Why not just bet on the C games with John Morrison
So let's assume the team you bet for in the A game loses. No biggie, they probably come out harder in B. If they lose that, most likely they play harder in C. But, let's say your bet-on team covers game A, then turns around and covers B. Now you either have a team on a roll or you have a team that is over-confident. More often than not on the road, they come out flat in game C and you lose.
The Morrison system is a chase and using statistics, says you have a 1/2 chance of covering A. You have a 3/4 chance of covering B or game A (or a better way to look at it... you have a 1/4 chance of losing both A and B). Now with game C, there is a 7/8 chance you win either A or B or C (or a 1/8 chance you lose all three). The odds he uses to calculate, (remember the guy claims he is a PhD in Statistics, so I know where this is coming from) is taken from probability of an event occurring based on the outcome of prior events.
So, now you are wondering since all games are independent, what does it have to do with prior results? Well, not much. From a statistical standpoint, just playing game C by itself is not enough (that only gives you a 50/50 chance to win). Where your logic is flawed is you want to play game C by itself with no regards to prior event. This only gives you a 50/50 chance to win. I usually take the same approach, but I will sometimes wait for the C game and bet it only if a team loses A and B. This is what I call bucking the trend - you are taking a team due for a win. You have a statistical edge by doing it this way.
Hope that helps you a little
So let's assume the team you bet for in the A game loses. No biggie, they probably come out harder in B. If they lose that, most likely they play harder in C. But, let's say your bet-on team covers game A, then turns around and covers B. Now you either have a team on a roll or you have a team that is over-confident. More often than not on the road, they come out flat in game C and you lose.
The Morrison system is a chase and using statistics, says you have a 1/2 chance of covering A. You have a 3/4 chance of covering B or game A (or a better way to look at it... you have a 1/4 chance of losing both A and B). Now with game C, there is a 7/8 chance you win either A or B or C (or a 1/8 chance you lose all three). The odds he uses to calculate, (remember the guy claims he is a PhD in Statistics, so I know where this is coming from) is taken from probability of an event occurring based on the outcome of prior events.
So, now you are wondering since all games are independent, what does it have to do with prior results? Well, not much. From a statistical standpoint, just playing game C by itself is not enough (that only gives you a 50/50 chance to win). Where your logic is flawed is you want to play game C by itself with no regards to prior event. This only gives you a 50/50 chance to win. I usually take the same approach, but I will sometimes wait for the C game and bet it only if a team loses A and B. This is what I call bucking the trend - you are taking a team due for a win. You have a statistical edge by doing it this way.
Hope that helps you a little
I usually take the same approach, but I will sometimes wait for the C game and bet it only if a team loses A and B. This is what I call bucking the trend - you are taking a team due for a win. You have a statistical edge by doing it this way.
Hope that helps you a little
I think that's exactly what he was referring to. Either way, you summarized the situation perfectly.
I usually take the same approach, but I will sometimes wait for the C game and bet it only if a team loses A and B. This is what I call bucking the trend - you are taking a team due for a win. You have a statistical edge by doing it this way.
Hope that helps you a little
I think that's exactly what he was referring to. Either way, you summarized the situation perfectly.
actually, his mlb system hits the same as NBA. I'm waiting for the first play to kick in. I'll tell you what, his system saved my ass after football season.............I kinda got crushed! He has a new twist to the MLB............tells ya when to pound a play......this guy puts alot of time into his research, and I can always reach him if I need to. Let me know if I can give you any more info...........glad to help
actually, his mlb system hits the same as NBA. I'm waiting for the first play to kick in. I'll tell you what, his system saved my ass after football season.............I kinda got crushed! He has a new twist to the MLB............tells ya when to pound a play......this guy puts alot of time into his research, and I can always reach him if I need to. Let me know if I can give you any more info...........glad to help
MB-we're all in this to make $$$.......so much for being welcome in the forum. By the way, I never said Morrison called me, he emails me whenever I have a question, no problem. I dont really care who came up with the system, as long as it works. I paid him once 2 years ago. If you have been a member, and followed the NBA this year, tell me how many 3 game series we lost. NOTTA, not one series, 78-0 and I played every one. Most hit on the first bet, and I almost never needed the 3 pts. A wins a win though. If you did play this NBA, which I'm sure you didnt, you wouldnt be so wound up. Any serious player knows not to chase, and how to Manage his bank-roll. Whatever edge I can get, I take. I was just passing along some good info........(I thought)......kinda territorial arent ya!
You are not exactly correct. He listed Sac as a C play (it was listed as a play). Sac was playing Philly and getting their clocks cleaned at halftime. The game started at 7:05. At about 9:30 Morrison sent out an email stating that Sac wasn't a play because they were the worst defensive team. I have the email to prove it.
He changed the info on the link he sends.
When questioned on it JM claimed the play was a personal play. He has acted like the game(series) never existed.
Since realistically being 0-1 the system has been money going 72 - 0. Would have had another win but chose not to play Okl City when they fit the system. OKL City won on the A game.
I am not a promoter just looking to make $$$ and give credit where credit is due. Its amazing how many times when the dust clears on a series it is a win even when it seems not to be a smart play.
It just bothers me he doesn't man up about it.
He did the same thing with baseball. Last year his system ended up with 5 losses. (I followed it from day 1). He recalculated the system at the end of the year with a filter that supposedly would have made the system 33-0. That is what he claimed the system was. That still wouldn't be accurate because the Red Sox lost 1 of the series against the Angels at home. The filter eliminates playing lower winning % teams.
Bottom line 72-1 is still awesome, just man up after a hiccup.
Best of Luck
GOOMBA61 (I TAKE IT YOU DIDN'T PLAY SAC-TOWN?)
THE ABOVE ARTICLE WAS WRITTEN BY ANOTHER MEMBER HERE ON COVERS, HIS NAME IS PUPPETM716. NO OFFENSE TO YOU GOOMBA, YOU KNOW I'VE BEEN AROUND FOR A LONG TIME AND I JUST DON'T WANT PEOPLE TO GET CAUGHT UP IN HIS BULL SHIT! AND I STAND CORRECTED YOU DIDN'T SAY YOU TALKED TO HIM ON THE PHONE SO MY BAD. NO DOUBT THE EAST/WEST STSTEM PERFORMED GREAT THIS YEAR BUT WHY DOES THE GUY CONTINUE TO LIE ABOUT HIS RECORD. ALLS I CAN SAY IS BE CAREFUL WITH HIS BASEBALL PLAYS.
GL
MB-we're all in this to make $$$.......so much for being welcome in the forum. By the way, I never said Morrison called me, he emails me whenever I have a question, no problem. I dont really care who came up with the system, as long as it works. I paid him once 2 years ago. If you have been a member, and followed the NBA this year, tell me how many 3 game series we lost. NOTTA, not one series, 78-0 and I played every one. Most hit on the first bet, and I almost never needed the 3 pts. A wins a win though. If you did play this NBA, which I'm sure you didnt, you wouldnt be so wound up. Any serious player knows not to chase, and how to Manage his bank-roll. Whatever edge I can get, I take. I was just passing along some good info........(I thought)......kinda territorial arent ya!
You are not exactly correct. He listed Sac as a C play (it was listed as a play). Sac was playing Philly and getting their clocks cleaned at halftime. The game started at 7:05. At about 9:30 Morrison sent out an email stating that Sac wasn't a play because they were the worst defensive team. I have the email to prove it.
He changed the info on the link he sends.
When questioned on it JM claimed the play was a personal play. He has acted like the game(series) never existed.
Since realistically being 0-1 the system has been money going 72 - 0. Would have had another win but chose not to play Okl City when they fit the system. OKL City won on the A game.
I am not a promoter just looking to make $$$ and give credit where credit is due. Its amazing how many times when the dust clears on a series it is a win even when it seems not to be a smart play.
It just bothers me he doesn't man up about it.
He did the same thing with baseball. Last year his system ended up with 5 losses. (I followed it from day 1). He recalculated the system at the end of the year with a filter that supposedly would have made the system 33-0. That is what he claimed the system was. That still wouldn't be accurate because the Red Sox lost 1 of the series against the Angels at home. The filter eliminates playing lower winning % teams.
Bottom line 72-1 is still awesome, just man up after a hiccup.
Best of Luck
GOOMBA61 (I TAKE IT YOU DIDN'T PLAY SAC-TOWN?)
THE ABOVE ARTICLE WAS WRITTEN BY ANOTHER MEMBER HERE ON COVERS, HIS NAME IS PUPPETM716. NO OFFENSE TO YOU GOOMBA, YOU KNOW I'VE BEEN AROUND FOR A LONG TIME AND I JUST DON'T WANT PEOPLE TO GET CAUGHT UP IN HIS BULL SHIT! AND I STAND CORRECTED YOU DIDN'T SAY YOU TALKED TO HIM ON THE PHONE SO MY BAD. NO DOUBT THE EAST/WEST STSTEM PERFORMED GREAT THIS YEAR BUT WHY DOES THE GUY CONTINUE TO LIE ABOUT HIS RECORD. ALLS I CAN SAY IS BE CAREFUL WITH HIS BASEBALL PLAYS.
GL
BTY, I NEVER pay him any extra $$............and he does pay if you refer someone. I have a capper thats 8-3 right now, and if its not a fluke, I'll start passing them on........I dont want to sandbag anybody.
Good luck boys
BTY, I NEVER pay him any extra $$............and he does pay if you refer someone. I have a capper thats 8-3 right now, and if its not a fluke, I'll start passing them on........I dont want to sandbag anybody.
Good luck boys
Just waiting for a few sweeps to start this thing. Hey Kazidog, sure will pass them on............he's on Clev / Indiana tonight, just a little late with the info..............Clev-3 1/2.............$$ line looks good to me!
Just waiting for a few sweeps to start this thing. Hey Kazidog, sure will pass them on............he's on Clev / Indiana tonight, just a little late with the info..............Clev-3 1/2.............$$ line looks good to me!
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