Narwhal NCAAF & NFL Pick Strategy

I use four factors when coming up with picks:

- Line movement

- Public %

- Predicted Spreads (I have a calculation I use to predict spreads)

- Power Rating

All four factors go into my plays and all four must line up.

I have been messing around with these for awhile trying to perfect the right combination of factors when picking games.  I feel that i have finally figured out the right numbers. This is not a system for action junkies as there will be a limited number of games each week that meet the criteria.

One more thing to take note, because public % and line movement are important factors picks are usually not made until 1 hour to 30min before game time.

Basically i wanted to create this thread as a place holder and i will be back throughout the week as plays come available that meet the criteria of the system and i will post them ITT.

 

System #1:

0-1

West Virginia +14

Minnesota +10

South Alabama -3

Tulane +3.5

I know some of the numbers wont be able to get picked up right now.  With this system i base off power ratings and point differential between my spreads and actual spreads.  I usually pick these games sunday or monday right when the lines come out.  I will start posting them when i play them from here on out.