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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    Hideous MLB System

    baseballfanatic
    donfernando
    chensucht
    rivermonsterz
    thebookie47
    ...
    Participants:
    Search model icon
    Views: 2094
    Posts: 20
     
    baseballfanatic
    baseballfanatic
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    Posted: Aug. 13, 2015 - 6:23 AM ET #1

    Those who followed my thread in the MLB section know I am a useless capper.

     

    This is the simplest and most hideous baseball system I can dream up.

    It takes literally 30 seconds to assess the card each day, and another 30 seconds to check the odds.

    I have set a minimum required odds filter of $1.70 (or -142 in American odds format). The odds I use are William Hill, current at time of posting. I will use this thread to keep record.

    Thursday selections to start off.

    YANKEES (Eovaldi) $1.91

    ANGELS (Richards) $1.85

     

    METS would have been a play also, but odds are too short.

     

    BF

     

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    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    Those who followed my thread in the MLB section know I am a useless capper.

     

    This is the simplest and most hideous baseball system I can dream up.

    It takes literally 30 seconds to assess the card each day, and another 30 seconds to check the odds.

    I have set a minimum required odds filter of $1.70 (or -142 in American odds format). The odds I use are William Hill, current at time of posting. I will use this thread to keep record.

    Thursday selections to start off.

    YANKEES (Eovaldi) $1.91

    ANGELS (Richards) $1.85

     

    METS would have been a play also, but odds are too short.

     

    BF

     

     
    baseballfanatic
    baseballfanatic
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    Posted: Aug. 14, 2015 - 5:58 AM ET #2

     

    YANKEES (Eovaldi) $1.91 WIN 8-6

    ANGELS (Richards) $1.85 WIN 7-6

     

     

    Positive start

    Out 2

    In 3.76

     

    Friday has thrown up

    TEXAS (PEREZ) $1.91

    KANSAS CITY (DUFFY) $1.77

    SAN FRANCISCO (CAIN) $2.25

     

     

    BF

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    YANKEES (Eovaldi) $1.91 WIN 8-6

    ANGELS (Richards) $1.85 WIN 7-6

     

     

    Positive start

    Out 2

    In 3.76

     

    Friday has thrown up

    TEXAS (PEREZ) $1.91

    KANSAS CITY (DUFFY) $1.77

    SAN FRANCISCO (CAIN) $2.25

     

     

    BF

     
    baseballfanatic
    baseballfanatic
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    Posted: Aug. 15, 2015 - 6:47 AM ET #3

    TEXAS (PEREZ) $1.91 WIN 5-3

    KANSAS CITY (DUFFY) $1.77 WIN 4-1

    SAN FRANCISCO (CAIN) $2.25 WIN 8-5

     

    Out 5

    In 9.69

     

    Saturday has thrown up

    TAMPA BAY (ARCHER) $1.70

    TORONTO (ESTRADA) $1.80

     

    D-BACKS were close to a bet but as per my minimum $1.70 price requirement just misses out. $1.68 at time of posting. Lines may move but will leave it out. TB makes it on the cutoff of $1.70.

     

    I am also using this system to potentially look at team totals bets. As of now I will continue to play straight moneyline plays.

     

    BF

     

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    TEXAS (PEREZ) $1.91 WIN 5-3

    KANSAS CITY (DUFFY) $1.77 WIN 4-1

    SAN FRANCISCO (CAIN) $2.25 WIN 8-5

     

    Out 5

    In 9.69

     

    Saturday has thrown up

    TAMPA BAY (ARCHER) $1.70

    TORONTO (ESTRADA) $1.80

     

    D-BACKS were close to a bet but as per my minimum $1.70 price requirement just misses out. $1.68 at time of posting. Lines may move but will leave it out. TB makes it on the cutoff of $1.70.

     

    I am also using this system to potentially look at team totals bets. As of now I will continue to play straight moneyline plays.

     

    BF

     

     
    donfernando
    donfernando
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    Posted: Aug. 15, 2015 - 10:15 AM ET #4

    so, you are just betting to win 1 unit to any team bigger than -142
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    so, you are just betting to win 1 unit to any team bigger than -142
     
    chensucht
    chensucht
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    Posted: Aug. 15, 2015 - 1:44 PM ET #5

    I am not sure if this is a system. Looks just like good picks everyday.
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    I am not sure if this is a system. Looks just like good picks everyday.
     
    baseballfanatic
    baseballfanatic
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    Posted: Aug. 15, 2015 - 5:56 PM ET #6

    The minimum $1.70 parameter I put in based on looking at data for each day's pitching matchup.

     

    The system is simply a cursory glance at data from Covers daily print sheets. Nothing more, nothing less. I won't divulge what it is just yet until such time that I have a more adequate sample size. Besides, if I said what it was, I would get laughed off Covers!!!!

     

    Cheers for comments.

     

    BOL

     

     

    BF

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    The minimum $1.70 parameter I put in based on looking at data for each day's pitching matchup.

     

    The system is simply a cursory glance at data from Covers daily print sheets. Nothing more, nothing less. I won't divulge what it is just yet until such time that I have a more adequate sample size. Besides, if I said what it was, I would get laughed off Covers!!!!

     

    Cheers for comments.

     

    BOL

     

     

    BF

     
    baseballfanatic
    baseballfanatic
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    Posted: Aug. 16, 2015 - 12:48 AM ET #7

    TAMPA BAY (ARCHER) $1.70 LOSS 4-12

    TORONTO (ESTRADA) $1.80 LOSS 1-4

     

    Dbacks only winner today, but below the minimum price of $1.70 and therefore not counted.

    Out 7

    In 9.69

     

    Sunday system has thrown up

    OAKLAND (GRAVEMAN) $2.35

    CLEVELAND (CARRASCO) $1.72

    KANSAS CITY (VENTURA) $1.72

     

    CHW was also a system pick but the $1.60 is under the $1.70 filter thus will not count.

     

     

    BF

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    TAMPA BAY (ARCHER) $1.70 LOSS 4-12

    TORONTO (ESTRADA) $1.80 LOSS 1-4

     

    Dbacks only winner today, but below the minimum price of $1.70 and therefore not counted.

    Out 7

    In 9.69

     

    Sunday system has thrown up

    OAKLAND (GRAVEMAN) $2.35

    CLEVELAND (CARRASCO) $1.72

    KANSAS CITY (VENTURA) $1.72

     

    CHW was also a system pick but the $1.60 is under the $1.70 filter thus will not count.

     

     

    BF

     
    baseballfanatic
    baseballfanatic
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    Posted: Aug. 17, 2015 - 3:38 PM ET #8

    OAKLAND (GRAVEMAN) $2.35 LOSS 2-18 LOL

    CLEVELAND (CARRASCO) $1.72 LOSS 1-4

    KANSAS CITY (VENTURA) $1.72 WIN 4-3

     

    Out 10

    In 11.41

     

    KC salvaged something from the earlier train wreck!!

    Interestingly, the system has not thrown any picks for Monday. So I will be an interested observer from the sidelines.

     

    BOL to everyone having a bet.

     

    BF

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    OAKLAND (GRAVEMAN) $2.35 LOSS 2-18 LOL

    CLEVELAND (CARRASCO) $1.72 LOSS 1-4

    KANSAS CITY (VENTURA) $1.72 WIN 4-3

     

    Out 10

    In 11.41

     

    KC salvaged something from the earlier train wreck!!

    Interestingly, the system has not thrown any picks for Monday. So I will be an interested observer from the sidelines.

     

    BOL to everyone having a bet.

     

    BF

     
    rivermonsterz
    rivermonsterz
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    Posted: Aug. 18, 2015 - 12:17 AM ET #9

    I'm trying to figure out why you would invest your hard earned money into a system that's not tested and you call "hideous" when there are several money making strategies readily available in this forum.
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    I'm trying to figure out why you would invest your hard earned money into a system that's not tested and you call "hideous" when there are several money making strategies readily available in this forum.
     
    thebookie47
    thebookie47
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    Posted: Aug. 18, 2015 - 12:33 PM ET #10

    What do you like today sir
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    What do you like today sir
     
    baseballfanatic
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    Posted: Aug. 18, 2015 - 4:04 PM ET #11

    Today, the system has thrown up

     

    BOSTON RED SOX (RODRIGUEZ) $1.87 with William Hill

     

    CHC also came up but are shorter than my specified $1.70 filter.

     

    Early days, however it reads

    Out 10

    In 11.41

    BOL to all, as always.

     

     

    BF

     

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    Today, the system has thrown up

     

    BOSTON RED SOX (RODRIGUEZ) $1.87 with William Hill

     

    CHC also came up but are shorter than my specified $1.70 filter.

     

    Early days, however it reads

    Out 10

    In 11.41

    BOL to all, as always.

     

     

    BF

     

     
    baseballfanatic
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    Posted: Aug. 19, 2015 - 2:25 AM ET #12

    BOSTON RED SOX (RODRIGUEZ) $1.87 with William Hill WIN 9-1

    Out 11
    In 13.28

    CHC got rolled at the short price. I think up until this point all the heavy juice favorites which I am filtering out had won. Will be keeping an eye on this as well as the TT angle. TT will not be tracked on this thread.

    Will post Thursday's picks at a later stage as I am flying home from work shortly.



    BF
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    BOSTON RED SOX (RODRIGUEZ) $1.87 with William Hill WIN 9-1

    Out 11
    In 13.28

    CHC got rolled at the short price. I think up until this point all the heavy juice favorites which I am filtering out had won. Will be keeping an eye on this as well as the TT angle. TT will not be tracked on this thread.

    Will post Thursday's picks at a later stage as I am flying home from work shortly.



    BF
     
    baseballfanatic
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    Posted: Aug. 19, 2015 - 8:15 AM ET #13

    The system throws up the following two plays for Wednesday.

    CINCINNATI (SAMPSON) $1.95

    LOS ANGELES ANGELS (WEAVER) $1.74

     

     

    BF

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    The system throws up the following two plays for Wednesday.

    CINCINNATI (SAMPSON) $1.95

    LOS ANGELES ANGELS (WEAVER) $1.74

     

     

    BF

     
    thebookie47
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    Posted: Aug. 19, 2015 - 2:15 PM ET #14

    Great pick continue the streak
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    Great pick continue the streak
     
    baseballfanatic
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    Posted: Aug. 20, 2015 - 6:47 PM ET #15

    CINCINNATI (SAMPSON) $1.95 LOSS 3-4

    LOS ANGELES ANGELS (WEAVER) $1.74 WIN 1-0

     

    Out 13

    In 15.02

     

    Split the card yesterday. Cincinnati proved inept at taking their many chances to plate runners. Oh well, on to today.

    Today has thrown up 2 picks, but CHC are far far too short....$1.36 for a baseball team, are you kidding me?? That leaves...

     

    COLORADO (FLANDE) $2.60

     

     

    BF

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    CINCINNATI (SAMPSON) $1.95 LOSS 3-4

    LOS ANGELES ANGELS (WEAVER) $1.74 WIN 1-0

     

    Out 13

    In 15.02

     

    Split the card yesterday. Cincinnati proved inept at taking their many chances to plate runners. Oh well, on to today.

    Today has thrown up 2 picks, but CHC are far far too short....$1.36 for a baseball team, are you kidding me?? That leaves...

     

    COLORADO (FLANDE) $2.60

     

     

    BF

     
    baseballfanatic
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    Posted: Aug. 21, 2015 - 4:17 PM ET #16

    COLORADO (FLANDE) $2.60 WIN 3-2

    Out 14
    In 17.62

    It's 4am here in Australia. I woke to the missus hogging the blanket. It's freezing. Words can't express how hungover I am. Catching up with a mate over a bottle of Tullamore Dew after a month away at work will do that to you. Anyway, onto much less important things than my health, or lack thereof.....today the system throws up it's largest set of picks yet. They are....

    MINNESOTA (MILONE) $2.28
    CLEVELAND (CARRASCO) $2.13
    DETROIT (VERLANDER) $1.77
    BASSITT (OAKLAND) $1.83
    TORONTO (PRICE) $1.70
    CHICAGO WHITE SOX (SALE) $1.91

    (the mere sight of these clinking glasses has me wanting to throw up)

    BF (hungover)

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    COLORADO (FLANDE) $2.60 WIN 3-2

    Out 14
    In 17.62

    It's 4am here in Australia. I woke to the missus hogging the blanket. It's freezing. Words can't express how hungover I am. Catching up with a mate over a bottle of Tullamore Dew after a month away at work will do that to you. Anyway, onto much less important things than my health, or lack thereof.....today the system throws up it's largest set of picks yet. They are....

    MINNESOTA (MILONE) $2.28
    CLEVELAND (CARRASCO) $2.13
    DETROIT (VERLANDER) $1.77
    BASSITT (OAKLAND) $1.83
    TORONTO (PRICE) $1.70
    CHICAGO WHITE SOX (SALE) $1.91

    (the mere sight of these clinking glasses has me wanting to throw up)

    BF (hungover)

     
    baseballfanatic
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    Posted: Aug. 22, 2015 - 5:39 PM ET #17


    MINNESOTA (MILONE) $2.28 WIN 4-3
    CLEVELAND (CARRASCO) $2.13 WIN 4-3
    DETROIT (VERLANDER) $1.77 LOSS 0-2
    BASSITT (OAKLAND) $1.83 LOSS 1-2
    TORONTO (PRICE) $1.70 WIN 9-2
    CHICAGO WHITE SOX (SALE) $1.91 WIN 11-4

    Out 20
    In 25.64

    Nice day yesterday.
    Today has thrown up 2. They are
    ATLANTA (PEREZ)*****
    MILWAUKEE (JUNGMANN) $2.22

    *****I WILL NOT COUNT ATLANTA AS GAME IS UNDERWAY AT TIME OF POSTING. I HAD A LAZY DAY YESTERDAY AND ONLY JUST LOOKED AT THE CARD.


    BF



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    MINNESOTA (MILONE) $2.28 WIN 4-3
    CLEVELAND (CARRASCO) $2.13 WIN 4-3
    DETROIT (VERLANDER) $1.77 LOSS 0-2
    BASSITT (OAKLAND) $1.83 LOSS 1-2
    TORONTO (PRICE) $1.70 WIN 9-2
    CHICAGO WHITE SOX (SALE) $1.91 WIN 11-4

    Out 20
    In 25.64

    Nice day yesterday.
    Today has thrown up 2. They are
    ATLANTA (PEREZ)*****
    MILWAUKEE (JUNGMANN) $2.22

    *****I WILL NOT COUNT ATLANTA AS GAME IS UNDERWAY AT TIME OF POSTING. I HAD A LAZY DAY YESTERDAY AND ONLY JUST LOOKED AT THE CARD.


    BF



     
    baseballfanatic
    baseballfanatic
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: May, 2014
    Posts: 1828
    Posted: Aug. 23, 2015 - 7:02 PM ET #18

    ATLANTA (PEREZ) LOSS 7-9
    MILWAUKEE (JUNGMANN) LOSS 1-6

    Out 22
    In 25.64

    I counted ATL for consistency. Nothing system picks for today.


    BF
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    ATLANTA (PEREZ) LOSS 7-9
    MILWAUKEE (JUNGMANN) LOSS 1-6

    Out 22
    In 25.64

    I counted ATL for consistency. Nothing system picks for today.


    BF
     
    baseballfanatic
    baseballfanatic
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: May, 2014
    Posts: 1828
    Posted: Aug. 24, 2015 - 6:45 PM ET #19

    Today,

    BOSTON RED SOX (KELLY) $2.05


    BF
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    Today,

    BOSTON RED SOX (KELLY) $2.05


    BF
     
     
    RojasBello
    RojasBello
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: May, 2014
    Posts: 1571
    Posted: Sep. 21, 2015 - 12:02 AM ET #20

    Quote Originally Posted by baseballfanatic:

    The minimum $1.70 parameter I put in based on looking at data for each day's pitching matchup.

     

    The system is simply a cursory glance at data from Covers daily print sheets. Nothing more, nothing less. I won't divulge what it is just yet until such time that I have a more adequate sample size. Besides, if I said what it was, I would get laughed off Covers!!!!

     

    Cheers for comments.

     

    BOL

     

     

    BF



    Hi!

    Finally what were the parameters you promised divulge since there is already an adecuate sample size?

    Thank you.
    Reply
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    Quote Originally Posted by baseballfanatic:

    The minimum $1.70 parameter I put in based on looking at data for each day's pitching matchup.

     

    The system is simply a cursory glance at data from Covers daily print sheets. Nothing more, nothing less. I won't divulge what it is just yet until such time that I have a more adequate sample size. Besides, if I said what it was, I would get laughed off Covers!!!!

     

    Cheers for comments.

     

    BOL

     

     

    BF



    Hi!

    Finally what were the parameters you promised divulge since there is already an adecuate sample size?

    Thank you.
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