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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    Mlb 6 game chase 478-2 last year results.

    imtheman24
    Qazdas
    Irish7878
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    imtheman24
    imtheman24
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    Posted: Jul. 25, 2018 - 5:51 PM ET #1

    So it's a 15 team 6 game chase,I back tested it for 2017. Two teams went for swept for 6 games. So overall the chase came out to +414 units. The issue is that your chasing 15 teams almost at once. If anyone can come up with some ideals on how to chase this many teams at once with a reasonable bankroll would be great. 

    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    So it's a 15 team 6 game chase,I back tested it for 2017. Two teams went for swept for 6 games. So overall the chase came out to +414 units. The issue is that your chasing 15 teams almost at once. If anyone can come up with some ideals on how to chase this many teams at once with a reasonable bankroll would be great. 

     
    Qazdas
    Qazdas
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    Posted: Jul. 26, 2018 - 3:42 AM ET #2

    Sounds interesting but can you please elaborate how it works?
    Maybe someone can back test it for previous years as well ;)

    Reply

    Sounds interesting but can you please elaborate how it works?
    Maybe someone can back test it for previous years as well ;)

     
    imtheman24
    imtheman24
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    Posted: Jul. 27, 2018 - 1:27 PM ET #3

    So taking the top 7 or 15 teams with the best record from the previous year then start a 6 game chase on each team the following year. So for example take the best 7 or 15 teams from 2016 wait until 2017 season starts and start a 6 game chase on each team. Betting 1 unit and double it on each lose so 1 2 4 8 16 32.  It shows a positive outcome based on if the lines are just 100 or 200 a game but if it goes past that then I doubt there any profit to be made. If anyone wants to give it a look and improve on it please post it here. 
    Reply
    So taking the top 7 or 15 teams with the best record from the previous year then start a 6 game chase on each team the following year. So for example take the best 7 or 15 teams from 2016 wait until 2017 season starts and start a 6 game chase on each team. Betting 1 unit and double it on each lose so 1 2 4 8 16 32.  It shows a positive outcome based on if the lines are just 100 or 200 a game but if it goes past that then I doubt there any profit to be made. If anyone wants to give it a look and improve on it please post it here. 
     
    Irish7878
    Irish7878
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    Posted: Jul. 27, 2018 - 2:03 PM ET #4

    Yeah....

    Because baseball teams don't change much from year to year (Boston Red Sox).  Try this...

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/POST01/showmessage.aspx?spt=79&sub=101091089

    Take a few days and read the system defining posts.  You're welcome.
    Reply
    Yeah....

    Because baseball teams don't change much from year to year (Boston Red Sox).  Try this...

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/POST01/showmessage.aspx?spt=79&sub=101091089

    Take a few days and read the system defining posts.  You're welcome.
     
    Irish7878
    Irish7878
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    Posted: Jul. 27, 2018 - 2:38 PM ET #5

    So far in 2018, it seems that 5 of your top 15 from 2017 have had 6+ game losing streaks.  No need to run the numbers any further.
    Reply
    So far in 2018, it seems that 5 of your top 15 from 2017 have had 6+ game losing streaks.  No need to run the numbers any further.
     
    imtheman24
    imtheman24
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    Posted: Jul. 27, 2018 - 3:04 PM ET #6

    Interesting. Which teams? 
    Reply
    Interesting. Which teams? 
     
    Irish7878
    Irish7878
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    Posted: Jul. 27, 2018 - 3:07 PM ET #7

    Quote Originally Posted by imtheman24:

    Interesting. Which teams? 

    https://www.baseball-reference.com/

    Go here - you can do your homework this weekend.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by imtheman24:

    Interesting. Which teams? 

    https://www.baseball-reference.com/

    Go here - you can do your homework this weekend.
     
    imtheman24
    imtheman24
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    Posted: Jul. 27, 2018 - 3:24 PM ET #8

    No need to be condescending.  Also with every win you start the chase over so were looking for one win per series then move to the next. Excluding 4 games series all together. So you can't just say a team has lost 6 games in a row. That could also be WLL, LLL,LWL . 
    Reply
    No need to be condescending.  Also with every win you start the chase over so were looking for one win per series then move to the next. Excluding 4 games series all together. So you can't just say a team has lost 6 games in a row. That could also be WLL, LLL,LWL . 
     
     
    Irish7878
    Irish7878
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    Posted: Jul. 27, 2018 - 3:54 PM ET #9

    Quote Originally Posted by imtheman24:

    No need to be condescending.  Also with every win you start the chase over so were looking for one win per series then move to the next. Excluding 4 games series all together. So you can't just say a team has lost 6 games in a row. That could also be WLL, LLL,LWL . 

    Not condescending - just that you're obviously new to all of this....and need to do your research.....

    You never said anything about a series chase - you just said you were chasing teams.  If you are only chasing 3 game series by team....and presumably these teams are favorites...it doesn't take a math degree to see it will lose heavily.


    In your example (wll lll lwl), you lose a ton more.  Do yourself a favor and read the Post ASG system (and it's sister system, the ASG Road Fade system).  It combines solid capping with numbers.  Also, forget the Marty.  Go with a Labby that suits your risk tolerance.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by imtheman24:

    No need to be condescending.  Also with every win you start the chase over so were looking for one win per series then move to the next. Excluding 4 games series all together. So you can't just say a team has lost 6 games in a row. That could also be WLL, LLL,LWL . 

    Not condescending - just that you're obviously new to all of this....and need to do your research.....

    You never said anything about a series chase - you just said you were chasing teams.  If you are only chasing 3 game series by team....and presumably these teams are favorites...it doesn't take a math degree to see it will lose heavily.


    In your example (wll lll lwl), you lose a ton more.  Do yourself a favor and read the Post ASG system (and it's sister system, the ASG Road Fade system).  It combines solid capping with numbers.  Also, forget the Marty.  Go with a Labby that suits your risk tolerance.
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