NCAA f-ball System Part 2

With the original thread getting so long, we'll start anew and hopefully leave the clown behind...

 

To date, STRONG Plays stand at 22-15 with 11 Outright Dogs (Kansas + 16 and UAB + 8 Sat.).  Most System Users usually see better results the further into the season we get...stats and tendencies become a bit more accurate.  Those who've been watching my picks realize that it is primarily a "dog spotting" values System...based on a handful of weighted factors and one basic premisis...that being that the general public will bet the favorite regardless!  Doesn't take rocket science to find value...

 

Moving on to tonight...

To date this Season, my strongest qualifying Game was Colo St + 19 vs. BYU (a few here can attest to that).  No other team has come within 4 pts. of the weighted number I use.  Until tonight, where Middle Tenn fits.  Just read alot of the "expert" picks on here and they're all touting ULL, so maybe they're seeing something I don't!

 

Aside from the criteria this System utilizes, I reference a variety of strong percentage NCAA ANGLES (esp. rushing).  Not only does MTSU qualify as a STRONG Sytem, it also meets an Angle that succeeds at over 80%...write it down, it's a winner!

PLAY VS. ANY HOME FAV. (from Game 6 out) OFF A LOSS IF THEY ALLOW MORE THAN 200 RYG. vs. A TEAM THAT ALLOWS LESS THAN 200 RYG.

 

Maybe I'm wrong, but I'll ride the percentages and a revenging MTSU...MONEY LINE now +180...side @ + 5...LOVE IT!!

 

 

Won't make any excuses.  Losing 2 fumbles and 1 pick didn't help when ULL had none...but better team won.  Move on...

Louie-Rutgers a System NO PLAY

12/6 MAC Championship

 

Reg Play BUFFALO BULLS + 15.5

 

Sat. -- 3  STRONG PLAYS (will post after 11 a.m.)

          5 Reg Plays (post later this p.m.)

 

GOOD LUCK

REGULAR PLAYS SAT 12/06:

 

(116)  CAL     - 35

(122)  HAWAII  + 7.5

(124)  TROY  - 11

(125)  W KENTY + 8

(133)  MIZZOU + 17

Congratulations MAC Champs Buffalo and thank you Turner Gill for an easy win.  And for reminding the casual handicapper what is so easy to overlook.  Championship Games, and their analyzing, is an entirely different animal.  In particular, the intangibles and Coaching strengths are more apparent in bigger games.  Teams start taking on the personna of their coach...you could see the confidence Gill's boys had last night from the get-go.  Linesmakers know the public thrives on offense,  60-pt outbursts, and 30 point blowout margins...and on high scoring games...and sets lines accordingly.  And I'm not saying you won't get some blowouts.  But Defense wins Championships.  Just might want to exercise some caution when laying heavy chalk and betting Over heavy totals in Championship Games.  Ask Turner Gill..or Brady Hoke...with that being said, STRONG SYSTEM PLAYS 12-06:

 

WEST VIRG  - 7

ARIZONA     - 10.5

ALABAMA   + 10

 

GOOD LUCK!!