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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    New Strategy

    «First Previous 141516 ... 101102103 Next Last»
    Spreader777
    nolemonasses
    bob696969
    bfskate26
    smitler
    ...
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    «First Previous 141516 ... 101102103 Next Last»
     
    Spreader777
    Spreader777
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    Posted: Jul. 5, 2010 - 3:00 PM ET #326

    Quote Originally Posted by smitler:

    Not many + lines today.  As always, be careful.
    July 5, 2010
    One daily win chase record: 19-0
    Double-tap record: 14-0
    Triple-Tap record: Greedy, but still good
    Quad_Tap record: That's just too greedy, but still wins at times
    EDT, Betus lines, subject to change
    Past performance does not guarantee future results
    19:00_Game_1_Phi/Atl___Yes_+130
    20:00_Game_2_Cle/Tex__No_+120
    22:05_Game_3_KC/Sea__Yes_+140


    what about fla/lad 9pm?  is there +money on that game?  5dimes has it at +100.
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    Quote Originally Posted by smitler:

    Not many + lines today.  As always, be careful.
    July 5, 2010
    One daily win chase record: 19-0
    Double-tap record: 14-0
    Triple-Tap record: Greedy, but still good
    Quad_Tap record: That's just too greedy, but still wins at times
    EDT, Betus lines, subject to change
    Past performance does not guarantee future results
    19:00_Game_1_Phi/Atl___Yes_+130
    20:00_Game_2_Cle/Tex__No_+120
    22:05_Game_3_KC/Sea__Yes_+140


    what about fla/lad 9pm?  is there +money on that game?  5dimes has it at +100.
     
    nolemonasses
    nolemonasses
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    Posted: Jul. 5, 2010 - 3:47 PM ET #327

    Too much attention on this coming into today. Expectations getting out of hand.

    Today reverts to the mean.

    I am skipping today. I hope I am wrong for all you playas, but I fear an 0-3 day today.

    GL guys...

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    Too much attention on this coming into today. Expectations getting out of hand.

    Today reverts to the mean.

    I am skipping today. I hope I am wrong for all you playas, but I fear an 0-3 day today.

    GL guys...

     
    bob696969
    bob696969
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    Posted: Jul. 5, 2010 - 4:44 PM ET #328

    Quote Originally Posted by nolemonasses:

    Too much attention on this coming into today. Expectations getting out of hand.

    Today reverts to the mean.

    I am skipping today. I hope I am wrong for all you playas, but I fear an 0-3 day today.

    GL guys...



    I have been looking at 1st inning lines for the last few weeks myself, and trying to find an edge, for no reason other than you don't have to spend 3 hours sweating a baseball game that is probably going to be blown by a shitty reliever and pretty much fuck over handicapping the starting pitching match-ups....

    This is a great thread, with great results, but nolemonasses is right, days like yesterday will not happen every day, so don't overbet this shit thinking its free money every day!

    Also, it seems like alot of good pitchers are going through typical mid-season slump right now after great starts, (eg lincecum/jimenez/halliday/oswalt) and as a result i think the highly juiced "no score" bets are losing more than they were at the start of the year.....

    ....we could see a shift and see the juiced "no score" bets cash at a high rate once pitchers and teams make defensive adjustments in august and september as the games become more meaningful....

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    Quote Originally Posted by nolemonasses:

    Too much attention on this coming into today. Expectations getting out of hand.

    Today reverts to the mean.

    I am skipping today. I hope I am wrong for all you playas, but I fear an 0-3 day today.

    GL guys...



    I have been looking at 1st inning lines for the last few weeks myself, and trying to find an edge, for no reason other than you don't have to spend 3 hours sweating a baseball game that is probably going to be blown by a shitty reliever and pretty much fuck over handicapping the starting pitching match-ups....

    This is a great thread, with great results, but nolemonasses is right, days like yesterday will not happen every day, so don't overbet this shit thinking its free money every day!

    Also, it seems like alot of good pitchers are going through typical mid-season slump right now after great starts, (eg lincecum/jimenez/halliday/oswalt) and as a result i think the highly juiced "no score" bets are losing more than they were at the start of the year.....

    ....we could see a shift and see the juiced "no score" bets cash at a high rate once pitchers and teams make defensive adjustments in august and september as the games become more meaningful....

     
    bfskate26
    bfskate26
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    Posted: Jul. 5, 2010 - 5:11 PM ET #329

    How come I dont see the option to bet the 1st Inning Score prop on Betus?
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    How come I dont see the option to bet the 1st Inning Score prop on Betus?
     
    smitler
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    Posted: Jul. 5, 2010 - 5:15 PM ET #330

    Quote Originally Posted by gotnogame1:

    Smitler,

    I have messed with a 1st inning run/no run system variation since the beginning of MLB this year with various filters but to no avail.  Eventually there were too few plays and not worth it, and prefer your system.  Just defected from BetPhoenix this morning as the lines have been lousy, and threw you the proverbial bone at BetUs upon signup using the number identified in your previous post.   BOL


    Thanks for the referral gng1.
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    Quote Originally Posted by gotnogame1:

    Smitler,

    I have messed with a 1st inning run/no run system variation since the beginning of MLB this year with various filters but to no avail.  Eventually there were too few plays and not worth it, and prefer your system.  Just defected from BetPhoenix this morning as the lines have been lousy, and threw you the proverbial bone at BetUs upon signup using the number identified in your previous post.   BOL


    Thanks for the referral gng1.
     
    smitler
    smitler
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    Posted: Jul. 5, 2010 - 5:18 PM ET #331

    Quote Originally Posted by Spreader777:



    what about fla/lad 9pm?  is there +money on that game?  5dimes has it at +100.


    That is a weird start time, but Betus has -105/-125 so no play.
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    Quote Originally Posted by Spreader777:



    what about fla/lad 9pm?  is there +money on that game?  5dimes has it at +100.


    That is a weird start time, but Betus has -105/-125 so no play.
     
    bfskate26
    bfskate26
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    Posted: Jul. 5, 2010 - 5:47 PM ET #332

    Smitler, I've been following your thread for the past week or so, and you've definitely got me hooked. I have a BetUS acct. and I'm finally tryin to hop on the bandwagon, but I don't see where the bet is on BetUS. I've been looking under the prop and period bets for the individual games you posted for tonight (Phi/Atl, Cle/Tex, and KC/Sea) but don't see where 1st inning score is. Can somebody tell me what I'm missing?
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    Smitler, I've been following your thread for the past week or so, and you've definitely got me hooked. I have a BetUS acct. and I'm finally tryin to hop on the bandwagon, but I don't see where the bet is on BetUS. I've been looking under the prop and period bets for the individual games you posted for tonight (Phi/Atl, Cle/Tex, and KC/Sea) but don't see where 1st inning score is. Can somebody tell me what I'm missing?
     
    bfskate26
    bfskate26
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    Posted: Jul. 5, 2010 - 6:03 PM ET #333

    Ignore last posts...figured it out
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    Ignore last posts...figured it out
     
    smitler
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    Posted: Jul. 5, 2010 - 6:12 PM ET #334

    Quote Originally Posted by nolemonasses:

    Too much attention on this coming into today. Expectations getting out of hand.

    Today reverts to the mean.

    I am skipping today. I hope I am wrong for all you playas, but I fear an 0-3 day today.

    GL guys...



    nole wtf?  "Was it over when the Germans bombed Pearl Harbor?"
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    Quote Originally Posted by nolemonasses:

    Too much attention on this coming into today. Expectations getting out of hand.

    Today reverts to the mean.

    I am skipping today. I hope I am wrong for all you playas, but I fear an 0-3 day today.

    GL guys...



    nole wtf?  "Was it over when the Germans bombed Pearl Harbor?"
     
    jvarghese
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    Posted: Jul. 5, 2010 - 6:47 PM ET #335

    Smitler,

     

    Is there a reason why you didn't play 1st inning YES (+110) on Baltimore/Detroit this morning?  Thanks in advance.

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    Smitler,

     

    Is there a reason why you didn't play 1st inning YES (+110) on Baltimore/Detroit this morning?  Thanks in advance.

     
    smitler
    smitler
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    Posted: Jul. 5, 2010 - 6:50 PM ET #336

    Quote Originally Posted by jvarghese:

    Smitler,

     

    Is there a reason why you didn't play 1st inning YES (+110) on Baltimore/Detroit this morning?  Thanks in advance.



    When I posted both lines were something like -115.
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    Quote Originally Posted by jvarghese:

    Smitler,

     

    Is there a reason why you didn't play 1st inning YES (+110) on Baltimore/Detroit this morning?  Thanks in advance.



    When I posted both lines were something like -115.
     
    badself
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    Posted: Jul. 5, 2010 - 6:54 PM ET #337

    Line went up at bookmaker...+115....money coming in on the NO

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    Line went up at bookmaker...+115....money coming in on the NO

     
    jvarghese
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    Posted: Jul. 5, 2010 - 7:04 PM ET #338

    Quote Originally Posted by smitler:



    When I posted both lines were something like -115.

    Ok, thank you.

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    Quote Originally Posted by smitler:



    When I posted both lines were something like -115.

    Ok, thank you.

     
    blaaze
    blaaze
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    Posted: Jul. 5, 2010 - 7:09 PM ET #339

    Quote Originally Posted by smitler:



    nole wtf?  "Was it over when the Germans bombed Pearl Harbor?"


    Germans Bombed Pearl Harbor when did this happen ?
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    Quote Originally Posted by smitler:



    nole wtf?  "Was it over when the Germans bombed Pearl Harbor?"


    Germans Bombed Pearl Harbor when did this happen ?
     
    jvarghese
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    Posted: Jul. 5, 2010 - 7:13 PM ET #340

    $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$ in the bank!  CHIPPER, YARDWORK!!!

    Nole, you should follow no matter what you like...that's the way i'm doing this!

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    $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$ in the bank!  CHIPPER, YARDWORK!!!

    Nole, you should follow no matter what you like...that's the way i'm doing this!

     
    neilsy25
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    Posted: Jul. 5, 2010 - 7:14 PM ET #341

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    blaaze
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    Posted: Jul. 5, 2010 - 7:15 PM ET #342

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    badself
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    Posted: Jul. 5, 2010 - 7:17 PM ET #343

    NICE!!!!

    I'm playing the next one 4 sure!

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    NICE!!!!

    I'm playing the next one 4 sure!

     
    smitler
    smitler
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    Posted: Jul. 5, 2010 - 7:17 PM ET #344


    ALERT ALERT ALERT ALERT ALERT NOTHA WINNA!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    July 5, 2010
    One daily win chase record: 19-0
    Double-tap record: 14-0
    Triple-Tap record: Greedy, but still good
    Quad_Tap record: That's just too greedy, but still wins at times
    EDT, Betus lines, subject to change
    Past performance does not guarantee future results
    19:00_Game_1_Phi/Atl___Yes_+130_20-0

    Although you can play it how you like, since there are only 2 games left the Double-Tap does not apply.

    20:00_Game_2_Cle/Tex__No_+120
    22:05_Game_3_KC/Sea__Yes_+140
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    ALERT ALERT ALERT ALERT ALERT NOTHA WINNA!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    July 5, 2010
    One daily win chase record: 19-0
    Double-tap record: 14-0
    Triple-Tap record: Greedy, but still good
    Quad_Tap record: That's just too greedy, but still wins at times
    EDT, Betus lines, subject to change
    Past performance does not guarantee future results
    19:00_Game_1_Phi/Atl___Yes_+130_20-0

    Although you can play it how you like, since there are only 2 games left the Double-Tap does not apply.

    20:00_Game_2_Cle/Tex__No_+120
    22:05_Game_3_KC/Sea__Yes_+140
     
    smitler
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    Posted: Jul. 5, 2010 - 7:18 PM ET #345

    nole nut the fuck up!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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    nole nut the fuck up!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
     
    badself
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    Posted: Jul. 5, 2010 - 7:22 PM ET #346

    Quote Originally Posted by smitler:


    ALERT ALERT ALERT ALERT ALERT NOTHA WINNA!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    July 5, 2010
    One daily win chase record: 19-0
    Double-tap record: 14-0
    Triple-Tap record: Greedy, but still good
    Quad_Tap record: That's just too greedy, but still wins at times
    EDT, Betus lines, subject to change
    Past performance does not guarantee future results
    19:00_Game_1_Phi/Atl___Yes_+130_20-0

    Although you can play it how you like, since there are only 2 games left the Double-Tap does not apply.

    20:00_Game_2_Cle/Tex__No_+120
    22:05_Game_3_KC/Sea__Yes_+140

    Would they just be normal first plays or what???! Cause I'm sure one of those gotta hit

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    Quote Originally Posted by smitler:


    ALERT ALERT ALERT ALERT ALERT NOTHA WINNA!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    July 5, 2010
    One daily win chase record: 19-0
    Double-tap record: 14-0
    Triple-Tap record: Greedy, but still good
    Quad_Tap record: That's just too greedy, but still wins at times
    EDT, Betus lines, subject to change
    Past performance does not guarantee future results
    19:00_Game_1_Phi/Atl___Yes_+130_20-0

    Although you can play it how you like, since there are only 2 games left the Double-Tap does not apply.

    20:00_Game_2_Cle/Tex__No_+120
    22:05_Game_3_KC/Sea__Yes_+140

    Would they just be normal first plays or what???! Cause I'm sure one of those gotta hit

     
    blaaze
    blaaze
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    Posted: Jul. 5, 2010 - 8:22 PM ET #347

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    pirate_0
    pirate_0
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    Posts: 42
    Posted: Jul. 5, 2010 - 8:24 PM ET #348

    Fu*k Yha!!!

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    Fu*k Yha!!!

     
    smitler
    smitler
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    Posts: 2387
    Posted: Jul. 5, 2010 - 8:49 PM ET #349

    July 5, 2010
    One daily win chase record: 19-0
    Double-tap record: 14-0
    Triple-Tap record: Greedy, but still good
    Quad_Tap record: That's just too greedy, but still wins at times
    EDT, Betus lines, subject to change
    Past performance does not guarantee future results
    19:00_Game_1_Phi/Atl___Yes_+130_20-0

    Although you can play it how you like, since there are only 2 games left the Double-Tap does not apply.

    20:00_Game_2_Cle/Tex__No_+120__
    22:05_Game_3_KC/Sea__Yes_+140
    Reply
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    July 5, 2010
    One daily win chase record: 19-0
    Double-tap record: 14-0
    Triple-Tap record: Greedy, but still good
    Quad_Tap record: That's just too greedy, but still wins at times
    EDT, Betus lines, subject to change
    Past performance does not guarantee future results
    19:00_Game_1_Phi/Atl___Yes_+130_20-0

    Although you can play it how you like, since there are only 2 games left the Double-Tap does not apply.

    20:00_Game_2_Cle/Tex__No_+120__
    22:05_Game_3_KC/Sea__Yes_+140
     
     
    jvarghese
    jvarghese
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    Joined: May, 2009
    Posts: 7621
    Posted: Jul. 5, 2010 - 8:54 PM ET #350

    this is great!  I played NO in Clev/Tex....made some extra $$$...now i'm up nicely for the night and i'll gladly lay about 30% of my winnings on YES in KC/Sea....
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    this is great!  I played NO in Clev/Tex....made some extra $$$...now i'm up nicely for the night and i'll gladly lay about 30% of my winnings on YES in KC/Sea....
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