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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    mlb biggest fav

    Air1
    Dutch1976
    Danrules24
    jonnymega
    Riceboi
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    Air1
    Air1
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    Posted: Sep. 27, 2012 - 3:48 PM ET #1

    the team with the highest juiced closing line here on covers has now hit 12 days in a row. I read that a few seasons ago that 12 games was the longest winning streak for the team with the highest juice of the day.
    I am thinking maybe chasing the top dog starting friday for a unit could hit within the next 3-5 days.
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    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    the team with the highest juiced closing line here on covers has now hit 12 days in a row. I read that a few seasons ago that 12 games was the longest winning streak for the team with the highest juice of the day.
    I am thinking maybe chasing the top dog starting friday for a unit could hit within the next 3-5 days.
     
    Dutch1976
    Dutch1976
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    Posted: Sep. 27, 2012 - 4:50 PM ET #2

    I followed a system last year..Parlay the 2 biggest favorites, almost always a plus money bet. Chase it untils it hits.

    It did good for awhile until it lost a couple of times. I gave up before the allstar break.

    Kinda kept my eye on it this year. I noticed it's done a lot better after the all star break. At the start of this season you had teams like Boston and Philly that were juiced when they didn't deserve to be. After the break, teams are sorted out, teams like Boston stop being the biggest favorite, etc.

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    I followed a system last year..Parlay the 2 biggest favorites, almost always a plus money bet. Chase it untils it hits.

    It did good for awhile until it lost a couple of times. I gave up before the allstar break.

    Kinda kept my eye on it this year. I noticed it's done a lot better after the all star break. At the start of this season you had teams like Boston and Philly that were juiced when they didn't deserve to be. After the break, teams are sorted out, teams like Boston stop being the biggest favorite, etc.

     
    Danrules24
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    Posted: Sep. 27, 2012 - 6:23 PM ET #3

    If you are doing a strict chase a 4 game loss sets up a huge bet on game 5. Take 8/10 - 8/13 as an example. Losses on SF -220, LAA-230, LAA -280 and LAA again at -190. Even if you are using $10 for a unit your 5th bet is $2215. That's a huge bet for a $10 bettor.
    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    If you are doing a strict chase a 4 game loss sets up a huge bet on game 5. Take 8/10 - 8/13 as an example. Losses on SF -220, LAA-230, LAA -280 and LAA again at -190. Even if you are using $10 for a unit your 5th bet is $2215. That's a huge bet for a $10 bettor.
     
    Air1
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    Posted: Sep. 28, 2012 - 12:51 PM ET #4

    ummm.... if you read the first post:
    "I am thinking maybe chasing the top dog starting friday for a unit"

    So not chasing the fav, chasing DOGs
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    ummm.... if you read the first post:
    "I am thinking maybe chasing the top dog starting friday for a unit"

    So not chasing the fav, chasing DOGs
     
    Danrules24
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    Posted: Sep. 28, 2012 - 1:41 PM ET #5

    Sorry Air, I mised the DOG part. My bad.
    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Sorry Air, I mised the DOG part. My bad.
     
    Air1
    Air1
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    Posted: Sep. 28, 2012 - 2:35 PM ET #6

    Its alright
    Also the post by dutch could have confused people

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    Its alright
    Also the post by dutch could have confused people

     
    jonnymega
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    Posted: Sep. 28, 2012 - 2:50 PM ET #7

    GL Air. Sounds good. How often do you think the top two faves lose? Could that be a good parlay to chase (parlaying the two dogs)?


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    GL Air. Sounds good. How often do you think the top two faves lose? Could that be a good parlay to chase (parlaying the two dogs)?


     
    Danrules24
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    Posted: Sep. 28, 2012 - 4:33 PM ET #8

    Jonny, I count only 22 times from beginning of season through August 18. I stopped tracking after that point. So I think that's a record of 22 wins and 110 losses. Even if I'm off one or two, still not good.
    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Jonny, I count only 22 times from beginning of season through August 18. I stopped tracking after that point. So I think that's a record of 22 wins and 110 losses. Even if I'm off one or two, still not good.
     
    Riceboi
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    Posted: Sep. 28, 2012 - 5:39 PM ET #9

    A lot of your bets this season would of been taking astros on the road, a for sure losing proposition.
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    A lot of your bets this season would of been taking astros on the road, a for sure losing proposition.
     
    jonnymega
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    Posted: Sep. 28, 2012 - 6:07 PM ET #10

    Quote Originally Posted by Danrules24:

    Jonny, I count only 22 times from beginning of season through August 18. I stopped tracking after that point. So I think that's a record of 22 wins and 110 losses. Even if I'm off one or two, still not good.



    guess that's about 1 in 5 lol. not good.

     
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    Quote Originally Posted by Danrules24:

    Jonny, I count only 22 times from beginning of season through August 18. I stopped tracking after that point. So I think that's a record of 22 wins and 110 losses. Even if I'm off one or two, still not good.



    guess that's about 1 in 5 lol. not good.

     
     
     
    Air1
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    Posted: Sep. 28, 2012 - 11:49 PM ET #11

    Quote Originally Posted by Riceboi:

    A lot of your bets this season would of been taking astros on the road, a for sure losing proposition.

    I only posted thread because it has now been 12 games in a row and 13 after LA finishes thrashing Col.
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    Quote Originally Posted by Riceboi:

    A lot of your bets this season would of been taking astros on the road, a for sure losing proposition.

    I only posted thread because it has now been 12 games in a row and 13 after LA finishes thrashing Col.
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