You could use those in your data set……and if you found a pattern existed and indicated the away team was winning most often – they would be the team to take. You are coming up with an apples to apples comparison and looking for trends that prove themselves.
However, sometimes the ricky may be higher than the MOB – Which indicates that pitcher is very good. Very few pitchers maintain a higher ricky throughout the season (scherzer, Harvey etc). If they have a higher ricky than they do mob – the formula would go like this: (Ricky – Mob) = P ? . For example, if you looked at Max Scherzer at the end of 2013 you would calculate it this way: (10.18 – 8.90) = P 1 = P lets me know this guy has a higher ricky than mob. If the numbers were (11 – 8) = P 3…etc.
A. B.
C. If the starting pitcher pitches a great game but they end up with a no decision often the next game out they will struggle and give up a bunch of runs or lose the game. I don’t do over/unders very often, however, if you have 2 pitchers who pitched great but got ND – take the over.
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