NFL AFC LEAGE

3 game chase 

no double dipping 

game starts first 3 weeks of the season

mark down all the teams that had a 500 or better record in straight up wins the year before

look for a 4 game series in the afc  that's 4 games in a row

bet  the ats for a 3 game chase.  

5 year break down

2013-2014   0-2    bal     buf

2012-2013   1-1-1   hou  den  oak

2011-2012   3-0-2    ne  nyj  oak  pit sd  

2010-2011   2-1        bal   ne   nyj

2009-2010   1-1-2   bal  hou   mia   pit

washington in 2009-2010 was the only push. if   1/2   a point was bought it would have won.

nfc league  breakdown

2013 - 2014   nothing

2012 - 2013   1-1-1   dal   gb  nyg

2011 - 2012   3-1    phi  nyg  chi  atl

2010 - 2011    2-0     mn   no

2009 -  2010   2-0   was  mn

total wins   15-7-6

28  wins no losses

mia  won A bet   9/7

kc   oct  7   14   21   lost on A   bet

Ne   oct   21  29   nov   5

sd    oct   21   28   nov  5

ind   oct  21   28   nov  5

phi   oct   21  28   nov  5

my mistake sorry about that.

the 4 game in-conference series can begin anytime in the first 3 weeks, correct?

i see in 2012, BUF was 37%, so they shouldn't be included for 2013.

i also see for this year that NO should be included, starting on week 3 (MIN, DAL, TB, DET)

otherwise, this is awesome, and i'll add this to my systems. good eye, thanks.

2013

2012

3-3-0

2011

4-2-0 (loss on MIA)

maybe i'm not seeing something that you are, but that's what i get. i looked on covers and killersports to make sure.

i even tried fading those teams, to see if it worked out better, but it doesn't:

2013

2-2-1 (loss on TEN)

2012

3-1-1 (loss on TB)

2011

3-3-1

 am i doing something wrong? thanks

NE

SD

IND

PHI

NO

phi 

ne

phi 

ne

I'm parlaying these 2

also, i pushed last week, so i was on B bet. would it extend to the last of the 4 consecutive in-conference games?

just the first 3 weeks.  I got -5.5 on phi.  all my plays came in. always better to wait till almost game time I think.  except in a few situations like if home favorite the line is most likely to go up. but sometimes it goes down.

yeah, i've just learned that.

on the same subject, considering that Indy is an away fave on thursday, is the line like to get better or worse by thursday? i would expect it to get worse, and i like getting less than a fg.. i've been burned before though, obviously.