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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    TheEtrain's MLB System Plays

    TheEtrain
    paul_scholes
    bettor2win
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    Posts: 18
     
    TheEtrain
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    Posted: Apr. 17, 2011 - 12:53 PM ET #1

    What's up everyone....been a lurker for quite some time here, finally decided to start officially tracking my plays...Pretty simple system actually based on a daily power ranking system that looks for good value in the lines:

    1. All plays will be ML no higher than -110
    2. All plays will be designated between 1-3 star plays 1 star = 1 unit
    3. Always betting to risk units

    So far this season, the picks are 30-25 +25ish units...of course I am hoping they continue being successful once I start posting...

    Good luck guys

    4-17 Plays

    White Sox - 1 * -102
    Brewers (Game 2) - 1* -105
    Rangers - 2* +147

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    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    What's up everyone....been a lurker for quite some time here, finally decided to start officially tracking my plays...Pretty simple system actually based on a daily power ranking system that looks for good value in the lines:

    1. All plays will be ML no higher than -110
    2. All plays will be designated between 1-3 star plays 1 star = 1 unit
    3. Always betting to risk units

    So far this season, the picks are 30-25 +25ish units...of course I am hoping they continue being successful once I start posting...

    Good luck guys

    4-17 Plays

    White Sox - 1 * -102
    Brewers (Game 2) - 1* -105
    Rangers - 2* +147

     
    TheEtrain
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    Posted: Apr. 17, 2011 - 11:16 PM ET #2

    The first day posting jinx got me as it has many newbies on here, haha...rangers couldn't quite pull it out,,,how good is Rivera in the 9th..

    4/17

    0-3 (-4 units)
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    The first day posting jinx got me as it has many newbies on here, haha...rangers couldn't quite pull it out,,,how good is Rivera in the 9th..

    4/17

    0-3 (-4 units)
     
    paul_scholes
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    Posted: Apr. 18, 2011 - 1:27 AM ET #3

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    TheEtrain
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    Posted: Apr. 18, 2011 - 1:08 PM ET #4

    4/18 Plays

    (0-3, -4units ytd)

    White Sox 1* +111

    Rockies 3* +115

    Royals 2* +109

    Angels 3* +133

    Lets get a couple in the left column today...

     

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    4/18 Plays

    (0-3, -4units ytd)

    White Sox 1* +111

    Rockies 3* +115

    Royals 2* +109

    Angels 3* +133

    Lets get a couple in the left column today...

     

     
    TheEtrain
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    Posted: Apr. 18, 2011 - 11:39 PM ET #5

    4/18 Recap - wasn't even close tonite...one of those cold streaks that are gonna happen I guess, just don't like see it at the start.. (ie. Red Sox start)

    0-4, -9 units

    at least the Tribe keeps rollin'
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    4/18 Recap - wasn't even close tonite...one of those cold streaks that are gonna happen I guess, just don't like see it at the start.. (ie. Red Sox start)

    0-4, -9 units

    at least the Tribe keeps rollin'
     
    TheEtrain
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    Posted: Apr. 19, 2011 - 9:35 AM ET #6

    4/19 Plays (0-7, -13 Units)

    Indians 3*  +111

    Yankees 2*  -110

    Angels 2*  +173

    Giants 1*  +141

    Pirates  1*  +179

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    4/19 Plays (0-7, -13 Units)

    Indians 3*  +111

    Yankees 2*  -110

    Angels 2*  +173

    Giants 1*  +141

    Pirates  1*  +179

     
    TheEtrain
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    Posted: Apr. 20, 2011 - 9:16 AM ET #7

    4/19 Recap 2-3, -1.13 units

    Yankees screwed me, come on Mo'!

    Tribe was 1 hit away from taking the lead in the 9th...so close to a very good night

     

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    4/19 Recap 2-3, -1.13 units

    Yankees screwed me, come on Mo'!

    Tribe was 1 hit away from taking the lead in the 9th...so close to a very good night

     

     
    TheEtrain
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    Posted: Apr. 20, 2011 - 9:27 AM ET #8

    4/20 Plays

    Overall - 2-10, -14.13 units

    Angels 3*  +107

    Giants 2*  +113

    Royals 2*  +103

    Yankees 1*  -110

    Brewers 1*  +185

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    4/20 Plays

    Overall - 2-10, -14.13 units

    Angels 3*  +107

    Giants 2*  +113

    Royals 2*  +103

    Yankees 1*  -110

    Brewers 1*  +185

     
    TheEtrain
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    Posted: Apr. 20, 2011 - 11:29 PM ET #9

    4/20 Recap 

    2-3, -.84 units

    Brewers blown 3 run lead hurt tonite
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    4/20 Recap 

    2-3, -.84 units

    Brewers blown 3 run lead hurt tonite
     
    TheEtrain
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    Posted: Apr. 21, 2011 - 9:37 AM ET #10

    4/21 Plays  (Overall 4-13, -14.97 Units)...keep telling myself its a long season

    Cleveland 3*  -104

    LA Angels 3*  +146

    Philadelphia 1*  -102

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    4/21 Plays  (Overall 4-13, -14.97 Units)...keep telling myself its a long season

    Cleveland 3*  -104

    LA Angels 3*  +146

    Philadelphia 1*  -102

     
    bettor2win
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    Posted: May. 2, 2011 - 10:07 PM ET #11

    post done already???
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    post done already???
     
    TheEtrain
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    Posted: May. 3, 2011 - 7:17 PM ET #12

    Well my bankroll is done for now, as I got greedy with the damn NBA playoffs (Spurs got me), so I didn't feel like tracking my MLB plays that were doing awful since I wasn't betting them, and there are already a few guys around here with similar MLB Dog - High Value threads...don't wan't to clutter...

    With that said I have back tested a new "system" if you will to the start of this season...I will post plays on this thread and not start a new one to avoid clutter... I am trying to contribute here but not with something that others are doing:

    Basis of MLB RL System:

    Play all RL +150 or higher (etc. +149 is no play)

    So far this year, playing every play as 1 unit plays it is +7ish units (80-127) -

    Money Management Style - 
    I call it the "3 day winning chase" (for lack of a better term)  This maximizes winning streaks the best to me...I use this when playing blackjack, craps, etc and has fared me well in the past.  Using the MLB RL system with this MMS is showing a +27 unit thus far.

    It is hard to explain, so I will show it as we go along. (disclaimer: I am not betting these plays, just continuing to track here)
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    Well my bankroll is done for now, as I got greedy with the damn NBA playoffs (Spurs got me), so I didn't feel like tracking my MLB plays that were doing awful since I wasn't betting them, and there are already a few guys around here with similar MLB Dog - High Value threads...don't wan't to clutter...

    With that said I have back tested a new "system" if you will to the start of this season...I will post plays on this thread and not start a new one to avoid clutter... I am trying to contribute here but not with something that others are doing:

    Basis of MLB RL System:

    Play all RL +150 or higher (etc. +149 is no play)

    So far this year, playing every play as 1 unit plays it is +7ish units (80-127) -

    Money Management Style - 
    I call it the "3 day winning chase" (for lack of a better term)  This maximizes winning streaks the best to me...I use this when playing blackjack, craps, etc and has fared me well in the past.  Using the MLB RL system with this MMS is showing a +27 unit thus far.

    It is hard to explain, so I will show it as we go along. (disclaimer: I am not betting these plays, just continuing to track here)
     
    TheEtrain
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    Posted: May. 3, 2011 - 7:22 PM ET #13

    5/3 Plays

    Since yesterday was a winning day today is a "Double Day"

    All plays are to risk 2 units and all are RL bets:

    NYM +160
    CWS +155
    KCR +165
    STL +165
    OAK +165 (damnit..go tribe)
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    5/3 Plays

    Since yesterday was a winning day today is a "Double Day"

    All plays are to risk 2 units and all are RL bets:

    NYM +160
    CWS +155
    KCR +165
    STL +165
    OAK +165 (damnit..go tribe)
     
    TheEtrain
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    Posted: May. 4, 2011 - 1:10 PM ET #14

    5-3 Recap

    NYM +160  L
    CWS +155  L
    KCR +165  L
    STL +165  W
    OAK +165  L
     
    1-4 -4.7Units
     
    Season YTD - 81-133 (+22.36 Units)
    ________________________________________
     
    5-4 Plays
     
    Since yesterday was a losing day, today all plays are to risk 1 Unit.
     
    LAD +182
    SDP +164
    TBR +170
    DET +179
    ATL +170 (Game 2)
    SEA +183
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    5-3 Recap

    NYM +160  L
    CWS +155  L
    KCR +165  L
    STL +165  W
    OAK +165  L
     
    1-4 -4.7Units
     
    Season YTD - 81-133 (+22.36 Units)
    ________________________________________
     
    5-4 Plays
     
    Since yesterday was a losing day, today all plays are to risk 1 Unit.
     
    LAD +182
    SDP +164
    TBR +170
    DET +179
    ATL +170 (Game 2)
    SEA +183
     
    TheEtrain
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    Posted: May. 5, 2011 - 9:25 AM ET #15

    May 5th Recap

    LAD +182  L
    SDP +164  L
    TBR +170  L
    DET +179  W
    ATL +170 (Game 2)  W
    SEA +183  L
     
    2-4  -.51 Units
     
    Season YTD - 83-137 (+21.85 Units)
    ______________________________________________-
     
    May 5th Plays
     
    Losing Day yesterday, all plays today to risk 1 unit.
     
    SFG +152
    KCR +185
    ATL  +170
    ARI  +183
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    May 5th Recap

    LAD +182  L
    SDP +164  L
    TBR +170  L
    DET +179  W
    ATL +170 (Game 2)  W
    SEA +183  L
     
    2-4  -.51 Units
     
    Season YTD - 83-137 (+21.85 Units)
    ______________________________________________-
     
    May 5th Plays
     
    Losing Day yesterday, all plays today to risk 1 unit.
     
    SFG +152
    KCR +185
    ATL  +170
    ARI  +183
     
    TheEtrain
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    Posted: May. 6, 2011 - 9:02 AM ET #16

    May 5 recap

    SFG +152  L
    KCR +185  W
    ATL  +170  L  (won by 1)
    ARI  +183  L  (won by 1)
     
    1-3 , -1.15 Units
     
    Season YTD - 84-140 (+20.7 Units)
    ___________________________________________
     
    May 6 Plays
     
    Each play to risk 1 unit
     
    PHI +153
    PIT +183
    BAL +166
    TOR +174
    NYM +183
    TEX +166
    SDP +165
    SFG +195
     
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    May 5 recap

    SFG +152  L
    KCR +185  W
    ATL  +170  L  (won by 1)
    ARI  +183  L  (won by 1)
     
    1-3 , -1.15 Units
     
    Season YTD - 84-140 (+20.7 Units)
    ___________________________________________
     
    May 6 Plays
     
    Each play to risk 1 unit
     
    PHI +153
    PIT +183
    BAL +166
    TOR +174
    NYM +183
    TEX +166
    SDP +165
    SFG +195
     
     
    TheEtrain
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    Posted: May. 6, 2011 - 1:18 PM ET #17

    Adding CHC +168 as well for May 6th

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    Adding CHC +168 as well for May 6th

     
     
    TheEtrain
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    Posted: May. 7, 2011 - 1:00 AM ET #18

    5/6 Recap

    CHC +168  L
    PHI +153  L
    PIT +183  L
    BAL +166  L
    TOR +174  W
    NYM +183  W
    TEX +166  L
    SDP +165  L
    SFG +195  L

    This system sucks too it seems...will keep looking for something new

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    5/6 Recap

    CHC +168  L
    PHI +153  L
    PIT +183  L
    BAL +166  L
    TOR +174  W
    NYM +183  W
    TEX +166  L
    SDP +165  L
    SFG +195  L

    This system sucks too it seems...will keep looking for something new

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