With the original thread getting so long, we'll start anew and hopefully leave the clown behind...
To date, STRONG Plays stand at 22-15 with 11 Outright Dogs (Kansas + 16 and UAB + 8 Sat.). Most System Users usually see better results the further into the season we get...stats and tendencies become a bit more accurate. Those who've been watching my picks realize that it is primarily a "dog spotting" values System...based on a handful of weighted factors and one basic premisis...that being that the general public will bet the favorite regardless! Doesn't take rocket science to find value...
Moving on to tonight...
To date this Season, my strongest qualifying Game was Colo St + 19 vs. BYU (a few here can attest to that). No other team has come within 4 pts. of the weighted number I use. Until tonight, where Middle Tenn fits. Just read alot of the "expert" picks on here and they're all touting ULL, so maybe they're seeing something I don't!
Aside from the criteria this System utilizes, I reference a variety of strong percentage NCAA ANGLES (esp. rushing). Not only does MTSU qualify as a STRONG Sytem, it also meets an Angle that succeeds at over 80%...write it down, it's a winner!
PLAY VS. ANY HOME FAV. (from Game 6 out) OFF A LOSSIFTHEY ALLOW MORE THAN 200 RYG. vs. A TEAM THAT ALLOWS LESS THAN 200 RYG.
Maybe I'm wrong, but I'll ride the percentages and a revenging MTSU...MONEY LINE now +180...side @ + 5...LOVE IT!!
0
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
With the original thread getting so long, we'll start anew and hopefully leave the clown behind...
To date, STRONG Plays stand at 22-15 with 11 Outright Dogs (Kansas + 16 and UAB + 8 Sat.). Most System Users usually see better results the further into the season we get...stats and tendencies become a bit more accurate. Those who've been watching my picks realize that it is primarily a "dog spotting" values System...based on a handful of weighted factors and one basic premisis...that being that the general public will bet the favorite regardless! Doesn't take rocket science to find value...
Moving on to tonight...
To date this Season, my strongest qualifying Game was Colo St + 19 vs. BYU (a few here can attest to that). No other team has come within 4 pts. of the weighted number I use. Until tonight, where Middle Tenn fits. Just read alot of the "expert" picks on here and they're all touting ULL, so maybe they're seeing something I don't!
Aside from the criteria this System utilizes, I reference a variety of strong percentage NCAA ANGLES (esp. rushing). Not only does MTSU qualify as a STRONG Sytem, it also meets an Angle that succeeds at over 80%...write it down, it's a winner!
PLAY VS. ANY HOME FAV. (from Game 6 out) OFF A LOSSIFTHEY ALLOW MORE THAN 200 RYG. vs. A TEAM THAT ALLOWS LESS THAN 200 RYG.
Maybe I'm wrong, but I'll ride the percentages and a revenging MTSU...MONEY LINE now +180...side @ + 5...LOVE IT!!
Congratulations MAC Champs Buffalo and thank you Turner Gill for an easy win. And for reminding the casual handicapper what is so easy to overlook. Championship Games, and their analyzing, is an entirely different animal. In particular, the intangibles and Coaching strengths are more apparent in bigger games. Teams start taking on the personna of their coach...you could see the confidence Gill's boys had last night from the get-go. Linesmakers know the public thrives on offense, 60-pt outbursts, and 30 point blowout margins...and on high scoring games...and sets lines accordingly. And I'm not saying you won't get some blowouts. But Defense wins Championships. Just might want to exercise some caution when laying heavy chalk and betting Over heavy totals in Championship Games. Ask Turner Gill..or Brady Hoke...with that being said, STRONG SYSTEM PLAYS 12-06:
WEST VIRG - 7
ARIZONA - 10.5
ALABAMA + 10
GOOD LUCK!!
0
Congratulations MAC Champs Buffalo and thank you Turner Gill for an easy win. And for reminding the casual handicapper what is so easy to overlook. Championship Games, and their analyzing, is an entirely different animal. In particular, the intangibles and Coaching strengths are more apparent in bigger games. Teams start taking on the personna of their coach...you could see the confidence Gill's boys had last night from the get-go. Linesmakers know the public thrives on offense, 60-pt outbursts, and 30 point blowout margins...and on high scoring games...and sets lines accordingly. And I'm not saying you won't get some blowouts. But Defense wins Championships. Just might want to exercise some caution when laying heavy chalk and betting Over heavy totals in Championship Games. Ask Turner Gill..or Brady Hoke...with that being said, STRONG SYSTEM PLAYS 12-06:
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on
this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide
any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in
your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner
of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.