Has anyboby seen the Professor????

I need help making my O/U picks for week 1 ... where is the professor???

O/U system from last season went went 81 - 61

 

Here are my picks using the stats from the end of last season

 

         Me Vegas Me-Vegas Pick
SD @ OAK  66.5 43 23.5 Over
SF @ ARI  65.5 46 19.5 Over
NYJ @ HOU 62.3 44.5 17.8 Over
CHI @ GB  63.1 46 17.1 Over
STL @ SEA  55.3 40.5 14.8 Over
BUF @ NE  60.9 47 13.9 Over
DEN @ CIN 54.5 43 11.5 Over
PHI @ CAR 53.5 43.5 10.0 Over
MIN @ CLE 48.0 39 9.0 Over
KC @ BAL  44.8 36.5 8.3 Over
JAC @ IND  38.6 45 6.4 Under
DET @ NO  54.0 48.5 5.5 Over
WAS @ NYG 41.4 37 4.4 Over
DAL @ TB  43.0 39 4.0 Over
MIA @ ATL 41.9 43 1.1 Under

 

Sorry, I forgot what I need to do to make it format right., but based on last years #'s I like the over in all but 2 games.

Thanks, what were the NBA season results for last years O/U ?

8-4 so far

 

Hawk ... I didn't give up on the NBA system, I continued to refine it all thru the season.  I got it down to being able to predict the possesions for each team to about +/- 3 so that left figuring out an efficiency for each team.  There is a lot of variance in the efficiency and I was pretty much unable to correlate it to any of my measured stats.  I did make money on the NBA season tho, mainly by picking a total and then getting a lot of middle opportunities at haftime ... ie over for the game and then picking the under for the 2nd half or vice versa.

 

sahlsa ... no real rules for the system just heavy data analysis.  You would have to search the posts from last season.

Is there going to be posts for the NBA this season?

I kinda doubt it ... I studied hard looking for a "system" but nothing panned out.  I went as far as determining when their flight arrived in a city and how many hours they had between games and just found no correlations to the efficiency.  I found some interesting stuff, like indications that poor teams play better then their averages against good teams, but not so much the converse, that good teams play worse against poor teams.  I very much enjoy studying the NBA and will continue, but unless I find some really good stuff I doubt I will post.

 

Since the end of the season I have concentrated on Nascar and have made money on all but the Nationwide series.  The truck series is easy ... bet on Busch if he is racing and bet on Hornaday otherwise (works usually except last week where Crafton took out Hornaday at the end.)   I'll pretty much ignore the NFL until a few weeks of stats are available.

10-5 for week 1 ... here are the picks for week 2, still using last years numbers.

 

Cardinals/Jaguars Over 43 (11.8)
Vikings/Lions Over 45 (9.6)
Rams/Redskins Under 37 (9)
Panthers/Falcons Under 42.5 (7.6)
Saints/Eagles Over 45.5 (6.7)
Bucs/Bills Under 42 (6.1)
Giants/Cowboys Over 45 (4.9)
Colts/Dolphins Under 42 (4.6)
Steelers/Bears Under 37.5 (4.6)
Browns/Broncos Over 39 (4.2)
Bengals/Packers Under 41.5 (3.7)
Ravens/Chargers Over 40.5 (2.7)
Texans/Titans Under 41 (2.5)
Patriots/Jets Over 45.5 (1.9)
Seahawks/49ers Under 39 (0.3)
Raiders/Chiefs Over 38.5 (0.1)

 

WTG Kyle Busch winning the truck race ... nice payday at 3 to 1