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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    Seriously, what winning percentage is considered "good" based on betting 100 games?

    instinctpicks
    alecboyh
    KingScorpio
    examine
    GeneCam27
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    instinctpicks
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    Posted: Feb. 18, 2014 - 11:29 PM ET #1

    Let's hear it. 
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    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    Let's hear it. 
     
    instinctpicks
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    Posted: Feb. 18, 2014 - 11:30 PM ET #2

    And of course this is based on ATS only. No ML or teasers.
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    And of course this is based on ATS only. No ML or teasers.
     
    alecboyh
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    Posted: Feb. 18, 2014 - 11:34 PM ET #3

    54 and up youll be plus money
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    54 and up youll be plus money
     
    KingScorpio
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    Posted: Feb. 18, 2014 - 11:38 PM ET #4

    50 Average

    55 Novice

    60 Decent

    65 Good

    70 Great

    There is no 100% cappers in the world
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    50 Average

    55 Novice

    60 Decent

    65 Good

    70 Great

     
    instinctpicks
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    Posted: Feb. 18, 2014 - 11:38 PM ET #5

    With money mgmt you can be at 50/50 and be alright.
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    With money mgmt you can be at 50/50 and be alright.
     
    alecboyh
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    Posted: Feb. 18, 2014 - 11:40 PM ET #6

    Betting same amount of money on each play 54% and up youll be green
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    Betting same amount of money on each play 54% and up youll be green
     
    instinctpicks
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    Posted: Feb. 18, 2014 - 11:45 PM ET #7

    54% at 100 bucks a game...

    54 wins = 5400
    46 losses = -5060(including 10%juice)

    = +340


    Hmmm.... Not too much but still positive.
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    54% at 100 bucks a game...

    54 wins = 5400
    46 losses = -5060(including 10%juice)

    = +340


    Hmmm.... Not too much but still positive.
     
    examine
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    Posted: Feb. 18, 2014 - 11:48 PM ET #8

    I am hitting over 75%... so I would say 75% +

    most here are bellow 50

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    I am hitting over 75%... so I would say 75% +

    most here are bellow 50

     
    alecboyh
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    Posted: Feb. 19, 2014 - 12:03 AM ET #9

    See like a said ... minimum to be is 54% ...

    Of course youll want to hit 60% or better ...
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    See like a said ... minimum to be is 54% ...

    Of course youll want to hit 60% or better ...
     
    GeneCam27
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    Posted: Feb. 19, 2014 - 1:33 AM ET #10

    75% you're a liar......

    no ones edge is that big...... prove me wrong go post your plays everyday. I dont give a feck if you're 75% over 100 games.... that's a BS tiny sample.....

    75% is not possible over the long run.....
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    75% you're a liar......

    no ones edge is that big...... prove me wrong go post your plays everyday. I dont give a feck if you're 75% over 100 games.... that's a BS tiny sample.....

    75% is not possible over the long run.....
     
    melossinglet
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    Posted: Feb. 19, 2014 - 4:19 AM ET #11

    75%????...examine,not to cast aspersions over your integrity but from wat i can gather professional gamblers that wager millions of dollars weekly and spend their every waking hour devoted to it are more than happy to hit 56%....ecstatic in fact...and you are hitting 75% long term??on spreads??okay,im just gonna check your history to see your record on plays.wat will i find??

    and as for king scorpio who posted 60 decent,65 good,70 great......try 60 great,65 amazing,70 damn near impossible.........talking about long-term of course..i know the question was a 100 game sample but that size is irrelevant so its better to speak big picture.
    jeez there some delusional dreamers in this place
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    75%????...examine,not to cast aspersions over your integrity but from wat i can gather professional gamblers that wager millions of dollars weekly and spend their every waking hour devoted to it are more than happy to hit 56%....ecstatic in fact...and you are hitting 75% long term??on spreads??okay,im just gonna check your history to see your record on plays.wat will i find??

    and as for king scorpio who posted 60 decent,65 good,70 great......try 60 great,65 amazing,70 damn near impossible.........talking about long-term of course..i know the question was a 100 game sample but that size is irrelevant so its better to speak big picture.
    jeez there some delusional dreamers in this place
     
    pepsi562
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    Posted: Feb. 19, 2014 - 6:18 AM ET #12

    Quote Originally Posted by melossinglet:

    75%????...examine,not to cast aspersions over your integrity but from wat i can gather professional gamblers that wager millions of dollars weekly and spend their every waking hour devoted to it are more than happy to hit 56%....ecstatic in fact...and you are hitting 75% long term??on spreads??okay,im just gonna check your history to see your record on plays.wat will i find??

    and as for king scorpio who posted 60 decent,65 good,70 great......try 60 great,65 amazing,70 damn near impossible.........talking about long-term of course..i know the question was a 100 game sample but that size is irrelevant so its better to speak big picture.
    jeez there some delusional dreamers in this place


    he's responding in the thread for like 100 game sample, no one here is talking long  term  or a huge sample
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    Quote Originally Posted by melossinglet:

    75%????...examine,not to cast aspersions over your integrity but from wat i can gather professional gamblers that wager millions of dollars weekly and spend their every waking hour devoted to it are more than happy to hit 56%....ecstatic in fact...and you are hitting 75% long term??on spreads??okay,im just gonna check your history to see your record on plays.wat will i find??

    and as for king scorpio who posted 60 decent,65 good,70 great......try 60 great,65 amazing,70 damn near impossible.........talking about long-term of course..i know the question was a 100 game sample but that size is irrelevant so its better to speak big picture.
    jeez there some delusional dreamers in this place


    he's responding in the thread for like 100 game sample, no one here is talking long  term  or a huge sample
     
    GeneCam27
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    Posted: Feb. 19, 2014 - 9:55 AM ET #13

    No one mentioned this is over 100 games...... even over 100 some guy claiming he's 75% im just gonna have to ignore cuz he's a newb. 
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    No one mentioned this is over 100 games...... even over 100 some guy claiming he's 75% im just gonna have to ignore cuz he's a newb. 
     
    bobmaloogatimesfive
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    Posted: Feb. 19, 2014 - 10:31 AM ET #14

    Considering examine bets on the heat every game every spread he is probably closer to 25pct
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    Considering examine bets on the heat every game every spread he is probably closer to 25pct
     
    Beningo88
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    Posted: Feb. 19, 2014 - 1:59 PM ET #15

    75%
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    75%
     
    examine
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    Posted: Feb. 19, 2014 - 2:05 PM ET #16

    I bet 1 million on the heat every game and If I lose, I just double down until I win

     

    lol

     

    heat covered last 3, I am on fire boys!!!

    plus east won the asg...

    Putting 2 million on heat vs okc

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    I bet 1 million on the heat every game and If I lose, I just double down until I win

     

    lol

     

    heat covered last 3, I am on fire boys!!!

    plus east won the asg...

    Putting 2 million on heat vs okc

     
    henrymethbreath
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    Posted: Feb. 19, 2014 - 2:05 PM ET #17

    I'm a fan of having a break even in the mid-40%, read, choosing lines that average over the long term near +130, and hitting about 53-54% of my plays.

    anyone that tells you they're hitting more than 70% is either playing very astute dog spreads or lying. 
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    I'm a fan of having a break even in the mid-40%, read, choosing lines that average over the long term near +130, and hitting about 53-54% of my plays.

    anyone that tells you they're hitting more than 70% is either playing very astute dog spreads or lying. 
     
    Smushmachine
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    Posted: Feb. 19, 2014 - 2:12 PM ET #18

    Quote Originally Posted by KingScorpio:

    50 Average

    55 Novice

    60 Decent

    65 Good

    70 Great



    50 Good

    55 Great

    60 Unsustainable

    65 Unsustainable

    70 Unsustainable
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    Quote Originally Posted by KingScorpio:

    50 Average

    55 Novice

    60 Decent

    65 Good

    70 Great



    50 Good

    55 Great

    60 Unsustainable

    65 Unsustainable

    70 Unsustainable
     
    henrymethbreath
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    Posted: Feb. 19, 2014 - 2:24 PM ET #19

    -110 52.83% +110 47.62%
    -115 53.59% +115 46.51%
    -120 54.55% +120 45.45%
    -125 55.56% +125 44.44%
    -125 55.56% +125 44.44%
    -135 57.45% +135 42.55%
    -140 58.33% +140 41.67%
    -145 59.18% +145 40.82%
    -150 60% +150 40%
    -155 60.78% +155 39.22%
    -160 61.54% +160 38.46%
    -165 62.26% +165 37.74%
    -170 62.69% +170 37.04%
    -175 63.64% +175 36.36%
    -180 64.29% +180 35.71%
    -185 64.91% +185 35.09%
    -190 65.52% +190 34.48%
    -200 66.67% +200 32.26%
    -220 68.75% +220 31.25%
    -240 70.59% +240 29.41%
    -250 71.43% +250 28.57%


    use that as a guide.

    hitting 50% doesn't mean dcik if you're playiing -135 lines. 
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    -110 52.83% +110 47.62%
    -115 53.59% +115 46.51%
    -120 54.55% +120 45.45%
    -125 55.56% +125 44.44%
    -125 55.56% +125 44.44%
    -135 57.45% +135 42.55%
    -140 58.33% +140 41.67%
    -145 59.18% +145 40.82%
    -150 60% +150 40%
    -155 60.78% +155 39.22%
    -160 61.54% +160 38.46%
    -165 62.26% +165 37.74%
    -170 62.69% +170 37.04%
    -175 63.64% +175 36.36%
    -180 64.29% +180 35.71%
    -185 64.91% +185 35.09%
    -190 65.52% +190 34.48%
    -200 66.67% +200 32.26%
    -220 68.75% +220 31.25%
    -240 70.59% +240 29.41%
    -250 71.43% +250 28.57%


    use that as a guide.

    hitting 50% doesn't mean dcik if you're playiing -135 lines. 
     
    instinctpicks
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    Posted: Feb. 19, 2014 - 2:40 PM ET #20

    This is all for against the spread only here boys. No ML, teasers, buying points, etc. ATS only.
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    This is all for against the spread only here boys. No ML, teasers, buying points, etc. ATS only.
     
    henrymethbreath
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    Posted: Feb. 19, 2014 - 2:43 PM ET #21

    56%+ then. just shooting from the hip.
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    56%+ then. just shooting from the hip.
     
    Frostbite22
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    Posted: Feb. 19, 2014 - 6:46 PM ET #22

    Favorites hit 70% in any sport
    Most people bet on favorites

    If that is correct, you need to hit at least 58% to stay in the money.
    The general rule is that you must hit 52,4% to make money
    This considering you use good money management, 80% don't
    This is why 98% of gamblers lose money.
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    Favorites hit 70% in any sport
    Most people bet on favorites

    If that is correct, you need to hit at least 58% to stay in the money.
    The general rule is that you must hit 52,4% to make money
    This considering you use good money management, 80% don't
    This is why 98% of gamblers lose money.
     
    BUSTERDOUGLASS
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    Posted: Feb. 19, 2014 - 11:53 PM ET #23

    56% to 60% any good average handicapper should acheive
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    56% to 60% any good average handicapper should acheive
     
    ihavenopatience
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    Posted: Feb. 20, 2014 - 3:21 PM ET #24

    IMO just winning money is considered good. 100games is not a large sample size but majority of people into this "hobby" are losers. Ive been at it for 4 years now and im only up 144.36u mostly from baseball. As for people hitting over 60% for only 100 games, yea its possible but like everyone else said its unsustainable in the long run
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    IMO just winning money is considered good. 100games is not a large sample size but majority of people into this "hobby" are losers. Ive been at it for 4 years now and im only up 144.36u mostly from baseball. As for people hitting over 60% for only 100 games, yea its possible but like everyone else said its unsustainable in the long run
     
     
    DEGENZ4LIFE
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    Joined: Nov, 2011
    Posts: 56
    Posted: Feb. 20, 2014 - 7:06 PM ET #25

    with all due respect, if you seriously cant figure that out on your own you have no business wagering
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    with all due respect, if you seriously cant figure that out on your own you have no business wagering
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