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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    Wednesday Bases

    dufresne
    Participants:
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    Views: 140
    Posts: 3
     
    dufresne
    dufresne
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    Posts: 5022
    Posted: Aug. 19, 2009 - 6:39 PM ET #1

    I promised that after I had a month's worth of plays I would re-evaluate the systems I follow. I'm still working on it and will post later tonight.  The fact that I'm only posting two plays today would indicate that I'm cutting back. I haven't decided if these are spot or chase plays yet.
     
    DET  -1.5 @ -122
      TB  -1.5 @ -106
     
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    I promised that after I had a month's worth of plays I would re-evaluate the systems I follow. I'm still working on it and will post later tonight.  The fact that I'm only posting two plays today would indicate that I'm cutting back. I haven't decided if these are spot or chase plays yet.
     
    DET  -1.5 @ -122
      TB  -1.5 @ -106
     
     
    dufresne
    dufresne
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jul, 2009
    Posts: 5022
    Posted: Aug. 19, 2009 - 8:54 PM ET #2

    Looking back over a month's wagers on baseball I can see what has worked for me and what hasn't.  In the period between July 19 and August 18 I placed 171 wagers on MLB. I used one spot and three chase systems created by Covers members in this forum. Over the last two weeks I also tailed two bloggers selections as spot picks.
     
    I altered chase strategies by only playing a maximum of two games after losing my first three games series and realizing the cost. I understand some of these systems performed better earlier in the season and I may be evaluating them in a time period they weren't expected to work in.
     
    Following six different strategies brings it's own problems.  Opposing views had me looking at both sides or a consensus on one team by three systems that eventually provided an expensive loser. Daily returns churned back and forth, the end result leaves me up a mere 3.05 units. Better than a loss but not exactly my target.
     
    Two systems performed very well and I will continue to use them this season and likely all seasons to come. They are Run Line Blitz by prof8t and HFOUDL by Tomspeople. Both of these are chase systems. I intend to modify both systems by limiting chases to two games. I checked on playing the same games as spot plays but the two game chase was significantly better.
     
    The RLB system only targets one game a day but I have started investigating including secondary games with odds greater that -200.
     
    This isn't a system but tailing the free pick posted by VegasElite in his blog also did very well. I may continue to play and track these as well.
     
    Of course now that other sports are starting to appear I expect a larger focus on Football, Soccer, Hockey and Basketball!
     
     
     
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    Looking back over a month's wagers on baseball I can see what has worked for me and what hasn't.  In the period between July 19 and August 18 I placed 171 wagers on MLB. I used one spot and three chase systems created by Covers members in this forum. Over the last two weeks I also tailed two bloggers selections as spot picks.
     
    I altered chase strategies by only playing a maximum of two games after losing my first three games series and realizing the cost. I understand some of these systems performed better earlier in the season and I may be evaluating them in a time period they weren't expected to work in.
     
    Following six different strategies brings it's own problems.  Opposing views had me looking at both sides or a consensus on one team by three systems that eventually provided an expensive loser. Daily returns churned back and forth, the end result leaves me up a mere 3.05 units. Better than a loss but not exactly my target.
     
    Two systems performed very well and I will continue to use them this season and likely all seasons to come. They are Run Line Blitz by prof8t and HFOUDL by Tomspeople. Both of these are chase systems. I intend to modify both systems by limiting chases to two games. I checked on playing the same games as spot plays but the two game chase was significantly better.
     
    The RLB system only targets one game a day but I have started investigating including secondary games with odds greater that -200.
     
    This isn't a system but tailing the free pick posted by VegasElite in his blog also did very well. I may continue to play and track these as well.
     
    Of course now that other sports are starting to appear I expect a larger focus on Football, Soccer, Hockey and Basketball!
     
     
     
     
     
    dufresne
    dufresne
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jul, 2009
    Posts: 5022
    Posted: Aug. 19, 2009 - 10:02 PM ET #3

    DET  -1.5 @ -122
      TB  -1.5 @ -106
     
    Will chase the Run Line loss tomorrow.
     
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    DET  -1.5 @ -122
      TB  -1.5 @ -106
     
    Will chase the Run Line loss tomorrow.
     
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