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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    The Thinker's Computer Program Plays

    TheThinker
    CapsHockey
    phatpherriola
    Stew Baker
    pleasepush
    ...
    Participants:
    Search model icon
    Views: 913
    Posts: 13
     
    TheThinker
    TheThinker
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    Posted: Sep. 29, 2009 - 10:01 AM ET #1

    This thread is going to be MULTI-SPORT and going to run in 2 parts.
     
    1. Ill list my highest rated play of the day, as projected by my computer program. It could be a side or total from any sport. Im going to flat bet this play for 3 units.
     
    2. Im going to post the best ML Underdog plays of the day, as projected by my program. The plays will all be risking 1 unit and could come from any professional sport. Notice i said professional sport, college sports will not be included in this section.
     
    I plan to run this thread for a long while, so bear with me as we move along daily. The plays will be posted as early as possible but as a general rule, play the dogs as late as possible.
     
    I would not suggest following this blindly, until enough plays are posted in the thread to warrant anyone to follow...
     
    back later with all the plays for tuesday sept 29
     
    GW
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    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    This thread is going to be MULTI-SPORT and going to run in 2 parts.
     
    1. Ill list my highest rated play of the day, as projected by my computer program. It could be a side or total from any sport. Im going to flat bet this play for 3 units.
     
    2. Im going to post the best ML Underdog plays of the day, as projected by my program. The plays will all be risking 1 unit and could come from any professional sport. Notice i said professional sport, college sports will not be included in this section.
     
    I plan to run this thread for a long while, so bear with me as we move along daily. The plays will be posted as early as possible but as a general rule, play the dogs as late as possible.
     
    I would not suggest following this blindly, until enough plays are posted in the thread to warrant anyone to follow...
     
    back later with all the plays for tuesday sept 29
     
    GW
     
    TheThinker
    TheThinker
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    Posted: Sep. 29, 2009 - 10:33 AM ET #2

    here we go for tuesday sept 29
     
    the record will be for what is posted in this thread only....
     
     
    Top Rated Plays: 0-0 (0.00 units)
     
    ML Underdogs: 0-0 (0.00 units)
     
     
    Top Rated Play for tuesday sept 29
     
    1. Rangers Over 8.5 (-1.20) 3.60 units to win 3.00 units
    game carries a 64.55% chance of going Over this total. greek sportsbook.
     
     
    ML Underdog plays for tuesday sept 29
     
    1. whitesox (+1.10)
    2. bluejays (+1.80)
    3. astros (+2.55)
    4. pirates (+2.25)
    5. ariz (+1.25)
     
     
    there will be no additions today, ill keep this simple and wont add throughout the day, with the exception being saturday, as i break it into 2 days... the Underdogs are always risking 1 unit and for baseball always listed pitchers...
     
    any questions about any games--- ask, ill answer asap... once again, do not tail these plays blindly now. i plan to run this thread for a long while, so there will be plenty of time for that. i felt i needed this to be in the systems and strategies room, since all plays are generated from a computer program and my opinion has nothing to do with the wager and it will be mult-sport, so it wouldnt be right to post them in any one single room...
     
    good luck with your wagers...
     
     
    GW
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    here we go for tuesday sept 29
     
    the record will be for what is posted in this thread only....
     
     
    Top Rated Plays: 0-0 (0.00 units)
     
    ML Underdogs: 0-0 (0.00 units)
     
     
    Top Rated Play for tuesday sept 29
     
    1. Rangers Over 8.5 (-1.20) 3.60 units to win 3.00 units
    game carries a 64.55% chance of going Over this total. greek sportsbook.
     
     
    ML Underdog plays for tuesday sept 29
     
    1. whitesox (+1.10)
    2. bluejays (+1.80)
    3. astros (+2.55)
    4. pirates (+2.25)
    5. ariz (+1.25)
     
     
    there will be no additions today, ill keep this simple and wont add throughout the day, with the exception being saturday, as i break it into 2 days... the Underdogs are always risking 1 unit and for baseball always listed pitchers...
     
    any questions about any games--- ask, ill answer asap... once again, do not tail these plays blindly now. i plan to run this thread for a long while, so there will be plenty of time for that. i felt i needed this to be in the systems and strategies room, since all plays are generated from a computer program and my opinion has nothing to do with the wager and it will be mult-sport, so it wouldnt be right to post them in any one single room...
     
    good luck with your wagers...
     
     
    GW
     
    CapsHockey
    CapsHockey
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    Posted: Sep. 29, 2009 - 11:27 AM ET #3

    BOL Thinker.  I'll be interested to see how this pans out.

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    BOL Thinker.  I'll be interested to see how this pans out.

     
    phatpherriola
    phatpherriola
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    Posted: Sep. 29, 2009 - 1:58 PM ET #4

    how do you come up with the plays??
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    how do you come up with the plays??
     
    Stew Baker
    Stew Baker
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    Posted: Sep. 29, 2009 - 5:01 PM ET #5

    Can you post the projected win rate alongside the dog plays?
     
                                                   Thanks. Stew
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    Can you post the projected win rate alongside the dog plays?
     
                                                   Thanks. Stew
     
    pleasepush
    pleasepush
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    Posted: Sep. 29, 2009 - 5:01 PM ET #6

    good luck

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    good luck

     
    JimmyJet
    JimmyJet
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    Posted: Sep. 29, 2009 - 10:11 PM ET #7

    BOL.....JJ
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    BOL.....JJ
     
    yungsage
    yungsage
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    Posted: Sep. 30, 2009 - 2:27 AM ET #8

    I'm routing for you thinker..
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    I'm routing for you thinker..
     
    BiggDogg5n2
    BiggDogg5n2
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    Posted: Sep. 30, 2009 - 9:36 AM ET #9

    Thinker...

    BOL Today...
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    Thinker...

    BOL Today...
     
    TheThinker
    TheThinker
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    Posted: Sep. 30, 2009 - 10:41 AM ET #10

    thanks guys for the support... ive been under a lot of pressure lately....  i am very new to this business and not sure its for me... i am throwing the towel in, for my part, for now... ive dropped about 2k since august 8th, on one thing or another....
     
    i need some time to figure out, if im going to proceed in this endeavor...
     
    i think your game can be beat, just not sure if i can do it.... again thanks for the well wishes..
     
    GW
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    thanks guys for the support... ive been under a lot of pressure lately....  i am very new to this business and not sure its for me... i am throwing the towel in, for my part, for now... ive dropped about 2k since august 8th, on one thing or another....
     
    i need some time to figure out, if im going to proceed in this endeavor...
     
    i think your game can be beat, just not sure if i can do it.... again thanks for the well wishes..
     
    GW
     
    rojaspicks
    rojaspicks
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    Posted: Sep. 30, 2009 - 2:31 PM ET #11

    what do you think on colorado and chicago and the under in washington mlb
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    what do you think on colorado and chicago and the under in washington mlb
     
    dufresne
    dufresne
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    Posted: Sep. 30, 2009 - 6:51 PM ET #12

    BOL Thinker
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    BOL Thinker
     
     
    Stew Baker
    Stew Baker
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    Posted: Sep. 30, 2009 - 9:07 PM ET #13

    Quote Originally Posted by TheThinker:

    thanks guys for the support... ive been under a lot of pressure lately....  i am very new to this business and not sure its for me... i am throwing the towel in, for my part, for now... ive dropped about 2k since august 8th, on one thing or another....
     
    i need some time to figure out, if im going to proceed in this endeavor...
     
    i think your game can be beat, just not sure if i can do it.... again thanks for the well wishes..
     
    GW
    Thinker,
     
         Its not the easiest thing to beat, for sure. I think for someone starting out, it is best keep your scope limited. Once you find something that works, and it shows consistency, adhere to it strictly. Anything else should be on a test basis until that becomes consistent. Don't be afraid to start out real small, or even paper bet. There will be plenty of time to step it up once you become proficient, better than throwing money around based on your assumptions. Be careful with what you assume, test before you step out. Many times what seems should happen doesn't happen. .
     
         Once I was using someone's baseball program. The assumption was that if there was a diffenence above a certain amount befween the projected money line and the actual betting line, then it would be profitable. That ended up not working with this program, however, the program also made score predictions. What I found out was that betting underdogs that were predicted to win by between 1/2 and 1 run did very well. This just gives you an example of what can happen. Be flexible and keep your eyes open.
     
         There's a lot of potential in sports betting for the right person. You may be the right person, if you get to understand the game better.
     
         And just remember, in sports betting, the Kelly Criterion RULES! Learn the Kelly Criterion, and understand all its implications.
     
                                                 BOL,
                                                       Stew
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    Quote Originally Posted by TheThinker:

    thanks guys for the support... ive been under a lot of pressure lately....  i am very new to this business and not sure its for me... i am throwing the towel in, for my part, for now... ive dropped about 2k since august 8th, on one thing or another....
     
    i need some time to figure out, if im going to proceed in this endeavor...
     
    i think your game can be beat, just not sure if i can do it.... again thanks for the well wishes..
     
    GW
    Thinker,
     
         Its not the easiest thing to beat, for sure. I think for someone starting out, it is best keep your scope limited. Once you find something that works, and it shows consistency, adhere to it strictly. Anything else should be on a test basis until that becomes consistent. Don't be afraid to start out real small, or even paper bet. There will be plenty of time to step it up once you become proficient, better than throwing money around based on your assumptions. Be careful with what you assume, test before you step out. Many times what seems should happen doesn't happen. .
     
         Once I was using someone's baseball program. The assumption was that if there was a diffenence above a certain amount befween the projected money line and the actual betting line, then it would be profitable. That ended up not working with this program, however, the program also made score predictions. What I found out was that betting underdogs that were predicted to win by between 1/2 and 1 run did very well. This just gives you an example of what can happen. Be flexible and keep your eyes open.
     
         There's a lot of potential in sports betting for the right person. You may be the right person, if you get to understand the game better.
     
         And just remember, in sports betting, the Kelly Criterion RULES! Learn the Kelly Criterion, and understand all its implications.
     
                                                 BOL,
                                                       Stew
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