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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    Taking All MLB Underdogs...

    SUPEREAGLE43
    PatrickBateman
    trs244
    kreatture
    hrabri_pero
    ...
    Participants:
    Search model icon
    Views: 662
    Posts: 11
     
    SUPEREAGLE43
    SUPEREAGLE43
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    Posted: Jun. 13, 2009 - 4:32 PM ET #1

    There is a poster in one of these forums who says that you can take all MLB dogs (every dog every day) and you will come out up money.  Any truth to this?  Any experience with this?
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    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    There is a poster in one of these forums who says that you can take all MLB dogs (every dog every day) and you will come out up money.  Any truth to this?  Any experience with this?
     
    PatrickBateman
    PatrickBateman
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    Posted: Jun. 13, 2009 - 4:40 PM ET #2

    If it was that easy, wouldn't everyone be doing?
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    If it was that easy, wouldn't everyone be doing?
     
    trs244
    trs244
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    Posted: Jun. 13, 2009 - 5:00 PM ET #3

    Take any ten day period for the last four years, OTHER THAN INTER LEAGUE PLAY, and bet all home underdogs.  Not glamorous, but always turns a profit.  Fact.
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    Take any ten day period for the last four years, OTHER THAN INTER LEAGUE PLAY, and bet all home underdogs.  Not glamorous, but always turns a profit.  Fact.
     
    PatrickBateman
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    Posted: Jun. 13, 2009 - 5:12 PM ET #4

    Is that so? Do you bet that when yourself then? You must be a millionaire, easy money no?
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    Is that so? Do you bet that when yourself then? You must be a millionaire, easy money no?
     
    kreatture
    kreatture
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    Posted: Jun. 14, 2009 - 5:04 AM ET #5

    Yeah I see Scorpio is doing this over in the Baseball Forum.. it is an interesting experiment he is running..

    facts are this type of System will go broke over the long haul.. but on a short time frame there is a good chance it will turn a profit. I think he is doing it for 60 days.. He needs a good start the first few days, otherwise it's an easy busto. But if it shows a ++ over this weekend, then it will probably hold up through the 2 months.

    The beginning is the key in my opinion.

    I wish him luck 
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    Yeah I see Scorpio is doing this over in the Baseball Forum.. it is an interesting experiment he is running..

    facts are this type of System will go broke over the long haul.. but on a short time frame there is a good chance it will turn a profit. I think he is doing it for 60 days.. He needs a good start the first few days, otherwise it's an easy busto. But if it shows a ++ over this weekend, then it will probably hold up through the 2 months.

    The beginning is the key in my opinion.

    I wish him luck 
     
    hrabri_pero
    hrabri_pero
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    Posted: Jun. 14, 2009 - 5:51 AM ET #6

    home dogs, no interleague

    2000.  28,01u  302-345 46,68%
    2001. -55,78u  285-419 40,48%
    2002.  -0,10u   286-389 42,37%
    2003.  26,78u  307-372 45,21%
    2004. -22,58u  266-371 41,76%
    2005. -18,11u  290-381 43,22%
    2006.  32,14u  332-369 47,36%
    2007.  -0,16u   293-357 45,08%
    2008.  42,62u  300-312 49,02%
    2009.    9,64u  108-114 48,65%
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    home dogs, no interleague

    2000.  28,01u  302-345 46,68%
    2001. -55,78u  285-419 40,48%
    2002.  -0,10u   286-389 42,37%
    2003.  26,78u  307-372 45,21%
    2004. -22,58u  266-371 41,76%
    2005. -18,11u  290-381 43,22%
    2006.  32,14u  332-369 47,36%
    2007.  -0,16u   293-357 45,08%
    2008.  42,62u  300-312 49,02%
    2009.    9,64u  108-114 48,65%
     
    sports_Network
    sports_Network
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    Posted: Jun. 14, 2009 - 6:39 AM ET #7

    Quote Originally Posted by hrabri_pero:

    home dogs, no interleague

    2000.  28,01u  302-345 46,68%
    2001. -55,78u  285-419 40,48%
    2002.  -0,10u   286-389 42,37%
    2003.  26,78u  307-372 45,21%
    2004. -22,58u  266-371 41,76%
    2005. -18,11u  290-381 43,22%
    2006.  32,14u  332-369 47,36%
    2007.  -0,16u   293-357 45,08%
    2008.  42,62u  300-312 49,02%
    2009.    9,64u  108-114 48,65%

    stats don't lie..HD cashed 49% last year alone, and are paced at 48.6% for the 09' season, which makes it a 'spot' play..I can't agree with taking a dog, only because it's a dog..dahhh...disciplined, or 'blind' handicapping does not work, never has, and most likely never will, there are no known formulas, or stats to show an advantage, but their are many that indicate Loss....Only problem with home dog dependentcy, they are few, and far in between..You get apx 600 / 3000 ratio

    pero

    thx for the data, valuable info on HD % good research...SN 

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    Quote Originally Posted by hrabri_pero:

    home dogs, no interleague

    2000.  28,01u  302-345 46,68%
    2001. -55,78u  285-419 40,48%
    2002.  -0,10u   286-389 42,37%
    2003.  26,78u  307-372 45,21%
    2004. -22,58u  266-371 41,76%
    2005. -18,11u  290-381 43,22%
    2006.  32,14u  332-369 47,36%
    2007.  -0,16u   293-357 45,08%
    2008.  42,62u  300-312 49,02%
    2009.    9,64u  108-114 48,65%

    stats don't lie..HD cashed 49% last year alone, and are paced at 48.6% for the 09' season, which makes it a 'spot' play..I can't agree with taking a dog, only because it's a dog..dahhh...disciplined, or 'blind' handicapping does not work, never has, and most likely never will, there are no known formulas, or stats to show an advantage, but their are many that indicate Loss....Only problem with home dog dependentcy, they are few, and far in between..You get apx 600 / 3000 ratio

    pero

    thx for the data, valuable info on HD % good research...SN 

     
    ApacheM
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    Posted: Jun. 14, 2009 - 9:06 AM ET #8

     DOGS...you'll have plenty of action and can't get hurt.....
    problem is JUICE 20cents on Baseball. If you can find a 10cent
    line it's much better.
    I do this with NFL, all the Dogs, Same amt.each.
     
     GL Kemosabe
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     DOGS...you'll have plenty of action and can't get hurt.....
    problem is JUICE 20cents on Baseball. If you can find a 10cent
    line it's much better.
    I do this with NFL, all the Dogs, Same amt.each.
     
     GL Kemosabe
     
    PatrickBateman
    PatrickBateman
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    Posts: 1066
    Posted: Jun. 14, 2009 - 12:50 PM ET #9

    As much as I denounce the blind betting of all dogs, one year I tried betting them the first month of baseball and had some good results. If there is a terrible team from the previous year that comes out and plays well the first month of the next season, they clean up as dogs.
     
    For example, Kansas City this year. Had you bet them anytime they were a dog in April, you would have made some good money.
     
    It works the opposite way as well...i.e.- Good teams from previous year that are constantly favored, but do horrible the first month. For example, betting against the Devil Rays
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    As much as I denounce the blind betting of all dogs, one year I tried betting them the first month of baseball and had some good results. If there is a terrible team from the previous year that comes out and plays well the first month of the next season, they clean up as dogs.
     
    For example, Kansas City this year. Had you bet them anytime they were a dog in April, you would have made some good money.
     
    It works the opposite way as well...i.e.- Good teams from previous year that are constantly favored, but do horrible the first month. For example, betting against the Devil Rays
     
    Accumart
    Accumart
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    Posted: Jun. 14, 2009 - 3:29 PM ET #10

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    King-of-the-NFL
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    Posted: Jun. 18, 2009 - 11:08 PM ET #11

    Point prove thoughout EVERY post...

    Guaranteed profit is being the "MIDDLEMAN BOOKIE"


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    Point prove thoughout EVERY post...

    Guaranteed profit is being the "MIDDLEMAN BOOKIE"


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