%...
I think its a joke to see Chela as a -200 favorite off clay to a decent player, not to mention the Canadian #2... The line definately scares me a little, i would have set chela as at -120... but I will invest at least a little on Pospisil... Spread as well... I like Bags just because I will fade isner till he loses... Stakhovsky is my big dog, Kohls on a downward turn, Stakhovsky will win easily if he has his A game... I also like Stapenek... I mean the guy just won, and took out some decent players in the process... I want to see him as a +110 dog in the morning... The fact that he was ready to play doubles Sat night before the rain delays started shows me that fatigue will def not be a factor for him...Surprised to see Montanes as a sizable dawg... Russel has nothing in his arsenal that doesnt play into Montanes' hands... Maybe its a fade the clay line... but I will stab, hopefulyl montanes arrived in Montreal at least by Monday morning... Gasquet 2-0 will likely be a big bet for me, once again dont really see him losing, but too juicy to take the -225...
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