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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    NHL 100% +14 units

    seer8
    gasman33
    rabiddog
    jkp714
    deutscher
    ...
    Participants:
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    seer8
    seer8
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    Posted: Oct. 29, 2009 - 2:17 AM ET #1

    Today, I had a great run in NHL. There were approximately 10 sides and totals with no losses. Also not included was some sides that I have seen as a minority play. I will be posting the plays everyday. Now, on to tomorrow's games.....

    Ott/TB take the under

    Chi/Nas take the over

    Det/Edm take detroit moneyline

    Was/Atl take Atl

    I will start my record at 0-0 with 0 units and each play rated as 1 unit. The above 4 plays are 1 unit each (UNLESS POSTED next to it)

    Good luck to you all.
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    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    Today, I had a great run in NHL. There were approximately 10 sides and totals with no losses. Also not included was some sides that I have seen as a minority play. I will be posting the plays everyday. Now, on to tomorrow's games.....

    Ott/TB take the under

    Chi/Nas take the over

    Det/Edm take detroit moneyline

    Was/Atl take Atl

    I will start my record at 0-0 with 0 units and each play rated as 1 unit. The above 4 plays are 1 unit each (UNLESS POSTED next to it)

    Good luck to you all.
     
    gasman33
    gasman33
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    Posted: Oct. 29, 2009 - 7:22 AM ET #2

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    rabiddog
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    Posted: Oct. 30, 2009 - 1:57 AM ET #3

    Great start you were 0-4..

    your going to lose alot of money streak betting..  do some research and you'll figure it out..

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    Great start you were 0-4..

    your going to lose alot of money streak betting..  do some research and you'll figure it out..

     
    jkp714
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    Posted: Oct. 30, 2009 - 2:16 AM ET #4

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    seer8
    seer8
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    Posted: Oct. 30, 2009 - 2:17 AM ET #5

    0-4 today, loss of 4 units!!

    some dats are good and some are bad. But if your down this much, do you quit or just do more research and move on? I'm goin to move on. Each of my picks can be rated 1-3 on average, a litte 4, and rarely 5.
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    0-4 today, loss of 4 units!!

    some dats are good and some are bad. But if your down this much, do you quit or just do more research and move on? I'm goin to move on. Each of my picks can be rated 1-3 on average, a litte 4, and rarely 5.
     
    seer8
    seer8
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    Posted: Oct. 30, 2009 - 2:36 AM ET #6

    Friday's plays...

    NYI +212
    TOR +163
    MON/CHI over 5.5 -110 (rated 2 units)
    FLO +161
    VAN/ANA under 6 -110
    COLO/SJ over 5.5

    Each plays are rated as 1 unit, unless otherwise stated. Money management play a crucial role in that: 1) It helps you to stay in the game and to play for another day and 2) It helps to serve as a tool in win rate and units won rate management.

    I am not a fan of that movie saying "Today is a good time to die". I forgot wat movie that was. I rather die slowly. At least, I'm still in the game.
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    Friday's plays...

    NYI +212
    TOR +163
    MON/CHI over 5.5 -110 (rated 2 units)
    FLO +161
    VAN/ANA under 6 -110
    COLO/SJ over 5.5

    Each plays are rated as 1 unit, unless otherwise stated. Money management play a crucial role in that: 1) It helps you to stay in the game and to play for another day and 2) It helps to serve as a tool in win rate and units won rate management.

    I am not a fan of that movie saying "Today is a good time to die". I forgot wat movie that was. I rather die slowly. At least, I'm still in the game.
     
    deutscher
    deutscher
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    Posted: Oct. 30, 2009 - 11:19 AM ET #7

    "Today is a good day to die"

    -Old Klingon proverb

     

    GL  anyone betting on Toronto and against Ovie is going to need it

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    "Today is a good day to die"

    -Old Klingon proverb

     

    GL  anyone betting on Toronto and against Ovie is going to need it

     
    seer8
    seer8
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    Posted: Oct. 31, 2009 - 1:34 AM ET #8

    Friday's plays, 2-4, -1.27 units

    Overall record 2-8, -5.27 units

    Ugh!!!!! What a terrible day I had today. Betting at $5 per game and I'm down $26.35. Im not scared since I'm betting at a flat $5 per unit. I don't like the streak after that 14-0 run. I started my record after that run I had (see first post).

    Money management is very important and it may be easy on paper. When I have to put money on the line, even though its a little, helps me to understand the reality of the system.
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    Friday's plays, 2-4, -1.27 units

    Overall record 2-8, -5.27 units

    Ugh!!!!! What a terrible day I had today. Betting at $5 per game and I'm down $26.35. Im not scared since I'm betting at a flat $5 per unit. I don't like the streak after that 14-0 run. I started my record after that run I had (see first post).

    Money management is very important and it may be easy on paper. When I have to put money on the line, even though its a little, helps me to understand the reality of the system.
     
    seer8
    seer8
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    Posted: Oct. 31, 2009 - 3:58 AM ET #9

    Saturday's plays

    CAR +165
    ATL/OTT under 6 (3 units) -110
    NJ/TB over 5.5 +110
    BUF/NYI over 5.5 -110
    ANA/PHO under 5.5 (2 units)  -120

    Good luck!!!

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    Saturday's plays

    CAR +165
    ATL/OTT under 6 (3 units) -110
    NJ/TB over 5.5 +110
    BUF/NYI over 5.5 -110
    ANA/PHO under 5.5 (2 units)  -120

    Good luck!!!

     
    seer8
    seer8
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    Posted: Nov. 1, 2009 - 1:11 AM ET #10

    Saturday results....

    4 wins, 4 losses
    +0.76 units

    Overall record 6-12, -4.51 units

    Ouch!!! What an ugly day today. My winning percentage is very bad. However, I am happy with my bankroll being maintained.
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    Saturday results....

    4 wins, 4 losses
    +0.76 units

    Overall record 6-12, -4.51 units

    Ouch!!! What an ugly day today. My winning percentage is very bad. However, I am happy with my bankroll being maintained.
     
    seer8
    seer8
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    Posted: Nov. 1, 2009 - 1:50 AM ET #11

    Sunday's plays...

    COL/VAN over 5.5 (2 units) 59%...bookmaker has the total listed it 6 so the probability of the over is 43% and therefore the under 57%

    SJ/CAR over 5.5 54% probability


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    Sunday's plays...

    COL/VAN over 5.5 (2 units) 59%...bookmaker has the total listed it 6 so the probability of the over is 43% and therefore the under 57%

    SJ/CAR over 5.5 54% probability


     
    seer8
    seer8
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    Posted: Nov. 1, 2009 - 1:53 AM ET #12

    Added....

    CAR +138
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    Added....

    CAR +138
     
    jkp714
    jkp714
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    Posted: Nov. 5, 2009 - 6:19 PM ET #13

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    awbasa
    awbasa
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    Posted: Nov. 5, 2009 - 6:57 PM ET #14

    How much did you start with and what is your end goal?
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    How much did you start with and what is your end goal?
     
    seer8
    seer8
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    Posted: Nov. 5, 2009 - 10:34 PM ET #15

    How much did you start with and what is your end goal?

    I started out with a $500 bankroll. Basically, I flat bet $5 per side or total. I am currently in the negative. I will start posting plays again tomorrow. I'm also playing basketball and football as well.
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    How much did you start with and what is your end goal?

    I started out with a $500 bankroll. Basically, I flat bet $5 per side or total. I am currently in the negative. I will start posting plays again tomorrow. I'm also playing basketball and football as well.
     
    seer8
    seer8
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    Posted: Nov. 7, 2009 - 4:54 AM ET #16

    Saturday plays...

    NAS +180
    NJ +110
    NJ/OTT over 5.5 (3 units)
    BUF even
    BUF/BOS over 5.5 (3 units)
    ATL/NYI over 6 (2 units)
    CAR +165
    FLO/WAS over 5.5
    TOR +150
    DET/TOR over 6
    STL +160
    STL/PHI over 5.5
    DAL +120
    NYR/CALG over 5.5 (2 units)
    PIT +145

    As you can see, most of the sides are underdogs. Laying heavy chalk on favorites requires a breakeven percentage greater than 50/50.
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    Saturday plays...

    NAS +180
    NJ +110
    NJ/OTT over 5.5 (3 units)
    BUF even
    BUF/BOS over 5.5 (3 units)
    ATL/NYI over 6 (2 units)
    CAR +165
    FLO/WAS over 5.5
    TOR +150
    DET/TOR over 6
    STL +160
    STL/PHI over 5.5
    DAL +120
    NYR/CALG over 5.5 (2 units)
    PIT +145

    As you can see, most of the sides are underdogs. Laying heavy chalk on favorites requires a breakeven percentage greater than 50/50.
     
    seer8
    seer8
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    Posted: Nov. 8, 2009 - 2:44 AM ET #17

    NAS +180...................................WIN 1.8 units
    NJ +110......................................WIN 1.1 units
    NJ/OTT over 5.5 (3 units).......................................LOSS 3 units
    BUF even.............................................................LOSS 1 unit
    BUF/BOS over 5.5 (3 units)...........WIN 3 units
    ATL/NYI over 6 (2 units)................WIN 2 units
    CAR +165............................................................LOSS 1 unit
    FLO/WAS over 5.5.......................WIN 1 unit
    TOR +150....................................WIN 1.5 units
    DET/TOR over 6...........................PUSH...............PUSH.........
    STL +160............................................................LOSS 1 unit
    STL/PHI over 5.5..................................................LOSS 1 unit
    DAL +120............................................................LOSS 1 unit
    NYR/CALG over 5.5 (2 units).................................LOSS 2 units
    PIT +145.............................................................LOSS 1 unit

    6-8, loss of 0.6 units

    Dang!! The last couple of losses really killed me.


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    NAS +180...................................WIN 1.8 units
    NJ +110......................................WIN 1.1 units
    NJ/OTT over 5.5 (3 units).......................................LOSS 3 units
    BUF even.............................................................LOSS 1 unit
    BUF/BOS over 5.5 (3 units)...........WIN 3 units
    ATL/NYI over 6 (2 units)................WIN 2 units
    CAR +165............................................................LOSS 1 unit
    FLO/WAS over 5.5.......................WIN 1 unit
    TOR +150....................................WIN 1.5 units
    DET/TOR over 6...........................PUSH...............PUSH.........
    STL +160............................................................LOSS 1 unit
    STL/PHI over 5.5..................................................LOSS 1 unit
    DAL +120............................................................LOSS 1 unit
    NYR/CALG over 5.5 (2 units).................................LOSS 2 units
    PIT +145.............................................................LOSS 1 unit

    6-8, loss of 0.6 units

    Dang!! The last couple of losses really killed me.


     
    babs1540
    babs1540
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    Posted: Nov. 8, 2009 - 2:55 AM ET #18

    dude your playing way to many games...just my thoughts
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    dude your playing way to many games...just my thoughts
     
    seer8
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    Posted: Nov. 8, 2009 - 3:07 AM ET #19

    OVERALL record!!!!

    13-22, down 7.11 units (-7.11)

    Since my record sucks, it seems that I may have to apply filters and eliminate games which does not fit within the system. I shall work on increasing my winning percentage. My theory is that by raising my winning percentage, my units won rate will increase too. Therefore, all bets will be wagered as 1 unit only. There will be no 2 or 3 unit plays.
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    OVERALL record!!!!

    13-22, down 7.11 units (-7.11)

    Since my record sucks, it seems that I may have to apply filters and eliminate games which does not fit within the system. I shall work on increasing my winning percentage. My theory is that by raising my winning percentage, my units won rate will increase too. Therefore, all bets will be wagered as 1 unit only. There will be no 2 or 3 unit plays.
     
     
    papagunnz
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    Posted: Nov. 8, 2009 - 3:13 AM ET #20

    Quote Originally Posted by babs1540:

    dude your playing way to many games...just my thoughts


    yeah i agree...if your gonna bet volume like this...better off getting trendy with it...take dogs on the spread...the juice is nasty but you'd at a solid 70-73%
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    Quote Originally Posted by babs1540:

    dude your playing way to many games...just my thoughts


    yeah i agree...if your gonna bet volume like this...better off getting trendy with it...take dogs on the spread...the juice is nasty but you'd at a solid 70-73%
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