Yesterday: 5-3
Overall: 7-4-1
Todays Plays-
Rhode Island vs George W ---------> Over 145.5
Florida vs Vanderbilt ----------> Under 134.5
Bobcats vs Pacers ---------> Under 200
Bulls vs Timberwolves -------> Under 207
Not sure if anyone cares, but I fnally have time to lay out what I have been doing quickly...
This is not a "system" or anything just a strategy that makes picking Over/Unders simple....I call it my "Don't Overthink It Stategy"
Essentially, after betting for a few years now, I have come to realize that myself as well as others overthink their plays way way too much....There are so many variables to a game that trying to cap each and everyone is impossible / distracting and leads to bad picks.
Thus, it is my belief that to be successful you must choose only a few factors of a game and make a decision based on those...I am starting to concentrate my efforts 90% on Over/Unders and sort of thought up this strategy.
My strategy is simple, I look at the Total set by Vegas for the game and then compare it to where the Totals have been set for wach team throughout the season...Unless there is a definitive advantage to either the over or under, it is a no play...I also factor in previous meetings.
Really all I am doing is playing Vegas against itself...I am looking to find times they repeadetly overestimate totals or underestimate them for teams...
There is no clear formula for me to lay out, I go by feel and what the numbers tell me...For example, the inspiration for this came to me a few weeks ago when the Knicks played the Celtics...It seemed everyone on covers was on the OVER
However, I noticed that the Celtics only saw a Total of 200+ a few times previous to this game and each of those few times they went under...Thus, the under is the play and it won...Since then I have not had a losing night working within my guidelines....So I thought I would share it with everyone...
Fade of Follow your choice...
BOL ALL
Hot Forum Topics
