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NHL Over/Under Chase

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Prospect
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Joined: Oct, 2008
Posts: 281
Posted: #1
This is for NHL Over/Under Chase.  All I'm going to do is chase a team till they hit over, then chase them till they hit an under and so on.  I looked through a few teams last year and it's pretty random, longest streak I saw was 4 overs.  So I'll just keep the units $5 to start, and do it for some fun. Since NHL games are hitting overs at 60%, we'll start there....
 
Pit/Bos  O
Dal/Nyr  O
Fla/Mon  O
Col/LA   O
 
If Pit/Bos are over, for Pit and Bos next games I'll be looking for the under. 
 
If Pit/Bos are under I will chase them both for the over.  (so I lose $5 then I would split the $5 between the 2 teams, so my next bet on Pit would be to win $7.50 and my next bet on Bos would be to win $7.50)
 
When 2 teams meet up and 1 is an over and the other is an under, I'll use the calculation (add up totals of last 3 games for each team, then divide by 6 and play to that number)
 
Make sense?  Anybody with me???
 
Prospect
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Joined: May, 2007
Posts: 40
Posted: #2
this is very similar to what my buddy at work is doing...
matter of fact, if you think about it, and assuming Over/ Unders...you can just chase to hit 1 of each for every team. Ideally, if it is a perfect chase with no obstacles, you would pocket 30 units for over and 30 units for under. Technically, with this method, can't you do this for every single sport???
 
Prospect
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Posted: #3
Really I suppose you could, as long you keep your initial bet low to allow to chase for a few games.
 
Wow 60% overs and I pick the night where there are already 3 unders...lol
No biggie!!!
 
Prospect
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Posts: 281
Posted: #4
Ok 1-3 last night, no biggie, see how it plays out.  Tonight
 
Bos/Buf  O  Chasing Bos from last night
Van/Clb  O
Was/Cal  O
Ana/Tor   O
Atl/TB     O
 
 
Prospect
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Posted: #5
Wow 1-3 so far tonight.. What happened to the 60% of games hitting the over...lol
 
 
Veteran
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Joined: Dec, 2007
Posts: 1476
Posted: #6
Quote Originally Posted by SRTZEE:

Wow 1-3 so far tonight.. What happened to the 60% of games hitting the over...lol
 


Simple, if 60% of games go over, the bookies will raise some of the lines to even the action up a bit
 
Prospect
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Posts: 281
Posted: #7
I agree but they have been mostly 5.5 all season....
 
Covers Rehab
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Joined: Dec, 2007
Posts: 146
Posted: #8
Bad timing is all....
 
Prospect
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Posts: 281
Posted: #9
2-8 these past 2 days..  I only started with over cause they were hitting 60%, now they are just 25%..lol Time to put the nike's on, the chase is on....
 
Prospect
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Joined: Oct, 2008
Posts: 281
Posted: #10
Wow I can't even count I'm 2-7.  Need some sleep, less research, to many papers on my desk...
 
Try it again tonight..lol
 
Flo/Ott  O
SJ/Phi  O
Edm/Chi O
Dal/NJ   O  Dal is on 2nd game of chase
Det/Stl   O
 
 
Prospect
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Posts: 281
Posted: #11
Ok with last night I'm 4-9-1  The 9 aren't losses yet, they are the one's I'm chasing.  After some more research, I noticed that some teams have up to 8 game streaks.  So hating to be on the wrongside of one of those streaks.  I am not chasing any new teams.  Once I get the win, that team is done. 
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