How do you cap your baseball games?

Quote Originally Posted by TheStugots:

  Was wondering how you guys and girls go about capping your games. Myself I use a modified strategy from Lem Bankers Book of sports betting. Which basically You take the both teams starting pitchers era and subtract them ie: 3.5 - 2.30 = 1.20 and then times it by .20 that is 1.20 * .20 = .24 thats .24 cents toward the better pitcher. Next you take the OBP's and minus them ie: 335-315=20 then convert that to a ten cent line of .20 thats .20 cents to the better OBP. I also use the home teams home win lose record against the away teams away win loss record. I will add a .10 or .05 to the home team or .00 if its close. After that I look if either team has a outstanding relieve pitcher who was not active the night before and give that team a .05 advantage.
  I also started messing around with the OBP against a righty or lefty. Which ever the opposing team is facing. After all is said and done if my line is off the books line by .15 or more I take that team. Say my number has the Mets a -135 and my book has -120 I take the mets the reverse is if the Padres (Bad  Example) are a +105 for me and they are a +120 at the book I take them. I really try to find the Dog at the book that I have as a Favorite on paper. This system is keeping me around 50%. Thats not bad given the dogs that come through. Hoping to hear some incite on your system of capping games. Doesn't just have to be Baseball. BOL and see ya out there.

Quote Originally Posted by TheStugots:

  Was wondering how you guys and girls go about capping your games. Myself I use a modified strategy from Lem Bankers Book of sports betting. Which basically You take the both teams starting pitchers era and subtract them ie: 3.5 - 2.30 = 1.20 and then times it by .20 that is 1.20 * .20 = .24 thats .24 cents toward the better pitcher. Next you take the OBP's and minus them ie: 335-315=20 then convert that to a ten cent line of .20 thats .20 cents to the better OBP. I also use the home teams home win lose record against the away teams away win loss record. I will add a .10 or .05 to the home team or .00 if its close. After that I look if either team has a outstanding relieve pitcher who was not active the night before and give that team a .05 advantage.
  I also started messing around with the OBP against a righty or lefty. Which ever the opposing team is facing. After all is said and done if my line is off the books line by .15 or more I take that team. Say my number has the Mets a -135 and my book has -120 I take the mets the reverse is if the Padres (Bad  Example) are a +105 for me and they are a +120 at the book I take them. I really try to find the Dog at the book that I have as a Favorite on paper. This system is keeping me around 50%. Thats not bad given the dogs that come through. Hoping to hear some incite on your system of capping games. Doesn't just have to be Baseball. BOL and see ya out there.

Quote Originally Posted by SecondAgain:



Can I ask, why are you multiplying by these amounts? What makes 20 so important?

Quote Originally Posted by TheStugots:


Ill be honest I have to find the book to give you a legit answer. But it seems to be working out. It may be for a .20 cent line not sure. I guess you could play with that number and see how it works out for you. BOL

Quote Originally Posted by LongTermProfits:

Quote Originally Posted by lanastasis:

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