Posted:
#51
lets get it
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O/U Park Factor system 2013
Posted:
#60
Wednesday 6/5 results:
Despite Degen trying to jinx it...
Balt/Hou Over - B game WIN
NYM/Wash Over - B game WIN
Record: 7-0
A: 3-4
B: 3-1
C: 1-0
For Thursday there is one play - Atlanta @ LAD OVER.
I won't be able to post in the morning so doing it now.
Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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Posted:
#67
Confirming Friday plays:
Atl/LAD Over B game
Balt/TB Over A game
Pitts/Cubs Over A game
If anyone runs the spreadsheet they will see some plays under the No Push data column, but remember there needs to be at least a 3 game difference in wins/losses. Take Clev for example, they are 13-11 with overs, so they don't qualify.
Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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Posted:
#68
Quote Originally Posted by Danrules24:
If anyone runs the spreadsheet they will see some plays under the No Push data column, but remember there needs to be at least a 3 game difference in wins/losses. Take Clev for example, they are 13-11 with overs, so they don't qualify.
Updated the spreadsheet to include the 3 game difference filter and uploaded a new version - still V2 (same link)
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Posted:
#73
Quote Originally Posted by DegenGamble:
You know what I was thinking maybe look at O/U % vs a team, O/U % by pitcher, and O/U % by series (meaning if a 3 game series has 2 games go over then it's an OVER series
Thoughts?
You know what I was thinking maybe look at O/U % vs a team, O/U % by pitcher, and O/U % by series (meaning if a 3 game series has 2 games go over then it's an OVER series
Thoughts?
Had been giving this some thought so I ran a test. If a series went 2 games Over, 1 Under it counted as a win for the Over for both the away and home team. In the case of a 4 game series I only counted the first 3 games unless there was a push, then game 4 was counted. All 2 game series were not counted unless both games were either over or under.
Collected data in April and started plays in May. What I did was add the 2 teams records based on Home and away. If there was at least a 3 game spread it was a play. For example if Wash was 4-4 as an away team and Hou was 5-1 Over at home we had a combined 9-5 overs, so a play.
Record through Sunday is 61-4. Based on -110 lines the 4 losses were 8.5 units each (rounding), 34 total. 61 wins - 34 losses is 27 unit profit so far.
Using the above rules Monday plays would be:
Chase to win 1 game
LAA/Balt Over
Bos/TB Over
Tor/ChiSox Under
Det/KC Under
Cle/Tex Under
AZ/LAD Over
Atl/SD Over
Interestingly enough, there are no series that start on Monday that qualify for the O/U system in this thread
Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
0
Posted:
#74
Quote Originally Posted by Danrules24:
Had been giving this some thought so I ran a test. If a series went 2 games Over, 1 Under it counted as a win for the Over for both the away and home team. In the case of a 4 game series I only counted the first 3 games unless there was a push, then game 4 was counted. All 2 game series were not counted unless both games were either over or under.
Collected data in April and started plays in May. What I did was add the 2 teams records based on Home and away. If there was at least a 3 game spread it was a play. For example if Wash was 4-4 as an away team and Hou was 5-1 Over at home we had a combined 9-5 overs, so a play.
Record through Sunday is 61-4. Based on -110 lines the 4 losses were 8.5 units each (rounding), 34 total. 61 wins - 34 losses is 27 unit profit so far.
Using the above rules Monday plays would be:
Chase to win 1 game
LAA/Balt Over
Bos/TB Over
Tor/ChiSox Under
Det/KC Under
Cle/Tex Under
AZ/LAD Over
Atl/SD Over
Interestingly enough, there are no series that start on Monday that qualify for the O/U system in this thread
Nice Dan - are you playing these or just testing it out? Are you going to track it separately or use as a filter for the original system?
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