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Home underdogs, fade public

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Participants:

Posts: 23

bgeb15

Prospect

Joined: Jan, 2006

Posts: 35

Posted: Mar. 9, 2009 - 11:33 PM ET #1

Here's a simple strategy for the NBA, bet home underdogs that nobody likes. This works ALL year long. Take it or leave it.

calinreddog

Veteran

Joined: May, 2008

Posts: 2081

Posted: Mar. 10, 2009 - 4:20 PM ET #2

Great and simple!

nghia1973

Veteran

Joined: Mar, 2008

Posts: 1818

Posted: Mar. 10, 2009 - 4:27 PM ET #3

so today would be INDY and LACLIPS?

bgeb15

Prospect

Joined: Jan, 2006

Posts: 35

Posted: Mar. 10, 2009 - 5:01 PM ET #4

Indiana 3.5
La Clippers 11

Both @ BetEd.com

calinreddog

Veteran

Joined: May, 2008

Posts: 2081

Posted: Mar. 10, 2009 - 5:51 PM ET #5

What about NHL, same principle?

I'm going to take Columbus and Minnesota.

bgeb15

Prospect

Joined: Jan, 2006

Posts: 35

Posted: Mar. 10, 2009 - 11:51 PM ET #6

I have not bet many NHL games this year, I did notice your picks of Columbus and Minnesota split, both were dogs so you made a profit. Maybe it will work keep me posted. So far tonight Indiana lost by 12, but Clippers are up by 14 at half.

rman1049

Prospect

Joined: Jan, 2009

Posts: 278

Posted: Mar. 11, 2009 - 4:15 AM ET #7

Indy

Clippers

Will follow down the stretch...

jv040

Banned

Joined: Jan, 2009

Posts: 1479

Posted: Mar. 11, 2009 - 10:12 AM ET #8

are you using wagerline to determine home dogs?

bgeb15

Prospect

Joined: Jan, 2006

Posts: 35

Posted: Mar. 11, 2009 - 1:14 PM ET #9

I use the NBA scoreboard on this site to determine if the public likes the road favorite. I also use Vegasinsider.com. Tonight's plays are:

Wizards 8
Minnesota 3

Both @ BetEd.com

(Atlanta Hawks are also a solid play as a slight home favorite)

calinreddog

Veteran

Joined: May, 2008

Posts: 2081

Posted: Mar. 11, 2009 - 7:01 PM ET #10

I'm tailing you on Washington and Minnesota.

Good luck!

bgeb15

Prospect

Joined: Jan, 2006

Posts: 35

Posted: Mar. 12, 2009 - 12:29 PM ET #11

Tonight's pick:

Phoenix Suns 4.5 @ BetEd.com

(Another solid play is San Antonio, this is a tough spot for the Lakers)

calinreddog

Veteran

Joined: May, 2008

Posts: 2081

Posted: Mar. 12, 2009 - 1:58 PM ET #12

Suns should win this one.

bgeb15

Prospect

Joined: Jan, 2006

Posts: 35

Posted: Mar. 13, 2009 - 1:56 PM ET #13

I never play over 3 games but I am testing my home underdog system and will place a small wager on all 7. I am turning a profit using this system and will post the final winning percentage at the end of the season:

Washington 8
Charlotte 1.5
Toronto 1
Minnesota 5.5
Milwaukee 5
Sacramento 10.5
Golden State 1

@ BetEd.com

ApacheM

All-Star

Joined: Apr, 2008

Posts: 14473

Posted: Mar. 15, 2009 - 11:12 AM ET #14

In 45yrs of gambling, Home Dogs have always been in the mix,I'm guessing 60%.

Lippsman

Covers Linesmen

Joined: Feb, 2001

Posts: 87445

Posted: Mar. 15, 2009 - 10:44 PM ET #15

You can't do this blind, but I will use it to back a pick I already made. It sure has hit well in the NBA this past few days.

bgeb15

Prospect

Joined: Jan, 2006

Posts: 35

Posted: Mar. 16, 2009 - 3:50 PM ET #16

Tonight's plays:

Oklahoma City 5
Memphis 6

@ BetEd.com

jhonea999

Banned

Joined: Feb, 2009

Posts: 379

Posted: Mar. 16, 2009 - 10:51 PM ET #17

are you taking the points or betting the moneyline for the NBA games?

Diamondjake

Rookie

Joined: Jan, 2007

Posts: 865

Posted: Mar. 17, 2009 - 12:36 AM ET #18

this can be back checked very easily...why not do this first?

bgeb15

Prospect

Joined: Jan, 2006

Posts: 35

Posted: Mar. 17, 2009 - 12:33 PM ET #19

I am taking the points in my plays, sometimes I will throw something on the moneyline.

Tonight's play:

Chicago 1

@ BetEd.com

AChigurh

Rookie

Joined: Jan, 2008

Posts: 833

Posted: Mar. 17, 2009 - 12:41 PM ET #20

Wait 6 weeks into the season to start this and stop w about 3 weeks remaining and this will work very well

bgeb15

Prospect

Joined: Jan, 2006

Posts: 35

Posted: Mar. 17, 2009 - 2:21 PM ET #21

I like your input of stopping with about 3 weeks left in the season, but the last 3 weeks is one of the best times to bet home underdogs especially when a much better team comes in that already clinched and is resting starters. Be sure to research who is playing and who is out down the stretch.