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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    NCAA Basketball Betting Tip of the Day New Mexico Bowl

    louisdzone
    PatrickBateman
    lil-evil1
    elithepunk
    professorkopak
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    louisdzone
    louisdzone
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    Posted: Dec. 20, 2008 - 1:49 PM ET #1

    NCAA Basketball Betting Tip of the Day New Mexico Bowl

    New Mexico Bowl

    11:30 a.m. PT in Albuquerque

    Fresno St -3 vs Colorado St (60)

    Any resemblance between the Fresno State team that started the season 3-1 and the one playing in today’s game is purely a coincidence. The Bulldogs enter the game with the nation’s worst record against the spread at 2-10. And even though Fresno held on for a 7-5 mark, nearly half the wins were ugly. State beat such cupcakes as Idaho (by 13), Utah State (by 2) and New Mexico State (by 7). Throw in a loss to mediocre Louisiana Tech.

    As for the Colorado State Rams, well they’re just glad to be here. The Rams had to win their last two games (New Mexico, Wyoming) to become bowl eligible at 6-6. Still there’s plenty of reason to side with the underdog here, especially considering that the Rams gave Mountain West powers BYU and TCU fits before bowing by 3 and 6 points respectively. With Fresno coming off a 51-point pounding at the hands of Boise State, self-doubt has to enter in. Not so with the Rams, who are 3-1 ATS in their last four starts. COLORADO ST.

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    NCAA Basketball Betting Tip of the Day New Mexico Bowl

    New Mexico Bowl

    11:30 a.m. PT in Albuquerque

    Fresno St -3 vs Colorado St (60)

    Any resemblance between the Fresno State team that started the season 3-1 and the one playing in today’s game is purely a coincidence. The Bulldogs enter the game with the nation’s worst record against the spread at 2-10. And even though Fresno held on for a 7-5 mark, nearly half the wins were ugly. State beat such cupcakes as Idaho (by 13), Utah State (by 2) and New Mexico State (by 7). Throw in a loss to mediocre Louisiana Tech.

    As for the Colorado State Rams, well they’re just glad to be here. The Rams had to win their last two games (New Mexico, Wyoming) to become bowl eligible at 6-6. Still there’s plenty of reason to side with the underdog here, especially considering that the Rams gave Mountain West powers BYU and TCU fits before bowing by 3 and 6 points respectively. With Fresno coming off a 51-point pounding at the hands of Boise State, self-doubt has to enter in. Not so with the Rams, who are 3-1 ATS in their last four starts. COLORADO ST.

     
    PatrickBateman
    PatrickBateman
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    Posted: Dec. 20, 2008 - 2:08 PM ET #2

    No offense, but posting your pick for a College Basketball game that is actually a Football game does not help me find much confidence in your pick...also, there is a forum for both college sports, this space is for SYSTEMS/STRATEGIES
     
    However, BOL to you
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    No offense, but posting your pick for a College Basketball game that is actually a Football game does not help me find much confidence in your pick...also, there is a forum for both college sports, this space is for SYSTEMS/STRATEGIES
     
    However, BOL to you
     
    louisdzone
    louisdzone
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    Posted: Dec. 20, 2008 - 2:35 PM ET #3

    you are right, it came up from the cache from yesterdays title when i stared to type it in. i didnt realize it. i wont post here anymore no problem.
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    you are right, it came up from the cache from yesterdays title when i stared to type it in. i didnt realize it. i wont post here anymore no problem.
     
    lil-evil1
    lil-evil1
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    Posts: 16
    Posted: Dec. 20, 2008 - 3:06 PM ET #4

    Quote Originally Posted by PatrickBateman:

    No offense, but posting your pick for a College Basketball game that is actually a Football game does not help me find much confidence in your pick...also, there is a forum for both college sports, this space is for SYSTEMS/STRATEGIES
     
    However, BOL to you
    he made a mistake by typing basketball instead of football, anybody who reads it should know that its football, especially since it said BOWL game .it was a good write up as all his writeups are, and its just a tip so dont be so quick to point out his mistake, your(patrickbateman) most ikely the only idiot who didnt know what he ment, i mean come on you see fresno-3(60)   and who would assume its basketballhey louis, dont pay attention 2 the smucks... you always write up good info in your threads...  
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    Quote Originally Posted by PatrickBateman:

    No offense, but posting your pick for a College Basketball game that is actually a Football game does not help me find much confidence in your pick...also, there is a forum for both college sports, this space is for SYSTEMS/STRATEGIES
     
    However, BOL to you
    he made a mistake by typing basketball instead of football, anybody who reads it should know that its football, especially since it said BOWL game .it was a good write up as all his writeups are, and its just a tip so dont be so quick to point out his mistake, your(patrickbateman) most ikely the only idiot who didnt know what he ment, i mean come on you see fresno-3(60)   and who would assume its basketballhey louis, dont pay attention 2 the smucks... you always write up good info in your threads...  
     
    PatrickBateman
    PatrickBateman
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    Posted: Dec. 20, 2008 - 3:51 PM ET #5

    Yeah, you are totally right lil-evil, I "didn't know what he meant"...that is why I pointed out the mistake...Also, I thought I was quite polite about it, so no need for aggression...
     
    BOL to both of you...(lil-evil - that means Best Of Luck, or did you not understand that the first time I wrote it?)
     
     
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    Yeah, you are totally right lil-evil, I "didn't know what he meant"...that is why I pointed out the mistake...Also, I thought I was quite polite about it, so no need for aggression...
     
    BOL to both of you...(lil-evil - that means Best Of Luck, or did you not understand that the first time I wrote it?)
     
     
     
    louisdzone
    louisdzone
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    Posted: Dec. 20, 2008 - 5:56 PM ET #6

    Play of the day now 9-2-1
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    Play of the day now 9-2-1
     
    elithepunk
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    Posted: Dec. 20, 2008 - 6:10 PM ET #7

    Damn, why the hell did I have to go for the first half. Solid bet Louis.

    Definitely on fire these days.
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    Damn, why the hell did I have to go for the first half. Solid bet Louis.

    Definitely on fire these days.
     
     
    professorkopak
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    Posts: 263
    Posted: Dec. 26, 2008 - 10:03 AM ET #8

    Quote Originally Posted by louisdzone:

    NCAA Basketball Betting Tip of the Day New Mexico Bowl
     That is a perfect way to handicap this game. Inexperienced bowl teams do not do well as a whole. They  only cover 30 some percent of the time throughout the years of my 30 years of bowl results. However ; stopping there is not the answer. Does the other team have something even more negative .. There is not much left that is worse than lack of bowl experience . One of those though is the poor play of another team. In this case Fresno State more then qualifies as a poor play team. For the last 2/3 of the season which is the only important part of the season to handicap for bowl games they were terrible.  I have only 5 samples of an inexperienced bowl team playing a bad spread team.  over a 30 year period of bowl games . The inexperienced team has covered 4 of those times. That is not a big sampling but it still is 80% winners and intuitivelly seems like the probable answer. If you are playing poorly that is very likely to superceed almost anything else. The lack of ability combined with the lack of confidence puts these games more in focus.
       You have an excellent mind for handicapping and you do a terrific job of your write ups. I enjoy greatly reading your posts!

    New Mexico Bowl

    11:30 a.m. PT in Albuquerque

    Fresno St -3 vs Colorado St (60)

    Any resemblance between the Fresno State team that started the season 3-1 and the one playing in today’s game is purely a coincidence. The Bulldogs enter the game with the nation’s worst record against the spread at 2-10. And even though Fresno held on for a 7-5 mark, nearly half the wins were ugly. State beat such cupcakes as Idaho (by 13), Utah State (by 2) and New Mexico State (by 7). Throw in a loss to mediocre Louisiana Tech.

    As for the Colorado State Rams, well they’re just glad to be here. The Rams had to win their last two games (New Mexico, Wyoming) to become bowl eligible at 6-6. Still there’s plenty of reason to side with the underdog here, especially considering that the Rams gave Mountain West powers BYU and TCU fits before bowing by 3 and 6 points respectively. With Fresno coming off a 51-point pounding at the hands of Boise State, self-doubt has to enter in. Not so with the Rams, who are 3-1 ATS in their last four starts. COLORADO ST.

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    Quote Originally Posted by louisdzone:

    NCAA Basketball Betting Tip of the Day New Mexico Bowl
     That is a perfect way to handicap this game. Inexperienced bowl teams do not do well as a whole. They  only cover 30 some percent of the time throughout the years of my 30 years of bowl results. However ; stopping there is not the answer. Does the other team have something even more negative .. There is not much left that is worse than lack of bowl experience . One of those though is the poor play of another team. In this case Fresno State more then qualifies as a poor play team. For the last 2/3 of the season which is the only important part of the season to handicap for bowl games they were terrible.  I have only 5 samples of an inexperienced bowl team playing a bad spread team.  over a 30 year period of bowl games . The inexperienced team has covered 4 of those times. That is not a big sampling but it still is 80% winners and intuitivelly seems like the probable answer. If you are playing poorly that is very likely to superceed almost anything else. The lack of ability combined with the lack of confidence puts these games more in focus.
       You have an excellent mind for handicapping and you do a terrific job of your write ups. I enjoy greatly reading your posts!

    New Mexico Bowl

    11:30 a.m. PT in Albuquerque

    Fresno St -3 vs Colorado St (60)

    Any resemblance between the Fresno State team that started the season 3-1 and the one playing in today’s game is purely a coincidence. The Bulldogs enter the game with the nation’s worst record against the spread at 2-10. And even though Fresno held on for a 7-5 mark, nearly half the wins were ugly. State beat such cupcakes as Idaho (by 13), Utah State (by 2) and New Mexico State (by 7). Throw in a loss to mediocre Louisiana Tech.

    As for the Colorado State Rams, well they’re just glad to be here. The Rams had to win their last two games (New Mexico, Wyoming) to become bowl eligible at 6-6. Still there’s plenty of reason to side with the underdog here, especially considering that the Rams gave Mountain West powers BYU and TCU fits before bowing by 3 and 6 points respectively. With Fresno coming off a 51-point pounding at the hands of Boise State, self-doubt has to enter in. Not so with the Rams, who are 3-1 ATS in their last four starts. COLORADO ST.

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