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I GAVE OUT GAMES I LIKED THIS WEEK FOR TUES AND THURS ON SUNDAY. IF I WERE HOME TUESDAY I WOULD HAVE MADE SOME CHANGES. WHEN I WORKED ON THE CARD FOR THIS WEEK ON SUNDAY I WAS UP UNTIL 3:30 PM . I SHOULD HAVE WAITED UNTIL TUESDAY TO POST MY PLAYS BUT KNEW I WOULD NOT BE HOME. IF I WAS RUNNING A SERVICE I WOULD HAVE GIVEN OUT THE MARSHALL / HOUSTON GAME. IF YOU READ MY ARTICLE ON TEAMS THAT ARE BAD WHO TRAVEL A LONG DISTANCE YOU WILL BE ABLE TO WIN MONEY EVERY YEAR BY GOING AGAINST THEM USING THE RULES I APPLY.
THERE IS HOWEVER ANOTHER GREAT PLAY INVOLVING TEAMS THAT TRAVEL LONG DISTANCES IN COLD WEATHER. PLAY AGAINST TEAMS TRAVELING A LONG DISTANCE AND ARE EXPERIENCING A CLIMATE CHANGE IS THE GENERAL RULE.THERE ARE EXCEPTIONS BUT NOT MANY. THIS STARTS TAKING EFFECT ABOUT THE LAST WEEK OF OCTOBER. THE MARSHALL/ HOUSTON GAME WAS A NEAR PERFECT PLAY. WHEN HOUSTON TRAVELS A LONG DISTANCE TO THE COLDER STATES STARTING THE LAST WEEK IN OCT USING THE STATE OF KENTUCKY AS A BOUNDARY .THEY HAVE NEVER COVERED A SPREAD NOR WON A GAME IN THE LAST 10 YEARS!!! TUESDAY THEY WERE AN 8 POINT FAVORITE AGAINST MARSHALL. MARSHALL ON THE OTHER HAND IS 5 -2 WHEN PLAYING DEEP SOUTHERN/ WESTERN STATES AT HOME IN THIS SAME TIME PERIOD.THIS WAS A NO BRAINER GAME TO PLAY. FURTHER MORE THE GAME BEGGED FOR 2 OTHER PLAYS! IN ALL GAMES PLAYED THIS YEAR HOUSTON PLAYED WORSE IN THE FIRST HALF THAN THE SECOND HALF, WHILE MARSHALL PLAYED BETTER IN 5 OF 7 FIRST HALVES. MARSHALL WAS A STRONG FIRST HALF PLAY. IT DOES NOT STOP THERE. IN EVERY GAME HOUSTON PLAYED THIS YEAR THE TOTALS WERE ALWAYS UNDER THE FIRST HALF!!IN MOST GAMES MARSHALL PLAYED THEY WERE ALSO UNDER IN THE FIRST HALF. PLAYING THE UNDER IN THE FIRST HALF WAS A GREAT PLAY. THERE WAS GREAT VALUE THROUGHOUT THE GAME AND ALL 3 OPPORTUNITIES WON AND EASILY.
CONSIDERING THE OHIO U /BUFFALO GAME THE WEATHER WAS MORE LIKE IT WOULD TYPICALLY BE IN BUFFALO RATHER THEN OHIO. BUFFALO HAD TO FEEL AT HOME IN THAT WEATHER. WHEN I WAS HANDICAPPING THIS GAME AT 3:00 IN THE MORNING I FAILED TO SEE SOMETHING I SHOULD HAVE PICKED UP ON. I AM ALWAYS LOOKING FOR TEAMS THAT ARE EITHER HOT OR COLD. I DO NOT USE OVERTIME DATA WHEN DOING SO. I WAS UNAWARE BUFFALO PLAYED 2 OVERTIME GAMES IN A ROW . THEY LOST BOTH OF THESE GAMES. HAD THAT BEEN THE SCORE IN REGULAR TIME THAT WOULD HAVE BEEN A BAD SIGN, BUT NOT OVERTIME.THIS MADE THAT GAME A NON PLAY. ALSO OHIO U HAS NOT DONE WELL AGAINT THE SPREAD THIS YEAR . THERE IS NOTHING ABOUT THIS GAME THAT CALLED FOR A PLAY.
THURSDAY'S GAME CINC /S FLA I CALLED A VERY STRONG GAME INITIALLY. BECAUSE OF THE WEATHER I HAVE DOWN GRADED IT TO A GOOD GAME. S. FLA DOES TRAVEL WELL AT LONG DISTANCES BUT I DO NOT EXPECT THEM TO PLAY ON 8 CYLINDERS THURSDAY. THEY WILL BE HIGHLY MOTIVATED TO AVENGE LAST YEARS UPSET ND CINCY IS NOT PLAYING VERY GOOD AS OF LATE. I THINK S FLA WINS BY 10 ON AVERAGE THURSDAY. IF IT WERE WARMER WEATHER I WOULD MAKE THIS 14 OR MORE.
I WILL HAVE GAMES FOR COLLEGE AND THE NFL POSTED FRIDAY?
I USE MATCHBOOK'S OPENING LINE WHEN DETERMINING THE SPREAD. HOWEVER IF IT IMPROVES WITH COVERS SPREAD I USE THAT. I BET YOU ARE SAYING THAT IS NOT FAIR, AND YOU WOULD BE RIGHT NORMALLY.THE REASON I CAN DO THIS IS BECAUSE THE OPENING SPREAD IS ALWAYS AVAILABE AT MATCHBOOK. IF IT CHANGES YOU CAN PLAY EITHER ONE.LAST WEEK DETROIT OPENED AS A 9 POINT DOG TO WASH BUT WENT DOWN TO 7. OF COURSE THEY LOST BY 8. I PLAYED DETROIT EARLY ON AT+9. HAD THE SPREAD WENT THE OTHER WAY I WOULD HAVE PLAYED WASH ALSO AT +9. AND KILLED THE +9 SPREAD, THEN PLAYED DETROIT AT +11. IT IS LEGITMATE TO CLAIM +9 WHEN THAT SPREAD WAS ALWAYS AVAILABLE!!
IN THE LONG TERM MY PLAYS ARE IMPRESSIVE.LOSING WEEKS DO EXIST THOUGH. LAST WEEK I LOST IN COLLEGE BUT NOT THE PROS. I DID NOT POST COLLEGE GAMES EXCEPY MY 2 BAD TEAM TRAVELING A LONG DISTANCE PLAYS. BOTH WON EASILY. I POSTED MY NFL PLAY AND WON ONTHEM ALSO. WITH SOME LUCK I COULD HAVE HAD A BIG DAY.
THE BEST TO YOU
PROF K
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