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fade mlb 70% pulic plays?

Participants:

Posts: 13

BigA524

Prospect

Joined: Sep, 2007

Posts: 182

Posted: May. 27, 2012 - 4:41 PM ET #1

read somewhere else about it.

Fade the 70% or more public play when the line drops.

I checked for the month of may so far and its up 8u.

Lippsman

Covers Linesmen

Joined: Feb, 2001

Posts: 87445

Posted: May. 28, 2012 - 5:33 PM ET #2

Think you will end up a 50-50 here.

BigA524

Prospect

Joined: Sep, 2007

Posts: 182

Posted: Jun. 3, 2012 - 4:46 PM ET #3

record is 50/50 the units are up close to 10.

jolmscheid

Prospect

Joined: Aug, 2010

Posts: 31

Posted: Jun. 3, 2012 - 7:13 PM ET #4

What do you use for public percentages? And how much must the line drop?

auburntigers83

Rookie

Joined: Dec, 2010

Posts: 651

Posted: Jun. 3, 2012 - 11:33 PM ET #5

i tried something similar to this it does ok.... with baseball the big underdogs (under 30%) tend to hit more often on weekends. or so it seems.

Lippsman

Covers Linesmen

Joined: Feb, 2001

Posts: 87445

Posted: Jun. 4, 2012 - 9:29 AM ET #6

It would be nice if you listed the plays before the game starts, where everyone can track.

Also where are you getting the percentages. Here, sportsinsights, sportsbook ?

BigA524

Prospect

Joined: Sep, 2007

Posts: 182

Posted: Jun. 5, 2012 - 12:18 PM ET #7

I'm getting the numbers from here. 2 potential plays tonite.
Also it seems like they win more when the line drops 20 or more.

Lippsman

Covers Linesmen

Joined: Feb, 2001

Posts: 87445

Posted: Jun. 9, 2012 - 10:10 AM ET #8

Guessing things are about even unit wise now.

BigA524

Prospect

Joined: Sep, 2007

Posts: 182

Posted: Jun. 9, 2012 - 7:21 PM ET #9

there havent been any plays since i posted this..lol.
nothing over 70%

BigA524

Prospect

Joined: Sep, 2007

Posts: 182

Posted: Jun. 15, 2012 - 5:29 PM ET #10

we have a play.

72% on Det. Play is Colorado.

BigA524

Prospect

Joined: Sep, 2007

Posts: 182

Posted: Jun. 18, 2012 - 9:47 PM ET #11

1-0 +1.36 on posted plays.

San Diego +156 tonite.

SUPEREAGLE43

Veteran

Joined: Nov, 2005

Posts: 1926

Posted: Jun. 19, 2012 - 10:40 PM ET #12

I think u missed the cubs opener against the white sox.

BigA524

Prospect

Joined: Sep, 2007

Posts: 182

Posted: Jun. 20, 2012 - 6:36 PM ET #13

Quote Originally Posted by SUPEREAGLE43:

I think u missed the cubs opener against the white sox.

Line didnt drop in that game.

Tonite

SD +168
record 1-1 +.36

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fade mlb 70% pulic plays?

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