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Visiting Favorites Run Line

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Posted: #1
In May so far, visting teams that are favorites are 29 - 21 on the Run Line for a profit of 18.7 units....
 
Prospect
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Posted: #2
Solid info! Thanks.  Do you happen to have the SU record too?
 
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Posted: #3
I've actually always preferred visiting teams on the runline because you always get your 9 at bats to score. Plus on the road the favs aren't laying as much, of course.
 
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Posted: #4
Quote Originally Posted by manifesto:

In May so far, visting teams that are favorites are 29 - 21 on the Run Line for a profit of 18.7 units....

based on your research, what team leads the league in visiting favorite RLwins?

 
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Posted: #5
Diamondbacks+130 RL ..........Monday 05/18/09
 
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Quote Originally Posted by sports_Network:

based on your research, what team leads the league in visiting favorite RLwins?

Network, I have only been tracking this since the beginning of May.  Right now, best records are Philly at 3-0, Milwaukee at 3-1 and Atlanta, Houston, LAD, Mets and San Fran all at 2-0.  One thing you will notice on visiting run lines is the actual line varies wildly based on the visiting teams pitcher (i.e. for a visiting team money line of -125 you might see a run line of anywhere from +150 to +110 depending on the pitcher).

 
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Today I am seeing LAA at -110ML/+145RL and Arizona -112ML/+140RL.    Record for May is 31-24 up 18.9 units.
 
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Posted: #8
Good work Manifesto!!!
 
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Posted: #9
Quote Originally Posted by manifesto:

Network, I have only been tracking this since the beginning of May.  Right now, best records are Philly at 3-0, Milwaukee at 3-1 and Atlanta, Houston, LAD, Mets and San Fran all at 2-0.  One thing you will notice on visiting run lines is the actual line varies wildly based on the visiting teams pitcher (i.e. for a visiting team money line of -125 you might see a run line of anywhere from +150 to +110 depending on the pitcher).

The pitcher does have something to do with it, but I think its mostly based on the team's offense for example if texas is favoured on the road their RL + will be lower than most teams because they can rake it.  While a team like SF with an ace Lincecum on the mound will get a good RL price because their offense isnt very good and their more likely to win by 1 run.

 
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Posted: #10
Phillies+160 RL (L)Hammels,C - Tuesday05/19/09
 
attractive value
 
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Quote Originally Posted by sports_Network:

Phillies+160 RL (L)Hammels,C - Tuesday05/19/09
 
attractive value

My book has this at Philly +120 RL...quite a difference....

 
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Posted: #12
LAA today with E. San right?  +120 on the -1.5
 
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Posted: #13
Milwaukee +150 RL and LAA +115 RL
 
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Posted: #14
Got beat up bad last night going 1-4 moving this system to 33-28 YTD up 16.5 units
 
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Posted: #15
Again two losers taking it to 33-30 up 14.3 units.   Today we have:
 
Philly -112/+140
Arizona -117/+135
San Fran -136/+115
 
 
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Giants+125 RL  2units
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