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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    ML Parlay NBA chase system.. back from last year

    fritz218
    gasman33
    SRTZEE
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    Posts: 22
     
    fritz218
    fritz218
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    Posted: Nov. 19, 2008 - 9:35 AM ET #1

    I don't have records for last year although I know I started 9-0 and kind of lost interest in the NBA here is the link if you want to view this.

    I think it might be a bit too early as I started this after 15 games, but I will start to track it now...

    System requirements:

    1. Two teams you pick must be at home
    2. Two teams you pick must be above .500 winning %
    3. Two teams must be above .600 winning % at home
    4. The road team must be below .500%
    5. The road team must be below .400% on the road

    Pretty simple.. I'll update the list of teams that meet these requirements on a weekly basis.
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    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    I don't have records for last year although I know I started 9-0 and kind of lost interest in the NBA here is the link if you want to view this.

    I think it might be a bit too early as I started this after 15 games, but I will start to track it now...

    System requirements:

    1. Two teams you pick must be at home
    2. Two teams you pick must be above .500 winning %
    3. Two teams must be above .600 winning % at home
    4. The road team must be below .500%
    5. The road team must be below .400% on the road

    Pretty simple.. I'll update the list of teams that meet these requirements on a weekly basis.
     
    gasman33
    gasman33
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    Posted: Nov. 19, 2008 - 9:47 AM ET #2

    ......
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    ......
     
    fritz218
    fritz218
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    Posted: Nov. 19, 2008 - 9:47 AM ET #3

    List of Teams that meet requirements 2/3 as of 11/18/08:

    • Boston
    • NYK
    • DET
    • CLE
    • ORL
    • ATL
    • MIA
    • UTAH
    • DEN
    • POR
    • LAL
    • PHO
    • HOU
    • NO
    List of Teams that meet requirements 4/5 as of 11/18/08:

    • CHI
    • WAS
    • CHA
    • MIN
    • OK
    • SAC
    • LAC
    • MEM
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    List of Teams that meet requirements 2/3 as of 11/18/08:

    • Boston
    • NYK
    • DET
    • CLE
    • ORL
    • ATL
    • MIA
    • UTAH
    • DEN
    • POR
    • LAL
    • PHO
    • HOU
    • NO
    List of Teams that meet requirements 4/5 as of 11/18/08:

    • CHI
    • WAS
    • CHA
    • MIN
    • OK
    • SAC
    • LAC
    • MEM
     
    fritz218
    fritz218
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    Posted: Nov. 19, 2008 - 9:58 AM ET #4

    11/19: Outlook:
    3 possible ML options that meet the system.. Parlay them all or do a birdcage. Money Lines usually are not available until 2PM each day as I remember..

    Chicago @ Portland (-5POR, ML should be -200 or so)
    Washington @ Atlanta (NL who knows?)
    Sacromento @ New Orleans (-13, mL might not be offered at most books)

    11/22: Outlook:
    Washington @ New York (NY could be eliminated from the list by then)
    Oklahoma City @ New Orleans
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    11/19: Outlook:
    3 possible ML options that meet the system.. Parlay them all or do a birdcage. Money Lines usually are not available until 2PM each day as I remember..

    Chicago @ Portland (-5POR, ML should be -200 or so)
    Washington @ Atlanta (NL who knows?)
    Sacromento @ New Orleans (-13, mL might not be offered at most books)

    11/22: Outlook:
    Washington @ New York (NY could be eliminated from the list by then)
    Oklahoma City @ New Orleans
     
    SRTZEE
    SRTZEE
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    Posted: Nov. 19, 2008 - 10:07 AM ET #5

    Pinnacle has them at 10am
     
    Chi +6   +215
    Por -6    -235
     
    Was +8   +325
    Atl    -8    -355
     
    Sac  +13  +1100
    NO   -13    -1500
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    Pinnacle has them at 10am
     
    Chi +6   +215
    Por -6    -235
     
    Was +8   +325
    Atl    -8    -355
     
    Sac  +13  +1100
    NO   -13    -1500
     
    fritz218
    fritz218
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    Posted: Nov. 19, 2008 - 10:13 AM ET #6

    wow.. okay i'll have to get on Pinnacle.. what does the juice look like when you parlay all three of them???

    and what does it look like when you parlay

    AtL -355 and Por -235??

    Thanks!
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    wow.. okay i'll have to get on Pinnacle.. what does the juice look like when you parlay all three of them???

    and what does it look like when you parlay

    AtL -355 and Por -235??

    Thanks!
     
    fritz218
    fritz218
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    Posted: Nov. 19, 2008 - 10:16 AM ET #7

    Lippsman did the math last year:

    "
    Just going by  the ML's you have been laying so far it looks like you neet to hit about 66% to break even.  You have blown past that so far.
     
    Keep posting these.
     
    "

    Just to give you guys an idea off last year what you need to hit.
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    Lippsman did the math last year:

    "
    Just going by  the ML's you have been laying so far it looks like you neet to hit about 66% to break even.  You have blown past that so far.
     
    Keep posting these.
     
    "

    Just to give you guys an idea off last year what you need to hit.
     
    fritz218
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    Posted: Nov. 19, 2008 - 11:37 AM ET #8

    Tonight's Pick:
    Take
    Atlanta -340 with Portland -285 (-134) (risking 1u to win .75u)
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    Tonight's Pick:
    Take
    Atlanta -340 with Portland -285 (-134) (risking 1u to win .75u)
     
    SRTZEE
    SRTZEE
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    Posted: Nov. 19, 2008 - 11:42 AM ET #9

    On pinnacle it's

    Parlay/Round Robin
    Selection  1:

    NBA, Basketball
    Atlanta Hawks 19-November-2008 4:05 PM PST
    Money Line for Game -350

    Selection  2:
    NBA, Basketball
    New Orleans Hornets 19-November-2008 5:05 PM PST
    Money Line for Game -1650

    Selection  3:
    NBA, Basketball
    Portland Trail Blazers  19-November-2008 7:35 PM PST
    Money Line for Game -285

    Risking 100.00 to Win 84.21 CAD
     
    And

    Parlay/Round Robin
    Selection  1:

    NBA, Basketball
    Atlanta Hawks 19-November-2008 4:05 PM PST
    Money Line for Game -350

    Selection  2:
    NBA, Basketball
    Portland Trail Blazers  19-November-2008 7:35 PM PST
    Money Line for Game -285

    Risking 100.00 to Win 73.68 CAD
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    On pinnacle it's

    Parlay/Round Robin
    Selection  1:

    NBA, Basketball
    Atlanta Hawks 19-November-2008 4:05 PM PST
    Money Line for Game -350

    Selection  2:
    NBA, Basketball
    New Orleans Hornets 19-November-2008 5:05 PM PST
    Money Line for Game -1650

    Selection  3:
    NBA, Basketball
    Portland Trail Blazers  19-November-2008 7:35 PM PST
    Money Line for Game -285

    Risking 100.00 to Win 84.21 CAD
     
    And

    Parlay/Round Robin
    Selection  1:

    NBA, Basketball
    Atlanta Hawks 19-November-2008 4:05 PM PST
    Money Line for Game -350

    Selection  2:
    NBA, Basketball
    Portland Trail Blazers  19-November-2008 7:35 PM PST
    Money Line for Game -285

    Risking 100.00 to Win 73.68 CAD
     
    gasman33
    gasman33
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    Posted: Nov. 19, 2008 - 12:42 PM ET #10

    ....so betting with my local book ATS will not work in this system???
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    ....so betting with my local book ATS will not work in this system???
     
    fritz218
    fritz218
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    Posted: Nov. 19, 2008 - 2:35 PM ET #11

    Definately not gasman especially in a parlay system you'd probably lose a lot of money..
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    Definately not gasman especially in a parlay system you'd probably lose a lot of money..
     
    fritz218
    fritz218
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    Posted: Nov. 20, 2008 - 8:27 AM ET #12

    Quote Originally Posted by fritz218:

    Tonight's Pick:
    Take
    Atlanta -340 with Portland -285 (-134) (risking 1u to win .75u)


    1-0 so far

    shitty if you took the Hornets.. I did not advise that! Next game up is Saturday

    11/22: Outlook:
    Washington @ New York (NY could be eliminated from the list by then)
    Oklahoma City @ New Orleans
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    Quote Originally Posted by fritz218:

    Tonight's Pick:
    Take
    Atlanta -340 with Portland -285 (-134) (risking 1u to win .75u)


    1-0 so far

    shitty if you took the Hornets.. I did not advise that! Next game up is Saturday

    11/22: Outlook:
    Washington @ New York (NY could be eliminated from the list by then)
    Oklahoma City @ New Orleans
     
    SRTZEE
    SRTZEE
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    Posted: Nov. 20, 2008 - 10:46 AM ET #13

    Funny NO was the biggest favourite, guess thats why they play the game...lol
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    Funny NO was the biggest favourite, guess thats why they play the game...lol
     
    fritz218
    fritz218
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    Posted: Nov. 21, 2008 - 2:21 PM ET #14

    ya unfortunate.. still looking to continue the system... Srtzee.. you can play it as a chase system if you want.. I personally hate chase systems.. i simply think that the system will have some good "juice" one day or another.. i doubt it will be coming tomorrow night with NY and NO... going to update the teams in a minute..
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    ya unfortunate.. still looking to continue the system... Srtzee.. you can play it as a chase system if you want.. I personally hate chase systems.. i simply think that the system will have some good "juice" one day or another.. i doubt it will be coming tomorrow night with NY and NO... going to update the teams in a minute..
     
    SRTZEE
    SRTZEE
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    Posted: Nov. 21, 2008 - 2:33 PM ET #15

    No chasing is one thing, but parlay chasing is even crazy for me...
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    No chasing is one thing, but parlay chasing is even crazy for me...
     
    fritz218
    fritz218
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    Posted: Nov. 21, 2008 - 2:40 PM ET #16

    List of Teams that meet requirements 2/3 as of 11/18/08:

    • Boston
    • NYK
    • DET
    • CLE
    • ORL
    • ATL
    • MIA***border line....500pct overall (PLAY SAT)
    • UTAH
    • DEN
    • POR
    • LAL
    • PHO
    • HOU
    • NO***win tonight keeps them in system
    • IND**a win vs. Orlando brings them over .500
    List of Teams that meet requirements 4/5 as of 11/18/08:

    • CHI
    • WAS
    • CHA
    • MIN
    • OK
    • SAC
    • LAC
    • MEM
    • PHI- new add
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    List of Teams that meet requirements 2/3 as of 11/18/08:

    • Boston
    • NYK
    • DET
    • CLE
    • ORL
    • ATL
    • MIA***border line....500pct overall (PLAY SAT)
    • UTAH
    • DEN
    • POR
    • LAL
    • PHO
    • HOU
    • NO***win tonight keeps them in system
    • IND**a win vs. Orlando brings them over .500
    List of Teams that meet requirements 4/5 as of 11/18/08:

    • CHI
    • WAS
    • CHA
    • MIN
    • OK
    • SAC
    • LAC
    • MEM
    • PHI- new add
     
    fritz218
    fritz218
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    Posted: Nov. 21, 2008 - 2:45 PM ET #17

    I hear ya there.. might not be another play on this system for a while... unless the Hornets come up with a win.. same thing goes if the Knicks lose tonight then they are eliminated from the system..

    Honestly I would probably pass on Sat. matchup because they are both border line and will be on 1 day rest... got to use your common sense in those situations.
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    I hear ya there.. might not be another play on this system for a while... unless the Hornets come up with a win.. same thing goes if the Knicks lose tonight then they are eliminated from the system..

    Honestly I would probably pass on Sat. matchup because they are both border line and will be on 1 day rest... got to use your common sense in those situations.
     
    SRTZEE
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    Posted: Nov. 21, 2008 - 2:57 PM ET #18

    Have you used this for college??? 
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    Have you used this for college??? 
     
    fritz218
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    Posted: Nov. 24, 2008 - 1:58 PM ET #19

    Does not work for college I remember looking up the stats for it for a while..

    anyway tonight is the next play for the system!

    11/24 Tonight's Pick:
    Take
    Utah -280 with Portland -1000 (-203) (risking 1.2u to win .6u)
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    Does not work for college I remember looking up the stats for it for a while..

    anyway tonight is the next play for the system!

    11/24 Tonight's Pick:
    Take
    Utah -280 with Portland -1000 (-203) (risking 1.2u to win .6u)
     
    fritz218
    fritz218
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    Posted: Nov. 24, 2008 - 2:02 PM ET #20

    Outlook

    Next Possible Plays:

    Wednesday 11/26 (four possible ML plays)
    Boston (vs. GS)
    Houston (vs. IND)
    Utah (vs. MEM)
    Cleveland (vs. OKC)

    1 or 2 of these will be a little too high, but most likely will be solid plays for us come Wednesday.
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    Outlook

    Next Possible Plays:

    Wednesday 11/26 (four possible ML plays)
    Boston (vs. GS)
    Houston (vs. IND)
    Utah (vs. MEM)
    Cleveland (vs. OKC)

    1 or 2 of these will be a little too high, but most likely will be solid plays for us come Wednesday.
     
    fritz218
    fritz218
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    Joined: May, 2007
    Posts: 3201
    Posted: Nov. 24, 2008 - 11:23 PM ET #21

    Well... This system got off on the wrong foot.. Larry Hughes gets an offensive rebound with 1 second left and throws up a prayer.. fucking figures!
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    Well... This system got off on the wrong foot.. Larry Hughes gets an offensive rebound with 1 second left and throws up a prayer.. fucking figures!
     
     
    EmpireBuilder
    EmpireBuilder
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    Posts: 44
    Posted: Nov. 27, 2008 - 1:33 AM ET #22

    Well, 3-1 for the system plays wednesday night. Who would of seen Houston losing outright though
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    Well, 3-1 for the system plays wednesday night. Who would of seen Houston losing outright though
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