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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    Possible new NHL systems part 3

    onlinesport
    ethancraft50
    MONEYshotS
    bigkeith
    Jeff_Kent
    ...
    Participants:
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    Views: 695
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    onlinesport
    onlinesport
    Banned
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    Posts: 848
    Posted: Oct. 7, 2009 - 4:59 AM ET #1

    System 4:
     
    Step 1: take a 3+ home series
    Step 2: Look at the odds of the Totals that the bookie gives us for the first home game
    Step 3: bet on the favourite of the totals. So bet on the highest odds of the over/under
     
    Exemple:
    Philadelphia - Minnesota U5,5 -141
    Philadlephia - Toronto U 6,5 -123
    Philadelphia - Pittsburgh P 6
     
    Here you can see the first game ( vs Minnesota) the bookie thinks the score will go under (-141 odds), so we bet under and we win!
    If we lose we just look at the 2nd home game of the flyers and we lok at what the bookie thinks iit will be! And we bet on that!
     
    Records last year:
    A games: 105
    B games: 52
    C games: 18
    Faults: 13
     
    Labby as money managment system and you win a lot of Units!
     
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    System 4:
     
    Step 1: take a 3+ home series
    Step 2: Look at the odds of the Totals that the bookie gives us for the first home game
    Step 3: bet on the favourite of the totals. So bet on the highest odds of the over/under
     
    Exemple:
    Philadelphia - Minnesota U5,5 -141
    Philadlephia - Toronto U 6,5 -123
    Philadelphia - Pittsburgh P 6
     
    Here you can see the first game ( vs Minnesota) the bookie thinks the score will go under (-141 odds), so we bet under and we win!
    If we lose we just look at the 2nd home game of the flyers and we lok at what the bookie thinks iit will be! And we bet on that!
     
    Records last year:
    A games: 105
    B games: 52
    C games: 18
    Faults: 13
     
    Labby as money managment system and you win a lot of Units!
     
     
    ethancraft50
    ethancraft50
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Apr, 2006
    Posts: 524
    Posted: Oct. 7, 2009 - 1:24 PM ET #2

    so you are gonna be chasing A and B using the modified labouchere or are you going all 3 lines?

    You only have the records for last year at the moment?

    thanks for sharing. ill look into this as well.

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    so you are gonna be chasing A and B using the modified labouchere or are you going all 3 lines?

    You only have the records for last year at the moment?

    thanks for sharing. ill look into this as well.

     
    MONEYshotS
    MONEYshotS
    Prospect
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    Joined: Jan, 2009
    Posts: 47
    Posted: Oct. 8, 2009 - 7:29 PM ET #3

    I was wondering if I could spot play these.... Going to track it for a few days.  I get these as plays today for an A game.
    Bos under
    TB under
    SJ under
    Ottawa under

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    I was wondering if I could spot play these.... Going to track it for a few days.  I get these as plays today for an A game.
    Bos under
    TB under
    SJ under
    Ottawa under

     
    bigkeith
    bigkeith
    Prospect
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    Joined: Oct, 2008
    Posts: 93
    Posted: Oct. 8, 2009 - 8:46 PM ET #4

    System is a FAILURE..
     
    I back-tested 10 years of it. It failed all thru late 1990"s and early 2000.
     
    You have been warned...........................
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    System is a FAILURE..
     
    I back-tested 10 years of it. It failed all thru late 1990"s and early 2000.
     
    You have been warned...........................
     
    Jeff_Kent
    Jeff_Kent
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jul, 2009
    Posts: 157
    Posted: Oct. 9, 2009 - 4:05 AM ET #5

    bigkeith says, "
    I back-tested 10 years of it. It failed all thru late 1990"s and early 2000."

    Jeff_Kent says, "I doubt it."

    The system may be a failure, but I don't think bigkeith backtested it for 10 years.  I have seen the amount of work done by other posters on this forum back-testing, and it is a long, arduous, tedious task.  Not only does bigkeith claim to have back-tested this system for 10 years, but he has claimed to have back-tested several others as well.  I don't think somebody would do that without posting results.  I don't see the results.  The underlying claim--that the system is a loser--may very well be true.  I just don't think bigkeith actually back-tested as he claims.
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    bigkeith says, "
    I back-tested 10 years of it. It failed all thru late 1990"s and early 2000."

    Jeff_Kent says, "I doubt it."

    The system may be a failure, but I don't think bigkeith backtested it for 10 years.  I have seen the amount of work done by other posters on this forum back-testing, and it is a long, arduous, tedious task.  Not only does bigkeith claim to have back-tested this system for 10 years, but he has claimed to have back-tested several others as well.  I don't think somebody would do that without posting results.  I don't see the results.  The underlying claim--that the system is a loser--may very well be true.  I just don't think bigkeith actually back-tested as he claims.
     
    KMang
    KMang
    Prospect
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    Joined: Oct, 2008
    Posts: 141
    Posted: Oct. 9, 2009 - 9:13 AM ET #6

    If there were only 18 C games and 13 faults, it seems like you should just bet the A and B lines on this system using a Labby and you could make a ton of units.  Eliminating the C line won't cost you too many wins and will eliminate most of the costly faults. 
     
    Sport,  Are you playing all 3 lines? 
     
    JKent....I am with you....  While this system may not be as well tested as Kong's JM thread, I seriously doubt bigkeith backtested 10 years of it in the 24 hours after OSport posted this thread.  I don't doubt that these have all been tried before.  But if you had a winning system, Would YOU want it in the hands of every nickel and dime bettor surfing the net???  Exactly!
     
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    If there were only 18 C games and 13 faults, it seems like you should just bet the A and B lines on this system using a Labby and you could make a ton of units.  Eliminating the C line won't cost you too many wins and will eliminate most of the costly faults. 
     
    Sport,  Are you playing all 3 lines? 
     
    JKent....I am with you....  While this system may not be as well tested as Kong's JM thread, I seriously doubt bigkeith backtested 10 years of it in the 24 hours after OSport posted this thread.  I don't doubt that these have all been tried before.  But if you had a winning system, Would YOU want it in the hands of every nickel and dime bettor surfing the net???  Exactly!
     
     
    stickbit
    stickbit
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    Posts: 423
    Posted: Oct. 10, 2009 - 11:13 AM ET #7

    will there be multiple over/under plays per day or are we going to try and narrow it down to 1 play per day?
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    will there be multiple over/under plays per day or are we going to try and narrow it down to 1 play per day?
     
     
    MontanaMax
    MontanaMax
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    Joined: Nov, 2008
    Posts: 473
    Posted: Oct. 10, 2009 - 1:53 PM ET #8

    Quote Originally Posted by Jeff_Kent:

    bigkeith says, "
    I back-tested 10 years of it. It failed all thru late 1990"s and early 2000."

    Jeff_Kent says, "I doubt it."

    The system may be a failure, but I don't think bigkeith backtested it for 10 years.  I have seen the amount of work done by other posters on this forum back-testing, and it is a long, arduous, tedious task.  Not only does bigkeith claim to have back-tested this system for 10 years, but he has claimed to have back-tested several others as well.  I don't think somebody would do that without posting results.  I don't see the results.  The underlying claim--that the system is a loser--may very well be true.  I just don't think bigkeith actually back-tested as he claims.




    Makes sense after all trust is most important between us here
    Questions develop to why the x's and o's of results are not shared to provide credibility with a statement
    Something to hide???????
    Attention seeker????????
    We'll just have to find out the hard way
    That's all.........
    Common sense.......
    Respect is earned and not given over time with our posts
    I write checks my ass can cash  - how 'bout ya'll????????

    If a tree falls in the woods and no body hear's it
    Does it fall?????????
    How can that be back tested?

    Kieth we are open to your work that's all - its only fair to back up your claims
    Otherwise you lose credibility and nobody except for maybe degenerates and newbies who won't see these 2 posts will respect you

    We're on the same page - are you?
    If so  - prove it with your claims and all is good
    Me....... I don't have time to do the work maybe others do



    Reply
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jeff_Kent:

    bigkeith says, "
    I back-tested 10 years of it. It failed all thru late 1990"s and early 2000."

    Jeff_Kent says, "I doubt it."

    The system may be a failure, but I don't think bigkeith backtested it for 10 years.  I have seen the amount of work done by other posters on this forum back-testing, and it is a long, arduous, tedious task.  Not only does bigkeith claim to have back-tested this system for 10 years, but he has claimed to have back-tested several others as well.  I don't think somebody would do that without posting results.  I don't see the results.  The underlying claim--that the system is a loser--may very well be true.  I just don't think bigkeith actually back-tested as he claims.




    Makes sense after all trust is most important between us here
    Questions develop to why the x's and o's of results are not shared to provide credibility with a statement
    Something to hide???????
    Attention seeker????????
    We'll just have to find out the hard way
    That's all.........
    Common sense.......
    Respect is earned and not given over time with our posts
    I write checks my ass can cash  - how 'bout ya'll????????

    If a tree falls in the woods and no body hear's it
    Does it fall?????????
    How can that be back tested?

    Kieth we are open to your work that's all - its only fair to back up your claims
    Otherwise you lose credibility and nobody except for maybe degenerates and newbies who won't see these 2 posts will respect you

    We're on the same page - are you?
    If so  - prove it with your claims and all is good
    Me....... I don't have time to do the work maybe others do



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