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ML Parlay NBA chase system.. back from last year

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Posted: #1
I don't have records for last year although I know I started 9-0 and kind of lost interest in the NBA here is the link if you want to view this.

I think it might be a bit too early as I started this after 15 games, but I will start to track it now...

System requirements:

1. Two teams you pick must be at home
2. Two teams you pick must be above .500 winning %
3. Two teams must be above .600 winning % at home
4. The road team must be below .500%
5. The road team must be below .400% on the road

Pretty simple.. I'll update the list of teams that meet these requirements on a weekly basis.
 
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Posted: #2
......
 
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Posted: #3
List of Teams that meet requirements 2/3 as of 11/18/08:

  • Boston
  • NYK
  • DET
  • CLE
  • ORL
  • ATL
  • MIA
  • UTAH
  • DEN
  • POR
  • LAL
  • PHO
  • HOU
  • NO
List of Teams that meet requirements 4/5 as of 11/18/08:

  • CHI
  • WAS
  • CHA
  • MIN
  • OK
  • SAC
  • LAC
  • MEM
 
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Posted: #4
11/19: Outlook:
3 possible ML options that meet the system.. Parlay them all or do a birdcage. Money Lines usually are not available until 2PM each day as I remember..

Chicago @ Portland (-5POR, ML should be -200 or so)
Washington @ Atlanta (NL who knows?)
Sacromento @ New Orleans (-13, mL might not be offered at most books)

11/22: Outlook:
Washington @ New York (NY could be eliminated from the list by then)
Oklahoma City @ New Orleans
 
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Posted: #5
Pinnacle has them at 10am
 
Chi +6   +215
Por -6    -235
 
Was +8   +325
Atl    -8    -355
 
Sac  +13  +1100
NO   -13    -1500
 
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Posted: #6
wow.. okay i'll have to get on Pinnacle.. what does the juice look like when you parlay all three of them???

and what does it look like when you parlay

AtL -355 and Por -235??

Thanks!
 
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Posted: #7
Lippsman did the math last year:

"
Just going by  the ML's you have been laying so far it looks like you neet to hit about 66% to break even.  You have blown past that so far.
 
Keep posting these.
 
"

Just to give you guys an idea off last year what you need to hit.
 
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Posted: #8
Tonight's Pick:
Take
Atlanta -340 with Portland -285 (-134) (risking 1u to win .75u)
 
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Posted: #9
On pinnacle it's

Parlay/Round Robin
Selection  1:

NBA, Basketball
Atlanta Hawks 19-November-2008 4:05 PM PST
Money Line for Game -350

Selection  2:
NBA, Basketball
New Orleans Hornets 19-November-2008 5:05 PM PST
Money Line for Game -1650

Selection  3:
NBA, Basketball
Portland Trail Blazers  19-November-2008 7:35 PM PST
Money Line for Game -285

Risking 100.00 to Win 84.21 CAD
 
And

Parlay/Round Robin
Selection  1:

NBA, Basketball
Atlanta Hawks 19-November-2008 4:05 PM PST
Money Line for Game -350

Selection  2:
NBA, Basketball
Portland Trail Blazers  19-November-2008 7:35 PM PST
Money Line for Game -285

Risking 100.00 to Win 73.68 CAD
 
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Posted: #10
....so betting with my local book ATS will not work in this system???
 
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Posted: #11
Definately not gasman especially in a parlay system you'd probably lose a lot of money..
 
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Posted: #12
Quote Originally Posted by fritz218:

Tonight's Pick:
Take
Atlanta -340 with Portland -285 (-134) (risking 1u to win .75u)


1-0 so far

shitty if you took the Hornets.. I did not advise that! Next game up is Saturday

11/22: Outlook:
Washington @ New York (NY could be eliminated from the list by then)
Oklahoma City @ New Orleans
 
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Posted: #13
Funny NO was the biggest favourite, guess thats why they play the game...lol
 
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Posted: #14
ya unfortunate.. still looking to continue the system... Srtzee.. you can play it as a chase system if you want.. I personally hate chase systems.. i simply think that the system will have some good "juice" one day or another.. i doubt it will be coming tomorrow night with NY and NO... going to update the teams in a minute..
 
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Posted: #15
No chasing is one thing, but parlay chasing is even crazy for me...
 
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Posted: #16
List of Teams that meet requirements 2/3 as of 11/18/08:

  • Boston
  • NYK
  • DET
  • CLE
  • ORL
  • ATL
  • MIA***border line....500pct overall (PLAY SAT)
  • UTAH
  • DEN
  • POR
  • LAL
  • PHO
  • HOU
  • NO***win tonight keeps them in system
  • IND**a win vs. Orlando brings them over .500
List of Teams that meet requirements 4/5 as of 11/18/08:

  • CHI
  • WAS
  • CHA
  • MIN
  • OK
  • SAC
  • LAC
  • MEM
  • PHI- new add
 
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Posted: #17
I hear ya there.. might not be another play on this system for a while... unless the Hornets come up with a win.. same thing goes if the Knicks lose tonight then they are eliminated from the system..

Honestly I would probably pass on Sat. matchup because they are both border line and will be on 1 day rest... got to use your common sense in those situations.
 
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Posted: #18
Have you used this for college??? 
 
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Posted: #19
Does not work for college I remember looking up the stats for it for a while..

anyway tonight is the next play for the system!

11/24 Tonight's Pick:
Take
Utah -280 with Portland -1000 (-203) (risking 1.2u to win .6u)
 
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Posted: #20
Outlook

Next Possible Plays:

Wednesday 11/26 (four possible ML plays)
Boston (vs. GS)
Houston (vs. IND)
Utah (vs. MEM)
Cleveland (vs. OKC)

1 or 2 of these will be a little too high, but most likely will be solid plays for us come Wednesday.
 
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Posted: #21
Well... This system got off on the wrong foot.. Larry Hughes gets an offensive rebound with 1 second left and throws up a prayer.. fucking figures!
 
 
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Posted: #22
Well, 3-1 for the system plays wednesday night. Who would of seen Houston losing outright though
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