What happens if each team is favored by 20. Of course you would not play any team.You must have a value line. Teams that are dogs are the best plays when they are playing non contenders. Houston is perfect. Buffalo has been very bad in the last 5 games. They also had 4 turnovers in the last game. That is a bad sign.They are playing at the hardest place to play in cold weather over the lat 20 years, K C.Chicago lost to the spread by more than 28 in the last game.That is a very bad sign. They are playing a very bad St Louis though, but it is likely this game will be closer than St louis's last 3 games. T B, Minn, and Wash. are contenders. That is good when they are playing non contenders. Seattle is bad now so Wash is a better play than the other 4 Houston and Wash are the best plays . Minn is good play using your material .T B has been a horrid Nov and Dec team traveling North .Most of that though was when they were a losing team. They opened at-9 and went to -8 1/2. That is a bad sign when they are going down and not up to the worse team in football. They are playing a team that desperately wants to win a game. Simply using 1 set of stats is not enough. You must consider other things independent of what you use.
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What happens if each team is favored by 20. Of course you would not play any team.You must have a value line. Teams that are dogs are the best plays when they are playing non contenders. Houston is perfect. Buffalo has been very bad in the last 5 games. They also had 4 turnovers in the last game. That is a bad sign.They are playing at the hardest place to play in cold weather over the lat 20 years, K C.Chicago lost to the spread by more than 28 in the last game.That is a very bad sign. They are playing a very bad St Louis though, but it is likely this game will be closer than St louis's last 3 games. T B, Minn, and Wash. are contenders. That is good when they are playing non contenders. Seattle is bad now so Wash is a better play than the other 4 Houston and Wash are the best plays . Minn is good play using your material .T B has been a horrid Nov and Dec team traveling North .Most of that though was when they were a losing team. They opened at-9 and went to -8 1/2. That is a bad sign when they are going down and not up to the worse team in football. They are playing a team that desperately wants to win a game. Simply using 1 set of stats is not enough. You must consider other things independent of what you use.
There was a case last week on CHIC/GB. CHIC has better offense & defense on the road, but CHIC was a road dog...Therefore, Greenbay won....
This week, MIN is in the same situation. Look at the stat, they have better offense & defense, but they are the road dog....I am thinking that I have to take Jacksonsville...?
The following teams are still the plays:
HOU
BUFF
WAS
SF
CIN
I am still thinking about TB & CHIC.
TB looks good because it meets 2 conditions:
1) Favor on the road who has better offense & defense
2) The Turn Over is equal to Detroit, and they have better ToP.
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Professorkopak,
There was a case last week on CHIC/GB. CHIC has better offense & defense on the road, but CHIC was a road dog...Therefore, Greenbay won....
This week, MIN is in the same situation. Look at the stat, they have better offense & defense, but they are the road dog....I am thinking that I have to take Jacksonsville...?
The following teams are still the plays:
HOU
BUFF
WAS
SF
CIN
I am still thinking about TB & CHIC.
TB looks good because it meets 2 conditions:
1) Favor on the road who has better offense & defense
2) The Turn Over is equal to Detroit, and they have better ToP.
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